| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 31 | |
| 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 7:58 | Cody Glass (15) Arseny Gritsyuk (17) · wrist xG 0.10 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 11:04 | Nico Hischier (22) Timo Meier (15), Luke Hughes (26) · snap xG 0.27 | 0–2 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:15 | Anze Kopitar (9)PP Brandt Clarke (27), Artemi Panarin (46) · tip-in xG 0.37 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 6:03 | Artemi Panarin (22) Joel Edmundson (16), Adrian Kempe (32) · wrist xG 0.10 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 11:43 | Taylor Ward (3) Brandt Clarke (28), Samuel Helenius (4) · slap xG 0.03 | 3–2 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:25 | Arseny Gritsyuk (12) Lenni Hameenaho (4), Dougie Hamilton (19) · tip-in xG 0.11 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 12:42 | Nico Hischier (23)PP Connor Brown (18), Jesper Bratt (37) · snap xG 0.31 | 3–4 ▶ | |
| 13:42 | Anze Kopitar (10)PP Artemi Panarin (47), Brandt Clarke (29) · snap xG 0.14 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| 17:31 | Jack Hughes (17)PP Nico Hischier (26), Dougie Hamilton (20) · snap xG 0.16 | 4–5 ▶ | |
| 19:52 | Timo Meier (18)EN Nico Hischier (27) · snap xG 0.44 | 4–6 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | NJD | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.39 | Expected goals | 3.26 |
| 4 | Goals (no shootout) | 6 |
| 2.49 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.08 |
| 68 | Shot attempts | 58 |
| 53 | Unblocked attempts | 43 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 28 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:30 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced NJD 1.31–0.13
In xG over 10 minutes, 4:10 to 14:10 of the 2nd; goals 3–0 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 17:31 | LAK | Goalie | Goalie · Forsberg −2.2 goals saved
5 goals on 2.82 xG, 27 shots on goal |
| 17:38 | LAK | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Forsberg, down 5–4
With 2:22 left; NJD scored at 19:52 of the 3rd (4–6) |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 3 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 20:20 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 8 | 1.16 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 7 | 0.28 | 2 | 1 | 19:20 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 1 | 18:34 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 18:24 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.33 | 0 | 0 | 16:51 |
| 21 | Scott Laughton | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 16:23 |
| 25 | Jared Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.18 | 0 | 1 | 13:07 |
| 21 | Mathieu Joseph | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 11:42 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.39 | 1 | 1 | 10:24 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 09:44 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 09:42 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.03 | 5 | 1 | 23:15 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 20:35 |
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 2 | 20:19 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.05 | 2 | 1 | 19:27 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 16:09 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 15:10 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 27 | 5 | 22 | .815 | 2.82 | -2.18 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 13 | Nico Hischier | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 0.66 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 91 | Dawson Mercer | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 |
| 28 | Timo Meier | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 0.57 | 2 | 0 | 18:49 |
| 86 | Jack Hughes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 18:05 |
| 16 | Connor Brown | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 16:21 |
| 81 | Arseny Gritsyuk | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 15:53 |
| 12 | Cody Glass | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 0.24 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 |
| 63 | Jesper Bratt | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 29 | Lenni Hameenaho | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 11:40 |
| 72 | Nick Bjugstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 10:09 |
| 72 | Maxim Tsyplakov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.06 | 3 | 1 | 10:08 |
| 47 | Paul Cotter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 2 | 0 | 09:26 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 43 | Luke Hughes | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.05 | 0 | 2 | 22:09 |
| 8 | Johnathan Kovacevic | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.11 | 2 | 1 | 21:25 |
| 71 | Jonas Siegenthaler | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:41 |
| 7 | Dougie Hamilton | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.02 | 2 | 2 | 20:37 |
| 71 | Simon Nemec | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 17:57 |
| 5 | Brenden Dillon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 16:05 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Allen | 31 | 4 | 27 | .871 | 3.39 | -0.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +2.10 | +1.95 | +0.04 | -0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:19 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +1.89 | +1.50 | +0.75 | -0.29 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 19:37 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +1.74 | +2.00 | +0.13 | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 20:20 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +1.42 | +0.55 | +0.25 | +0.54 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 10:24 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +1.34 | +0.75 | +0.03 | +0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | +0.92 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.66 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 9:42 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.91 | +0.70 | +0.03 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:27 |
| 53 Jared Wright R | +0.52 | 0.00 | +0.12 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:07 |
| 21 Scott Laughton C | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:23 |
| 17 Mathieu Joseph R | +0.30 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.26 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 11:42 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:09 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +0.21 | +0.55 | +0.09 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 18:24 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.27 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 23:15 |
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 15:10 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:35 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.21 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.05 | — | 19:20 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.17 | 0.00 | +0.21 | -0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 16:51 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.21 | -0.15 | -0.02 | +0.03 | — | 18:34 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | -2.18 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -2.18 | 57:46 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nico Hischier C | +3.19 | +2.90 | +0.43 | -0.37 | +0.15 | +0.08 | 0.00 | — | 20:26 |
| 81 Arseny Gritsyuk R | +1.85 | +1.45 | +0.12 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:53 |
| 28 Timo Meier R | +1.39 | +1.45 | +0.37 | -0.38 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 18:49 |
| 12 Cody Glass C | +1.28 | +0.75 | +0.16 | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:11 |
| 7 Dougie Hamilton D | +1.14 | +1.10 | +0.02 | +0.09 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 20:37 |
| 29 Lenni Hameenaho R | +0.87 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:40 |
| 16 Connor Brown R | +0.72 | +0.70 | +0.19 | -0.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 16:21 |
| 71 Jonas Siegenthaler D | +0.56 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 20:41 |
| 86 Jack Hughes C | +0.53 | +0.75 | +0.12 | -0.48 | +0.15 | -0.03 | +0.02 | — | 18:05 |
| 47 Paul Cotter L | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:26 |
| 72 Nick Bjugstad C | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.07 | — | 10:09 |
| 42 Maxim Tsyplakov R | +0.20 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 10:08 |
| 17 Simon Nemec D | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:57 |
| 91 Dawson Mercer C | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.25 | -0.34 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 18:50 |
| 5 Brenden Dillon D | -0.05 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 16:05 |
| 43 Luke Hughes D | -0.06 | +0.55 | +0.03 | -0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 22:09 |
| 63 Jesper Bratt L | -0.06 | +0.55 | +0.02 | -0.41 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.08 | — | 13:47 |
| 8 Johnathan Kovacevic D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 21:25 |
| 34 Jake Allen G | -0.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.61 | 60:00 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.