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Nashville PredatorsNSH 3–2 Final/OT Chicago BlackhawksCHI

Sunday, March 22, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Nashville PredatorsNSH 0111 3 33
Chicago BlackhawksCHI 0200 2 29
Playoff odds, % Change
NSH +8.9
CHI -0.1
LAK -1.7
SEA -1.4
SJS -1.2
WPG -1.2
VGK -1.1
EDM -1.1
STL -0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 22, 2026 3:03 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
4:34 CHI Nick Lardis (6) Tyler Bertuzzi (22), Alex Vlasic (16) · wrist xG 0.18 0–1 ▶
6:31 NSH Filip Forsberg (31) Jonathan Marchessault (14) · snap xG 0.28 1–1 ▶
13:57 CHI Connor Bedard (29) Ryan Greene (17) · wrist xG 0.30 1–2 ▶
3rd Period
9:43 NSH Steven Stamkos (34) Filip Forsberg (30), Roman Josi (36) · wrist xG 0.17 2–2 ▶
Overtime
1:05 NSH Filip Forsberg (32) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.27 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NSH 56%Deserve to win44% CHI
NSHCHI
3.97Expected goals3.58
3Goals (no shootout)2
2.66Expected goals, 5 on 53.03
52Shot attempts56
46Unblocked attempts44
33Shots on goal29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:40 NSH No shift No shift · Evangelista, 11:19 on the bench
No shift from 1:30 to 14:51 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (6:30) before that
3rd Period
4:10 CHI No shift No shift · Lafferty, 13:25 on the bench
No shift from 7:36 of the 2nd to 9:43 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (6:21) before that
9:10 CHI Goalie Goalie · Knight +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.11 xG, 26 shots on goal
9:28 NSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 61–39%
CHI had led since 13:57 of the 2nd, by as much as 62%
9:50 NSH xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.28–0.25
In xG over 10 minutes, 19:50 of the 2nd to 9:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

NSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CHI shoots
Erik Haula: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 0:48) Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 0:51) Louis Crevier: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 1:28) Dominic Toninato: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:35) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 2:54) Nick Perbix: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:27) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 4:02) Nick Lardis: snap, 14 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:04) Tyson Jost: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:47) Nicolas Hague: bat, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 5:20) Frank Nazar: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:08) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:58) Connor Bedard: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:04) Jonathan Marchessault: wrist, 120 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:24) Matthew Wood: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:34) Roman Josi: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 9:07) Artyom Levshunov: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 9:22) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.25 (P1 9:53) Artyom Levshunov: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:12) Sam Lafferty: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 10:28) Landon Slaggert: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 10:38) Ryan Greene: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:54) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:22) Luke Evangelista: deflected, 7 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 13:54) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:44) Connor Bedard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 15:38) Louis Crevier: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:41) Frank Nazar: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 0:16) Ryan Ufko: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:13) Dominic Toninato: tip-in, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:29) Dominic Toninato: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:37) Dominic Toninato: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 3:40) Ryan O'Reilly: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 4:25) Matthew Wood: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:44) Matthew Wood: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:23) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 7:14) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:15) Alex Vlasic: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 9:00) Zachary L'Heureux: backhand, 53 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:12) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:30) Louis Crevier: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:46) Connor Bedard: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:48) Tyler Bertuzzi: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:18) Joakim Kemell: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:29) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 11:37) Andre Burakovsky: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 13:44) Wyatt Kaiser: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:15) Erik Haula: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 14:25) Ryan Donato: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 14:49) Nicolas Hague: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 15:10) Brady Skjei: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:44) Matthew Wood: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 16:52) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:05) Luke Evangelista: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 17:33) Reid Schaefer: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:10) Erik Haula: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 19:00) Ryan Donato: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:38) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:49) Erik Haula: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 19:52) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:37) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:44) Zachary L'Heureux: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 3:53) Connor Bedard: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:44) Alex Vlasic: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:54) Ilya Mikheyev: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:35) Louis Crevier: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:47) Sam Rinzel: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:52) Steven Stamkos: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 8:00) Zachary L'Heureux: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 9:10) Zachary L'Heureux: deflected, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 9:25) Ryan Ufko: poke, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:26) Zachary L'Heureux: poke, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:27) Matthew Wood: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 9:28) Filip Forsberg: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:31) Sam Rinzel: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 9:59) Sam Rinzel: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:33) Erik Haula: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:17) Adam Wilsby: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:25) Andre Burakovsky: bat, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 13:55) Frank Nazar: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 14:31) Tyler Bertuzzi: bat, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 15:09) Ryan Greene: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:47) Andre Burakovsky: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 19:12) Connor Bedard: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (OT 0:45) Filip Forsberg: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 0:56) Nick Lardis: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.18 (P2 4:34) Filip Forsberg: GOAL, snap, 20 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 6:31) Connor Bedard: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.30 (P2 13:57) Steven Stamkos: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 9:43) Filip Forsberg: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (OT 1:05)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Nashville Predators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
90 Ryan O'Reilly 000 0 10.14 0021:15
56 Erik Haula 000 +1 50.46 2020:06
9 Filip Forsberg 213 +2 70.67 3118:54
81 Jonathan Marchessault 011 +1 20.10 1117:05
91 Steven Stamkos 101 0 60.47 3016:04
77 Luke Evangelista 000 0 30.18 2115:25
68 Zachary L'Heureux 000 0 70.64 6015:12
17 Tyson Jost 000 0 10.02 0015:05
71 Matthew Wood 000 0 50.34 0112:45
9 Fedor Svechkov 000 0 10.00 2011:49
49 Reid Schaefer 000 0 30.40 4108:25
25 Joakim Kemell 000 -2 10.01 2007:59
Defense
59 Roman Josi 011 0 10.04 0227:27
76 Brady Skjei 000 +1 30.09 0024:31
41 Nicolas Hague 000 -1 20.24 1020:15
48 Nick Perbix 000 0 10.06 1116:23
2 Adam Wilsby 000 0 10.02 1015:22
12 Ryan Ufko 000 +1 20.08 1213:17
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Juuse Saros 29227 .931 3.58 +1.58

Chicago Blackhawks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
98 Connor Bedard 101 -1 60.67 1020:46
91 Frank Nazar 000 +1 30.19 0019:30
95 Andre Burakovsky 000 -2 50.75 0118:22
59 Tyler Bertuzzi 011 +1 40.25 1018:22
20 Ryan Greene 011 -1 30.12 0018:08
95 Ilya Mikheyev 000 0 20.15 0017:18
86 Teuvo Teravainen 000 0 00.00 0016:28
76 Nick Lardis 101 0 20.25 1013:28
8 Ryan Donato 000 0 30.19 0013:13
84 Landon Slaggert 000 0 10.13 2010:30
25 Dominic Toninato 000 0 40.22 0008:22
18 Sam Lafferty 000 0 10.12 2007:15
Defense
72 Alex Vlasic 011 0 20.04 2126:34
55 Artyom Levshunov 000 0 40.18 5124:27
44 Wyatt Kaiser 000 0 40.02 0023:02
6 Sam Rinzel 000 0 50.09 3121:44
46 Louis Crevier 000 -1 70.22 2118:03
24 Matt Grzelcyk 000 0 00.00 0001:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Spencer Knight 33330 .909 3.97 +0.97

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Nashville Predators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Filip Forsberg L +3.18 +2.20 +0.44 +0.45 0.00 0.00 +0.09 — 18:54
74 Juuse Saros G +1.58 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.58 61:01
91 Steven Stamkos C +1.48 +0.75 +0.31 +0.24 +0.15 +0.03 0.00 — 16:04
81 Jonathan Marchessault R +1.10 +0.70 +0.07 +0.30 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 17:05
48 Nick Perbix D +0.36 0.00 +0.04 +0.33 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 16:23
56 Erik Haula L +0.34 0.00 +0.30 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 20:06
90 Ryan O'Reilly C +0.22 0.00 +0.09 -0.06 +0.15 +0.06 -0.02 — 21:15
85 Ryan Ufko D +0.15 0.00 +0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 13:17
49 Reid Schaefer L +0.11 0.00 +0.26 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 8:25
40 Fedor Svechkov C +0.10 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 11:49
83 Adam Wilsby D +0.08 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:22
68 Zachary L'Heureux L -0.06 0.00 +0.41 -0.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:12
77 Luke Evangelista R -0.10 0.00 +0.12 -0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:25
59 Roman Josi D -0.15 +0.55 +0.03 -0.64 -0.15 0.00 +0.06 — 27:27
41 Nicolas Hague D -0.21 0.00 +0.15 -0.19 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:15
71 Matthew Wood R -0.26 0.00 +0.22 -0.50 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 12:45
17 Tyson Jost C -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:05
76 Brady Skjei D -0.33 0.00 +0.06 -0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:31
25 Joakim Kemell R -0.60 0.00 +0.01 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 7:59

Chicago Blackhawks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
76 Nick Lardis L +1.19 +0.75 +0.16 +0.29 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 13:28
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L +0.98 +0.70 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 18:22
30 Spencer Knight G +0.97 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.97 60:56
98 Connor Bedard C +0.96 +0.75 +0.44 -0.32 +0.15 -0.03 -0.02 — 20:46
86 Teuvo Teravainen C +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.85 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:28
46 Louis Crevier D +0.79 0.00 +0.15 +0.76 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 18:03
8 Ryan Donato C +0.60 0.00 +0.13 +0.45 0.00 +0.02 0.00 — 13:13
95 Ilya Mikheyev R +0.49 0.00 +0.09 +0.42 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:18
55 Artyom Levshunov D +0.39 0.00 +0.12 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 24:27
25 Dominic Toninato C +0.36 0.00 +0.14 +0.16 0.00 +0.04 +0.02 — 8:22
28 Andre Burakovsky L +0.36 0.00 +0.49 -0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:22
48 Matt Grzelcyk D +0.34 0.00 0.00 +0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 1:52
72 Alex Vlasic D +0.29 +0.55 +0.02 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 26:34
91 Frank Nazar C +0.21 0.00 +0.12 +0.12 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:30
20 Ryan Greene C +0.12 +0.70 +0.08 -0.67 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 18:08
24 Sam Lafferty C +0.11 0.00 +0.08 +0.03 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 7:15
6 Sam Rinzel D +0.02 0.00 +0.06 -0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:44
84 Landon Slaggert L -0.02 0.00 +0.08 -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:30
44 Wyatt Kaiser D -0.18 0.00 +0.01 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 23:02

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.