Chicago BlackhawksCHI 4–3 Final New York IslandersNYI

Tuesday, March 24, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Chicago BlackhawksCHI	3	1	0	4	24
New York IslandersNYI	1	0	2	3	47

Playoff odds, %	Change
NYI	-11.1
CHI	+0.0
CBJ	+2.5
PIT	+1.8
DET	+1.6
PHI	+1.5
OTT	+1.4
BOS	+1.0
MTL	+0.9

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 24, 2026 6:43 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:49	NYI	Anders Lee (16) Matthew Schaefer (30), Bo Horvat (22) · tip-in xG 0.10	0–1 ▶
12:46	CHI	Nick Lardis (7) Frank Nazar (24), Tyler Bertuzzi (23) · snap xG 0.28	1–1 ▶
18:06	CHI	Ilya Mikheyev (14) Anton Frondell (1) · snap xG 0.17	2–1 ▶
19:31	CHI	Tyler Bertuzzi (29) Alex Vlasic (17), Nick Lardis (4) · snap xG 0.35	3–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:02	CHI	Frank Nazar (12) Nick Lardis (5) · snap xG 0.12	4–1 ▶
3rd Period
8:45	NYI	Simon Holmstrom (18) Scott Mayfield (10) · snap xG 0.20	4–2 ▶
16:37	NYI	Calum Ritchie (10) Carson Soucy (6), Mathew Barzal (47) · snap xG 0.06	4–3 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CHI 16%Deserve to win84% NYI

CHI		NYI
2.83	Expected goals	4.66
4	Goals (no shootout)	3
2.06	Expected goals, 5 on 5	4.07
47	Shot attempts	92
33	Unblocked attempts	75
24	Shots on goal	47

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
20:00	NYI	Goalie change	Goalie change · Sorokin in for Rittich The start of the 2nd; Rittich had allowed 3 goals on 12 shots (1.28 xG)
2nd Period
5:00	NYI	No shift	No shift · DeAngelo, 39:04 on the bench No shift after 12:46 of the 1st; 6 shifts (6:09) before that
3rd Period
5:01	CHI	Goalie	Goalie · Soderblom +2.1 goals saved 1 goal on 3.06 xG, 34 shots on goal
7:20	NYI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced CHI 1.52–0.16 In xG over 10 minutes, 18:50 of the 2nd to 8:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

CHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Chicago Blackhawks

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
98	Connor Bedard	0	0	0	-1	5	0.29	0	0	19:48
95	Ilya Mikheyev	1	0	1	+1	2	0.21	0	1	19:33
59	Tyler Bertuzzi	1	1	2	+2	2	0.35	2	0	19:15
20	Ryan Greene	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	1	2	18:29
91	Frank Nazar	1	1	2	+2	4	1.02	0	0	16:43
8	Ryan Donato	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	1	15:56
16	Anton Frondell	0	1	1	-1	5	0.15	1	2	15:43
76	Nick Lardis	1	2	3	+2	2	0.28	0	1	14:12
95	Andre Burakovsky	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	0	13:28
86	Teuvo Teravainen	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	1	0	12:12
18	Sam Lafferty	0	0	0	0	2	0.02	1	0	08:11
84	Landon Slaggert	0	0	0	0	1	0.08	1	0	07:11
Defense
72	Alex Vlasic	0	1	1	+1	7	0.11	1	2	25:20
55	Artyom Levshunov	0	0	0	-1	7	0.15	4	2	23:12
46	Louis Crevier	0	0	0	0	2	0.01	2	0	19:48
44	Wyatt Kaiser	0	0	0	+1	3	0.10	1	1	19:46
6	Sam Rinzel	0	0	0	+2	1	0.02	1	2	17:20
38	Ethan Del Mastro	0	0	0	-1	2	0.04	0	0	11:26

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Arvid Soderblom	47	3	44	.936	4.66	+1.66

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Bo Horvat	0	1	1	+1	11	0.96	1	0	22:03
13	Mathew Barzal	0	1	1	0	6	0.42	0	0	19:32
10	Brayden Schenn	0	0	0	-1	7	0.52	3	0	18:29
72	Anders Lee	1	0	1	0	5	0.25	1	0	17:39
51	Emil Heineman	0	0	0	0	3	0.36	7	3	17:27
64	Calum Ritchie	1	0	1	0	4	0.09	0	0	17:00
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	0	0	0	4	0.28	1	0	15:04
92	Simon Holmstrom	1	0	1	0	3	0.44	0	0	14:56
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	0	4	0.03	2	2	14:06
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	1	11:05
32	Kyle MacLean	0	0	0	-1	4	0.12	3	0	07:28
17	Marc Gatcomb	0	0	0	-1	3	0.32	5	0	07:06
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	1	1	+2	17	0.50	0	0	31:59
3	Adam Pelech	0	0	0	-1	9	0.09	2	0	21:58
7	Carson Soucy	0	1	1	-2	4	0.05	2	1	20:11
24	Scott Mayfield	0	1	1	-1	2	0.07	2	3	18:05
34	Adam Boqvist	0	0	0	0	4	0.11	0	2	17:57
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	06:09

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
David Rittich	12	3	9	.750	1.28	-1.72
Ilya Sorokin	12	1	11	.917	0.89	-0.11

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Chicago Blackhawks

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
76 Nick Lardis L	+2.78	+2.00	+0.18	+0.55	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	14:12
91 Frank Nazar C	+2.19	+1.45	+0.66	+0.08	0.00	+0.01	-0.02	—	16:43
40 Arvid Soderblom G	+1.66	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+1.66	60:00
59 Tyler Bertuzzi L	+1.62	+1.30	+0.23	+0.23	-0.15	-0.01	+0.02	—	19:15
95 Ilya Mikheyev R	+0.57	+0.75	+0.14	-0.52	+0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	19:33
6 Sam Rinzel D	+0.06	0.00	+0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	17:20
24 Sam Lafferty C	+0.03	0.00	+0.01	+0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	8:11
44 Wyatt Kaiser D	-0.21	0.00	+0.06	-0.28	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	19:46
86 Teuvo Teravainen C	-0.25	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	12:12
15 Anton Frondell C	-0.29	+0.70	+0.10	-1.18	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	15:43
84 Landon Slaggert L	-0.35	0.00	+0.05	-0.40	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:39
38 Ethan Del Mastro D	-0.38	0.00	+0.03	-0.39	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	11:26
28 Andre Burakovsky L	-0.48	0.00	0.00	-0.48	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:09
72 Alex Vlasic D	-0.48	+0.70	+0.07	-1.39	0.00	0.00	+0.14	—	25:11
46 Louis Crevier D	-0.52	0.00	+0.01	-0.49	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	19:48
8 Ryan Donato C	-0.78	0.00	0.00	-0.65	-0.15	+0.01	+0.01	—	15:51
55 Artyom Levshunov D	-1.37	0.00	+0.09	-1.57	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	23:12
98 Connor Bedard C	-1.42	0.00	+0.19	-1.54	0.00	-0.01	-0.06	—	19:53
20 Ryan Greene C	-1.91	0.00	0.00	-2.10	+0.15	-0.06	+0.10	—	18:29

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
48 Matthew Schaefer D	+3.33	+0.70	+0.32	+2.31	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	31:59
14 Bo Horvat C	+2.81	+0.55	+0.62	+1.58	0.00	+0.05	0.00	—	22:03
27 Anders Lee L	+2.28	+0.75	+0.16	+1.24	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	17:39
92 Simon Holmstrom R	+1.80	+0.75	+0.29	+0.72	0.00	0.00	+0.04	—	14:56
51 Emil Heineman L	+1.49	0.00	+0.23	+0.98	+0.15	0.00	+0.13	—	17:27
13 Mathew Barzal C	+1.30	+0.55	+0.28	+0.48	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:32
3 Adam Pelech D	+1.16	0.00	+0.06	+1.42	-0.30	0.00	-0.02	—	21:58
64 Calum Ritchie C	+0.97	+0.75	+0.06	+0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	17:00
4 Carson Soucy D	+0.80	+0.70	+0.03	+0.02	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	20:11
24 Scott Mayfield D	+0.66	+0.70	+0.04	-0.19	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	18:05
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	+0.62	0.00	+0.18	+0.42	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	15:04
81 Ondrej Palat L	+0.57	0.00	+0.02	+0.46	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	14:06
34 Adam Boqvist D	+0.45	0.00	+0.07	+0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	17:57
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.31	0.00	+0.03	+0.21	0.00	+0.02	+0.05	—	11:05
77 Tony DeAngelo D	+0.27	0.00	0.00	+0.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:09
10 Brayden Schenn C	+0.19	0.00	+0.34	-0.15	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:29
32 Kyle MacLean C	+0.17	0.00	+0.08	+0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:28
16 Marc Gatcomb C	+0.17	0.00	+0.21	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:06
30 Ilya Sorokin G	-0.11	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.11	37:46
33 David Rittich G	-1.72	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.72	20:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.