| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 |
 |
0 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 40 |
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 8:06 | |
Matthew Tkachuk (11) Seth Jones (20) · backhand xG 0.17 | 1–0 ▶ |
| 14:03 | |
Matthew Tkachuk (12) Unassisted · between-legs xG 0.21 | 2–0 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:28 | |
Marc Gatcomb (2) Adam Pelech (11), Scott Mayfield (11) · wrist xG 0.03 | 2–1 ▶ |
| 12:09 | |
Brayden Schenn (15) Calum Ritchie (13), Matthew Schaefer (33) · snap xG 0.24 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 14:52 | |
Simon Holmstrom (19)PP Matthew Schaefer (34), Brayden Schenn (19) · snap xG 0.05 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 17:00 | |
Emil Heineman (21) Anders Lee (23), Brayden Schenn (20) · snap xG 0.08 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 17:57 | |
Casey Cizikas (9) Carson Soucy (7), Marc Gatcomb (4) · wrist xG 0.07 | 2–5 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| No scoring | |||
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| FLA | NYI | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.82 | Expected goals | 5.09 |
| 2 | Goals (no shootout) | 5 |
| 1.96 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 4.11 |
| 60 | Shot attempts | 75 |
| 42 | Unblocked attempts | 62 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 40 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:55 | NYI | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 60–40%
FLA had led since 3:44 of the 1st, by as much as 61% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 4:10 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.28–0.26
In xG over 10 minutes, 14:10 of the 1st to 4:10 of the 2nd; neither team scored |
| 19:40 | NYI | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced FLA 1.37–0.03
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:40 to 19:40 of the 2nd; goals 4–0 |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 19 | Matthew Tkachuk | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 8 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 23:43 |
| 27 | Eetu Luostarinen | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 0.40 | 0 | 0 | 23:06 |
| 23 | Carter Verhaeghe | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.38 | 0 | 1 | 21:11 |
| 11 | Mackie Samoskevich | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 3 | 0.22 | 2 | 1 | 16:51 |
| 70 | Jesper Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 14:50 |
| 92 | Tomas Nosek | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.42 | 2 | 0 | 13:47 |
| 73 | Noah Gregor | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.28 | 1 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 18 | Vinnie Hinostroza | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 |
| 71 | Luke Kunin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 11:27 |
| 29 | Cole Reinhardt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 11:12 |
| 0 | Nolan Foote | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 10:56 |
| 23 | Jack Studnicka | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 07:32 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 3 | Seth Jones | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 0.06 | 1 | 1 | 25:21 |
| 5 | Aaron Ekblad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 1 | 1 | 24:07 |
| 42 | Gustav Forsling | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0.13 | 1 | 3 | 21:25 |
| 7 | Dmitry Kulikov | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 20:18 |
| 20 | Mike Benning | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 14:30 |
| 73 | Donovan Sebrango | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.02 | 3 | 0 | 14:29 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Tarasov | 40 | 5 | 35 | .875 | 4.30 | -0.70 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0.29 | 0 | 0 | 20:18 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 7 | 0.71 | 2 | 3 | 19:22 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.59 | 0 | 2 | 18:17 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 0.39 | 0 | 2 | 17:58 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.79 | 0 | 0 | 17:50 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:43 |
| 92 | Simon Holmstrom | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 | 0.30 | 0 | 0 | 15:33 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.41 | 1 | 1 | 14:25 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.57 | 2 | 1 | 10:50 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 10:47 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 09:47 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 3 | 0 | 09:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 8 | 0.40 | 1 | 1 | 27:49 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 6 | 0.18 | 1 | 1 | 22:04 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.14 | 0 | 4 | 21:15 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 20:17 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.04 | 0 | 1 | 12:07 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 21 | 2 | 19 | .905 | 2.82 | +0.82 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Matthew Tkachuk L | +1.79 | +1.50 | +0.30 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 23:43 |
| 3 Seth Jones D | +0.42 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 25:21 |
| 42 Gustav Forsling D | +0.34 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.26 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 21:25 |
| 23 Carter Verhaeghe C | +0.27 | 0.00 | +0.25 | +0.03 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.01 | — | 21:11 |
| 27 Eetu Luostarinen C | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.26 | -0.20 | +0.15 | -0.04 | -0.02 | — | 23:06 |
| 5 Aaron Ekblad D | -0.14 | 0.00 | +0.16 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 24:07 |
| 25 Nolan Foote L | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.17 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 10:56 |
| 92 Tomas Nosek L | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.69 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 13:47 |
| 53 Jack Studnicka C | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 7:32 |
| 40 Daniil Tarasov G | -0.70 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.70 | 54:45 |
| 70 Jesper Boqvist C | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.65 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.04 | — | 14:50 |
| 24 Vinnie Hinostroza C | -0.76 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:29 |
| 7 Dmitry Kulikov D | -1.02 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 20:18 |
| 71 Luke Kunin C | -1.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:27 |
| 18 Noah Gregor L | -1.19 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -1.35 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 12:49 |
| 29 Cole Reinhardt L | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 11:12 |
| 11 Mackie Samoskevich R | -1.20 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 16:51 |
| 20 Mike Benning D | -1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 14:30 |
| 6 Donovan Sebrango D | -2.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.86 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:29 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +4.01 | +1.85 | +0.46 | +1.59 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.13 | — | 19:22 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +3.12 | +1.25 | +0.26 | +1.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 27:51 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | +2.36 | +0.70 | +0.12 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 22:04 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | +2.29 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +1.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 20:15 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | +2.23 | 0.00 | +0.51 | +1.55 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 17:52 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +2.18 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:43 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | +1.92 | +1.30 | +0.02 | +0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:44 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +1.89 | +0.70 | +0.38 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 18:17 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | +1.66 | +0.75 | +0.37 | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.03 | +0.05 | — | 10:50 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | +1.42 | +0.75 | +0.25 | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | — | 17:56 |
| 92 Simon Holmstrom R | +1.16 | +0.75 | +0.20 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:33 |
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.19 | +0.76 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.04 | — | 20:18 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +0.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.82 | 60:00 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | +0.74 | 0.00 | +0.14 | +0.48 | +0.15 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 9:47 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:07 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | +0.53 | +0.55 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 11:54 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | +0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 10:47 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | +0.17 | 0.00 | +0.27 | -0.25 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.05 | — | 14:25 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | +0.09 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.14 | — | 21:15 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.