Dallas StarsDAL 1–2 Final/OT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Sunday, March 29, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Dallas StarsDAL 0100 1 18
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 0101 2 30
Playoff odds, % Change
PHI +9.8
DAL +0.0
CBJ -2.1
NYI -1.9
PIT -1.9
OTT -1.5
BOS -0.9
DET -0.7
WSH -0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 29, 2026 6:37 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
9:48 PHI Travis Konecny (26)PP Matvei Michkov (24), Rasmus Ristolainen (9) · wrist xG 0.39 0–1 ▶
17:53 DAL Arttu Hyry (1)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.11 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
No scoring
Overtime
3:27 PHI Trevor Zegras (23) Cam York (22), Samuel Ersson (1) · snap xG 0.12 1–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

DAL 39%Deserve to win61% PHI
DALPHI
2.38Expected goals3.01
1Goals (no shootout)2
1.61Expected goals, 5 on 51.71
42Shot attempts52
31Unblocked attempts46
18Shots on goal30

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
6:10 DAL No shift No shift · Bunting, 37:42 on the bench
No shift after 16:08 of the 1st; 6 shifts (3:46) before that
Overtime
3:27 PHI Deserve to win Deserve to win · PHI takes the lead, 61–39%
DAL had led since 11:07 of the 1st, by as much as 74%

Shot map

DAL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ PHI shoots
Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 0:13) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.14 (P1 0:24) Adam Erne: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:53) Denver Barkey: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:45) Arttu Hyry: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:52) Wyatt Johnston: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:19) Jason Robertson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 7:09) Noah Cates: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:08) Nick Seeler: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:37) Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:51) Michael Bunting: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 10:10) Wyatt Johnston: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 11:07) Matt Duchene: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 11:27) Matt Duchene: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 11:50) Tyler Myers: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 13:06) Owen Tippett: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 13:33) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 14:06) Michael Bunting: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 14:44) Garnet Hathaway: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:12) Jason Robertson: backhand, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:35) Jamie Benn: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:52) Tyler Myers: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:56) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 18:31) Rasmus Ristolainen: backhand, 28 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:49) Jason Robertson: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:12) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 0:43) Nick Seeler: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:58) Matvei Michkov: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:20) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:24) Carl Grundstrom: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 4:26) Thomas Harley: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:04) Matvei Michkov: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 7:57) Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:07) Noah Cates: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:08) Travis Sanheim: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:56) Mavrik Bourque: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 12:06) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:29) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:30) Matvei Michkov: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:41) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:55) Jason Robertson: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 13:47) Justin Hryckowian: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:53) Adam Erne: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 14:38) Adam Erne: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:39) Emil Andrae: wrist, 97 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:48) Mikko Rantanen: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 15:54) Mikko Rantanen: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:00) Travis Konecny: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:25) Matvei Michkov: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 17:36) Christian Dvorak: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 17:42) Sean Couturier: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:58) Jason Robertson: tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 19:05) Wyatt Johnston: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 19:07) Sean Couturier: wrist, 132 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:11) Carl Grundstrom: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:02) Oskar Bäck: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:10) Owen Tippett: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:49) Nick Seeler: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:53) Alex Bump: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:16) Noah Cates: wrap-around, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 7:26) Travis Sanheim: slap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:44) Garnet Hathaway: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 8:54) Luke Glendening: snap, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:55) Matvei Michkov: snap, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:34) Travis Sanheim: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:47) Travis Konecny: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:06) Mavrik Bourque: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:44) Arttu Hyry: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 14:45) Travis Konecny: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:29) Wyatt Johnston: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:39) Travis Konecny: snap, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 19:40) Trevor Zegras: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.08 (OT 0:38) Travis Konecny: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (OT 1:07) Owen Tippett: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 2:50) Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.39 (P2 9:48) Arttu Hyry: GOAL, snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 17:53) Trevor Zegras: GOAL, snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (OT 3:27)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Dallas Stars

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
53 Wyatt Johnston 000 -1 70.76 0023:00
96 Mikko Rantanen 000 -1 60.28 2021:24
21 Jason Robertson 000 0 50.19 1020:55
22 Mavrik Bourque 000 0 30.11 1018:02
95 Matt Duchene 000 0 20.29 1017:20
49 Justin Hryckowian 000 0 10.06 3114:37
14 Jamie Benn 000 0 10.02 1014:14
10 Oskar Bäck 000 +1 10.04 0014:12
15 Colin Blackwell 000 0 00.00 0013:25
25 Arttu Hyry 101 +1 30.15 2112:20
73 Adam Erne 000 0 30.16 1010:39
58 Michael Bunting 000 0 20.30 1003:46
Defense
55 Thomas Harley 000 +1 30.02 0125:09
4 Miro Heiskanen 000 -1 10.00 0024:07
23 Esa Lindell 000 0 10.00 0223:01
5 Nils Lundkvist 000 0 00.00 0017:56
57 Tyler Myers 000 +1 20.02 0015:33
6 Lian Bichsel 000 0 10.00 1014:53
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Casey DeSmith 30228 .933 3.01 +1.01

Philadelphia Flyers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Travis Konecny 101 0 80.80 2021:24
46 Trevor Zegras 101 +1 30.23 1220:17
22 Christian Dvorak 000 0 20.33 1019:58
74 Owen Tippett 000 -1 30.20 2018:03
27 Noah Cates 000 0 40.11 3016:45
39 Matvei Michkov 011 0 50.24 1015:16
86 Denver Barkey 000 -1 10.12 0014:42
14 Sean Couturier 000 0 20.08 2014:31
41 Luke Glendening 000 0 10.04 1012:27
91 Carl Grundstrom 000 0 60.38 1012:18
21 Garnet Hathaway 000 0 20.10 10211:41
20 Alex Bump 000 0 10.03 1009:46
Defense
8 Cam York 011 +1 00.00 1024:12
6 Travis Sanheim 000 -1 30.12 1323:19
55 Rasmus Ristolainen 011 0 40.16 1222:12
9 Jamie Drysdale 000 -1 10.00 0122:10
24 Nick Seeler 000 0 50.05 3016:08
36 Emil Andrae 000 0 10.00 0011:12
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Samuel Ersson 18117 .944 2.38 +1.38

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Dallas Stars

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
1 Casey DeSmith G +1.01 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.01 63:27
58 Michael Bunting L +0.92 0.00 +0.19 +0.58 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 3:46
25 Arttu Hyry R +0.71 +0.75 +0.10 -0.20 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 12:20
53 Wyatt Johnston C +0.50 0.00 +0.49 +0.36 -0.30 -0.04 -0.02 — 23:00
96 Mikko Rantanen R +0.34 0.00 +0.18 +0.31 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:24
73 Adam Erne L +0.34 0.00 +0.10 +0.09 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:39
5 Nils Lundkvist D +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:56
6 Lian Bichsel D +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:53
49 Justin Hryckowian C +0.05 0.00 +0.04 -0.01 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 14:37
57 Tyler Myers D +0.04 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:33
23 Esa Lindell D -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 23:01
15 Colin Blackwell C -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 13:25
95 Matt Duchene C -0.09 0.00 +0.19 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:20
14 Jamie Benn L -0.12 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 14:14
55 Thomas Harley D -0.12 0.00 +0.01 -0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:09
10 Oskar Bäck C -0.15 0.00 +0.02 -0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:12
22 Mavrik Bourque C -0.16 0.00 +0.07 -0.25 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 18:02
4 Miro Heiskanen D -0.23 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 24:07
21 Jason Robertson L -0.46 0.00 +0.12 -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 20:55

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Travis Konecny R +2.24 +0.75 +0.52 +0.81 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 21:24
33 Samuel Ersson G +1.93 +0.55 — — 0.00 — — +1.38 63:27
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +1.28 +0.55 +0.10 +0.38 +0.15 0.00 +0.10 — 22:12
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.25 +0.75 +0.15 +0.39 -0.15 +0.01 +0.10 — 20:17
91 Carl Grundstrom R +0.77 0.00 +0.25 +0.52 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:18
22 Christian Dvorak C +0.69 0.00 +0.22 +0.50 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 19:58
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.63 +0.70 +0.16 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:16
8 Cam York D +0.63 +0.70 0.00 -0.18 +0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 24:12
74 Owen Tippett R +0.37 0.00 +0.13 +0.25 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 18:03
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.34 0.00 +0.08 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 23:19
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 22:10
52 Denver Barkey C +0.16 0.00 +0.08 +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:42
36 Emil Andrae D -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:12
27 Noah Cates L -0.16 0.00 +0.07 -0.24 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 16:45
20 Alex Bump L -0.20 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 9:46
24 Nick Seeler D -0.22 0.00 +0.03 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 16:08
19 Garnet Hathaway R -0.37 0.00 +0.07 -0.53 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 11:41
41 Luke Glendening C -0.48 0.00 +0.02 -0.52 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 12:27
14 Sean Couturier C -0.54 0.00 +0.05 -0.44 -0.15 +0.02 -0.02 — 14:31

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.