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Vancouver CanucksVAN 2–4 Final Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Monday, March 30, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Vancouver CanucksVAN 110 2 24
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK 031 4 34
Playoff odds, % Change
VGK +8.0
VAN +0.0
SEA -2.1
SJS -1.4
LAK -1.3
NSH -1.3
STL -0.6
WPG -0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 30, 2026 9:28 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
12:19 VAN Evander Kane (13) Jake DeBrusk (19) · backhand xG 0.20 1–0 ▶
2nd Period
7:48 VGK Rasmus Andersson (15) Tomas Hertl (31), Noah Hanifin (21) · wrist xG 0.39 1–1 ▶
12:17 VAN Brock Boeser (18)PP Filip Hronek (34), Elias Pettersson (31) · tip-in xG 0.10 2–1 ▶
17:17 VGK Shea Theodore (9) Ivan Barbashev (32), Mark Stone (42) · snap xG 0.16 2–2 ▶
18:34 VGK Reilly Smith (13) Brayden McNabb (5) · wrist xG 0.12 2–3 ▶
3rd Period
18:50 VGK Cole Smith (7)EN Jeremy Lauzon (11), Nic Dowd (14) · backhand xG 0.33 2–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

VAN 20%Deserve to win80% VGK
VANVGK
1.54Expected goals4.03
2Goals (no shootout)4
1.26Expected goals, 5 on 53.03
33Shot attempts67
28Unblocked attempts47
24Shots on goal34

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
7:50 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.11–0.09
In xG over 10 minutes, 17:50 of the 1st to 7:50 of the 2nd; goals 1–0
3rd Period
2:20 VGK No shift No shift · Smith, 10:55 on the bench
No shift from 11:48 of the 2nd to 3:06 of the 3rd; 8 shifts (6:08) before that
2:20 VGK xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.14–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 13:40 of the 2nd to 3:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
17:46 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 3–2
With 2:14 left; VGK scored at 18:50 of the 3rd (2–4)

Shot map

VAN shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots
Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 2:40) Mark Stone: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:46) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:39) Marco Rossi: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:55) Evander Kane: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:03) Reilly Smith: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:06) Jack Eichel: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 8:31) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:59) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 106 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 9:42) Ivan Barbashev: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 11:24) Jack Eichel: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 11:35) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:42) Brock Boeser: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 13:34) Marco Rossi: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:35) Pavel Dorofeyev: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 16:17) Reilly Smith: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:27) Elias Pettersson: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 17:07) Mitch Marner: tip-in, 58 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 19:23) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:46) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:19) Evander Kane: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 0:22) Drew O'Connor: backhand, 25 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:08) Mark Stone: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:27) Jack Eichel: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 2:23) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 111 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 3:04) Teddy Blueger: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:33) Brett Howden: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 3:51) Shea Theodore: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 5:01) Brayden McNabb: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 5:12) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 172 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 5:46) Mitch Marner: between-legs, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:59) Rasmus Andersson: backhand, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 7:19) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 7:26) Noah Hanifin: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:32) Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 8:44) Jack Eichel: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:32) Brock Boeser: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 12:03) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:39) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 14:16) Evander Kane: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:59) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 15:10) Reilly Smith: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:12) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:46) Reilly Smith: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:48) Tomas Hertl: tip-in, 26 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:56) Shea Theodore: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 18:20) Rasmus Andersson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:54) Pavel Dorofeyev: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:16) Pavel Dorofeyev: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:57) Jack Eichel: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 1:20) Tomas Hertl: snap, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:05) Brayden McNabb: slap, 54 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:24) Filip Hronek: wrist, 165 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 2:44) Nils Hoglander: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:14) Drew O'Connor: deflected, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 4:50) Colton Sissons: wrist, 96 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 4:58) Evander Kane: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 5:57) Ivan Barbashev: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:16) Kaedan Korczak: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:49) Drew O'Connor: snap, 11 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 7:20) Tomas Hertl: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 8:26) Tom Willander: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:57) Colton Sissons: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:22) Zeev Buium: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:58) Keegan Kolesar: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 13:05) Noah Hanifin: wrist, 73 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:20) Liam Ohgren: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 14:38) Linus Karlsson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:22) Jeremy Lauzon: wrist, 168 ft, xG 0.37 (P3 18:43) Evander Kane: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 12:19) Rasmus Andersson: GOAL, wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.39 (P2 7:48) Brock Boeser: GOAL, tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:17) Shea Theodore: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:17) Reilly Smith: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:34) Cole Smith: GOAL, backhand, 39 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 18:50)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
73 Teddy Blueger 000 -1 10.01 3218:14
40 Elias Pettersson 011 -1 40.08 2118:12
23 Marco Rossi 000 -1 20.11 0017:50
6 Brock Boeser 101 -2 30.33 3117:36
74 Jake DeBrusk 011 -1 20.10 0116:53
18 Drew O'Connor 000 -2 30.27 2116:43
94 Linus Karlsson 000 -1 20.13 1116:14
92 Liam Ohgren 000 -1 10.11 0014:54
91 Evander Kane 101 0 60.33 1014:42
54 Aatu Räty 000 0 00.00 2111:08
21 Nils Hoglander 000 0 20.03 1108:53
42 Curtis Douglas 000 0 00.00 2005:19
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 011 -1 30.00 2028:00
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 0 00.00 0125:22
5 Tom Willander 000 0 20.02 2422:05
8 Zeev Buium 000 -1 20.03 0020:24
25 Elias Pettersson 000 -2 00.00 3013:53
90 Victor Mancini 000 -2 00.00 1110:54
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Kevin Lankinen 33330 .909 3.33 +0.33

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
9 Jack Eichel 000 +1 70.46 1022:35
93 Mitch Marner 000 -1 40.15 1020:19
61 Mark Stone 011 +1 30.17 3120:07
16 Pavel Dorofeyev 000 -1 60.48 1019:45
49 Ivan Barbashev 011 +1 20.05 7017:41
21 Brett Howden 000 -1 10.13 4115:43
48 Tomas Hertl 011 +2 50.48 1015:05
19 Reilly Smith 101 +2 60.33 0013:10
15 Colton Sissons 000 +2 20.06 1112:29
55 Keegan Kolesar 000 +1 10.11 3010:16
22 Cole Smith 101 +1 10.33 7009:55
26 Nic Dowd 011 +1 10.00 2008:29
Defense
27 Shea Theodore 101 +2 60.28 0022:35
3 Brayden McNabb 011 +2 50.05 0121:38
15 Noah Hanifin 011 +1 70.02 0019:53
4 Rasmus Andersson 101 +1 70.53 0019:29
5 Jeremy Lauzon 011 0 20.38 2016:40
6 Kaedan Korczak 000 0 10.02 0013:57
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Adin Hill 24222 .917 1.54 -0.46

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
91 Evander Kane L +0.54 +0.75 +0.22 -0.42 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 14:42
32 Kevin Lankinen G +0.33 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.33 58:44
74 Jake DeBrusk L +0.26 +0.70 +0.06 -0.54 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 16:53
6 Brock Boeser R +0.16 +0.75 +0.22 -0.86 0.00 -0.01 +0.07 — 17:36
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.13 +0.55 +0.05 -0.48 0.00 -0.04 +0.05 — 18:12
5 Tom Willander D +0.09 0.00 +0.01 -0.12 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 22:05
29 Marcus Pettersson D -0.06 0.00 0.00 -0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 25:22
53 Teddy Blueger C -0.10 0.00 +0.01 -0.26 0.00 +0.05 +0.10 — 18:14
42 Curtis Douglas C -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 5:19
21 Nils Hoglander L -0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 8:53
17 Filip Hronek D -0.21 +0.70 0.00 -0.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 28:00
24 Zeev Buium D -0.32 0.00 +0.02 -0.43 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 20:24
54 Aatu Räty C -0.41 0.00 0.00 -0.54 0.00 +0.10 +0.03 — 11:08
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.50 0.00 +0.18 -0.72 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:43
93 Marco Rossi C -0.61 0.00 +0.07 -0.60 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 17:50
94 Linus Karlsson C -0.77 0.00 +0.09 -0.91 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:14
92 Liam Ohgren L -0.97 0.00 +0.07 -0.89 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:54
25 Elias Pettersson D -1.53 0.00 0.00 -1.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:53
90 Victor Mancini D -1.62 0.00 0.00 -1.52 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 10:54

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
48 Tomas Hertl C +2.77 +0.70 +0.31 +1.56 +0.15 +0.05 0.00 — 15:05
19 Reilly Smith R +2.61 +0.75 +0.22 +1.49 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:10
4 Rasmus Andersson D +2.23 +0.75 +0.35 +1.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:29
3 Brayden McNabb D +1.70 +0.70 +0.03 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:38
15 Noah Hanifin D +1.58 +0.55 +0.01 +1.06 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:53
27 Shea Theodore D +1.57 +0.75 +0.18 +0.66 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:35
5 Jeremy Lauzon D +1.53 +0.70 +0.25 +0.56 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:40
49 Ivan Barbashev L +1.51 +0.70 +0.03 +0.81 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 17:41
10 Colton Sissons C +1.48 0.00 +0.04 +1.37 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 12:29
61 Mark Stone R +1.36 +0.55 +0.11 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:07
9 Jack Eichel C +0.90 0.00 +0.30 +0.62 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:35
22 Cole Smith R +0.80 +0.75 +0.21 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:55
26 Nic Dowd C +0.68 +0.55 0.00 +0.16 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 8:29
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R +0.44 0.00 +0.31 +0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:45
6 Kaedan Korczak D +0.36 0.00 +0.02 +0.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
93 Mitch Marner R +0.12 0.00 +0.10 +0.11 0.00 -0.06 -0.02 — 20:19
21 Brett Howden C +0.08 0.00 +0.08 -0.06 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 15:43
55 Keegan Kolesar R -0.20 0.00 +0.07 -0.12 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 10:16
33 Adin Hill G -0.46 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -0.46 59:51

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.