| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 28 |
 |
1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 33 |
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 14:19 | |
Jack Quinn (18)PP Josh Norris (16) · wrist xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 17:57 | |
Calum Ritchie (12)PP Brayden Schenn (21), Bo Horvat (23) · wrist xG 0.17 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:40 | |
Tage Thompson (38)PP Josh Norris (17), Jack Quinn (31) · wrist xG 0.09 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 13:39 | |
Anders Lee (18) Bo Horvat (24), Matthew Schaefer (35) · wrist xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 16:59 | |
Peyton Krebs (11) Alex Tuch (31), Tage Thompson (40) · snap xG 0.17 | 2–3 ▶ |
| 18:17 | |
Bowen Byram (11)EN Mattias Samuelsson (28) · wrist xG 0.47 | 2–4 ▶ |
| 19:59 | |
Brayden Schenn (17) Mathew Barzal (49), Bo Horvat (25) · wrist xG 0.13 | 3–4 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| NYI | BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.18 | Expected goals | 4.01 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 0.92 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.78 |
| 52 | Shot attempts | 65 |
| 37 | Unblocked attempts | 54 |
| 28 | Shots on goal | 33 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 3rd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 17:10 | BUF | No shift | No shift · Carrick, 10:59 on the bench
No shift after 0:01 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (6:47) before that |
| 17:25 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 3–2
With 2:35 left; BUF scored at 18:17 of the 3rd (2–4) |
| 18:58 | NYI | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Sorokin, down 4–2
With 1:02 left; NYI scored at 19:59 of the 3rd (3–4) |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Bo Horvat | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 0.31 | 1 | 0 | 21:22 |
| 13 | Mathew Barzal | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 20:24 |
| 10 | Brayden Schenn | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0.25 | 3 | 0 | 18:54 |
| 64 | Calum Ritchie | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 16:33 |
| 51 | Emil Heineman | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 15:21 |
| 44 | Jean-Gabriel Pageau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 15:19 |
| 72 | Anders Lee | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.26 | 4 | 0 | 14:10 |
| 53 | Casey Cizikas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 3 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 32 | Kyle MacLean | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 5 | 0 | 12:18 |
| 81 | Ondrej Palat | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 11:42 |
| 11 | Anthony Duclair | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 |
| 17 | Marc Gatcomb | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 3 | 2 | 11:07 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 48 | Matthew Schaefer | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0.33 | 0 | 1 | 29:40 |
| 3 | Adam Pelech | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.09 | 1 | 2 | 21:17 |
| 7 | Carson Soucy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 19:22 |
| 6 | Ryan Pulock | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 |
| 34 | Adam Boqvist | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 13:02 |
| 24 | Scott Mayfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 12:01 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilya Sorokin | 32 | 3 | 29 | .906 | 3.38 | +0.38 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 72 | Tage Thompson | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 0.51 | 1 | 0 | 21:31 |
| 89 | Alex Tuch | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.19 | 3 | 2 | 20:25 |
| 71 | Ryan McLeod | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 2 | 18:38 |
| 19 | Peyton Krebs | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 5 | 0 | 17:37 |
| 22 | Jack Quinn | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 8 | 0.52 | 3 | 0 | 16:11 |
| 17 | Jason Zucker | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 15:32 |
| 9 | Josh Norris | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.06 | 2 | 0 | 15:04 |
| 91 | Josh Doan | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 0 | 13:17 |
| 6 | Zach Benson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.46 | 1 | 0 | 13:02 |
| 29 | Beck Malenstyn | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 0 | 11:20 |
| 12 | Jordan Greenway | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 11:13 |
| 10 | Sam Carrick | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 06:47 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 26 | Rasmus Dahlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 8 | 0.42 | 0 | 0 | 23:14 |
| 23 | Mattias Samuelsson | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.10 | 3 | 2 | 22:44 |
| 24 | Bowen Byram | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0.71 | 1 | 3 | 22:14 |
| 25 | Owen Power | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 19:16 |
| 73 | Zach Metsa | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 14:04 |
| 8 | Logan Stanley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | 28 | 3 | 25 | .893 | 2.18 | -0.82 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Bo Horvat C | +0.97 | +1.80 | +0.20 | -1.04 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 21:22 |
| 27 Anders Lee L | +0.81 | +0.75 | +0.17 | -0.21 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:10 |
| 10 Brayden Schenn C | +0.80 | +1.45 | +0.16 | -0.80 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 18:54 |
| 64 Calum Ritchie C | +0.59 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 16:33 |
| 30 Ilya Sorokin G | +0.38 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.38 | 57:52 |
| 48 Matthew Schaefer D | +0.11 | +0.55 | +0.21 | -0.88 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 29:40 |
| 16 Marc Gatcomb C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:07 |
| 6 Ryan Pulock D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:17 |
| 32 Kyle MacLean C | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.04 | -0.07 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.04 | — | 12:18 |
| 44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.19 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:19 |
| 3 Adam Pelech D | -0.31 | 0.00 | +0.06 | -0.32 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:17 |
| 13 Mathew Barzal C | -0.32 | +0.70 | +0.08 | -1.09 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 20:24 |
| 81 Ondrej Palat L | -0.44 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 11:42 |
| 51 Emil Heineman L | -0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 15:21 |
| 34 Adam Boqvist D | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.15 | -0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:02 |
| 24 Scott Mayfield D | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.88 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 12:01 |
| 53 Casey Cizikas C | -0.68 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.49 | -0.15 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 13:17 |
| 11 Anthony Duclair L | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 11:29 |
| 4 Carson Soucy D | -1.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.14 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:22 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 72 Tage Thompson C | +2.63 | +1.30 | +0.33 | +0.83 | +0.15 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 21:31 |
| 89 Alex Tuch R | +1.98 | +0.70 | +0.13 | +1.05 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.10 | — | 20:25 |
| 4 Bowen Byram D | +1.92 | +0.75 | +0.46 | +0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 22:14 |
| 23 Mattias Samuelsson D | +1.86 | +0.70 | +0.07 | +1.20 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.04 | — | 22:44 |
| 22 Jack Quinn R | +1.79 | +1.30 | +0.34 | +0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 16:11 |
| 26 Rasmus Dahlin D | +1.79 | 0.00 | +0.27 | +1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 23:14 |
| 9 Josh Norris C | +1.69 | +1.40 | +0.04 | +0.58 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:04 |
| 19 Peyton Krebs C | +1.50 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.70 | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.04 | — | 17:37 |
| 6 Zach Benson L | +1.22 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.83 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 13:02 |
| 91 Josh Doan R | +1.01 | 0.00 | +0.08 | +0.79 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 13:17 |
| 71 Ryan McLeod C | +0.69 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.58 | 0.00 | -0.02 | +0.06 | — | 18:38 |
| 73 Zach Metsa D | +0.45 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 14:04 |
| 64 Logan Stanley D | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:54 |
| 29 Beck Malenstyn L | +0.31 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 11:20 |
| 12 Jordan Greenway L | +0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 11:13 |
| 17 Jason Zucker L | +0.28 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.22 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.03 | — | 15:32 |
| 10 Sam Carrick C | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 6:47 |
| 25 Owen Power D | -0.03 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.02 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 19:16 |
| 1 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen G | -0.82 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -0.82 | 59:41 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.