Washington CapitalsWSH 1–8 Final New York RangersNYR

Sunday, April 5, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH 100 1 21
New York RangersNYR 152 8 33
Playoff odds, % Change
WSH -12.8
NYR +0.0
NYI +4.0
PHI +2.8
CBJ +2.7
OTT +1.7
DET +1.1

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 5, 2026 5:32 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
0:23 NYR Conor Sheary (7) Tye Kartye (13), Adam Fox (41) · snap xG 0.26 0–1 ▶
13:45 WSH Connor McMichael (12) Tom Wilson (29), Martin Fehérváry (19) · snap xG 0.16 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
3:07 NYR J.T. Miller (17)PP Mika Zibanejad (40), Adam Fox (42) · deflected xG 0.17 1–2 ▶
5:53 NYR Will Cuylle (18) Braden Schneider (16), Jonny Brodzinski (10) · tip-in xG 0.40 1–3 ▶
8:33 NYR Will Cuylle (19) Vincent Trocheck (36), Vladislav Gavrikov (20) · wrist xG 0.03 1–4 ▶
13:22 NYR Adam Sykora (3) Noah Laba (14), Jaroslav Chmelar (2) · snap xG 0.28 1–5 ▶
18:27 NYR Adam Fox (8)PP Mika Zibanejad (41), J.T. Miller (33) · snap xG 0.05 1–6 ▶
3rd Period
2:27 NYR Vincent Trocheck (16) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.10 1–7 ▶
19:28 NYR Will Cuylle (20) Mika Zibanejad (42), Alexis Lafrenière (31) · snap xG 0.15 1–8 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 16%Deserve to win84% NYR
WSHNYR
1.88Expected goals4.16
1Goals (no shootout)8
1.46Expected goals, 5 on 52.96
46Shot attempts69
32Unblocked attempts47
21Shots on goal33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
15:58 WSH Deserve to win Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 66–34%
NYR had led since 0:23 of the 1st, by as much as 65%
2nd Period
5:53 NYR Deserve to win Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 69–31%
WSH had led since 15:58 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
6:00 NYR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.24–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:00 of the 1st to 6:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0
8:33 WSH Goalie Goalie · Lindgren −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.66 xG, 14 shots on goal
3rd Period
2:27 WSH Goalie Goalie · Lindgren −4.1 goals saved
7 goals on 2.89 xG, 24 shots on goal

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Conor Sheary: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 0:21) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 1:41) Tom Wilson: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:29) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 3:14) Noah Laba: wrist, 167 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 3:29) Hendrix Lapierre: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:12) Martin Fehérváry: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:45) Pierre-Luc Dubois: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 10:53) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:30) Braden Schneider: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:36) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:54) Adam Sykora: snap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:01) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:56) Brandon Duhaime: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.27 (P1 15:58) Matthew Robertson: deflected, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:36) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 19:36) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 0:25) Will Cuylle: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:45) Gabe Perreault: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:46) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 1:56) Vincent Trocheck: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 2:27) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 170 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 3:05) Jakob Chychrun: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:35) Ryan Leonard: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 7:55) Rasmus Sandin: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:22) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 9:39) Noah Laba: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 10:06) Tom Wilson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:49) Jakob Chychrun: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:23) Dylan Strome: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 11:30) Conor Sheary: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 11:38) J.T. Miller: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:56) Alex Ovechkin: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 12:22) Aliaksei Protas: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 12:48) Adam Sykora: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:42) Adam Sykora: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:42) Adam Sykora: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 13:44) Jonny Brodzinski: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 13:45) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:22) Gabe Perreault: snap, 22 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 15:28) Vladislav Gavrikov: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:48) Pierre-Luc Dubois: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 19:45) Matt Roy: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 0:10) Justin Sourdif: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 1:31) Cole Hutson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:39) Ethen Frank: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 2:59) Alex Ovechkin: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 4:20) Justin Sourdif: snap, 62 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:53) Vincent Trocheck: wrap-around, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:14) Braden Schneider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:17) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:25) Will Cuylle: backhand, 112 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 10:14) Will Cuylle: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 10:45) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 6 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:47) Jaroslav Chmelar: poke, 6 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 12:07) Noah Laba: snap, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 12:34) Matthew Robertson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:23) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 13:41) Will Cuylle: deflected, 20 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:29) Tom Wilson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 14:46) Trevor van Riemsdyk: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:56) Alex Ovechkin: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 16:15) Justin Sourdif: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 16:30) Ryan Leonard: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 16:55) Tom Wilson: backhand, 22 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:30) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:06) Aliaksei Protas: backhand, 24 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 18:13) Conor Sheary: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 18:55) Braden Schneider: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:00) Jonny Brodzinski: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:38) Conor Sheary: GOAL, snap, 14 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 0:23) Connor McMichael: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 13:45) J.T. Miller: GOAL, deflected, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 3:07) Will Cuylle: GOAL, tip-in, 2 ft, xG 0.40 (P2 5:53) Will Cuylle: GOAL, wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:33) Adam Sykora: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 13:22) Adam Fox: GOAL, snap, 59 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:27) Vincent Trocheck: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:27) Will Cuylle: GOAL, snap, 27 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:28)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
43 Tom Wilson 011 -2 50.19 4219:13
8 Alex Ovechkin 000 -1 50.22 2017:26
77 Connor McMichael 101 -3 10.16 0317:12
21 Aliaksei Protas 000 0 30.14 0017:05
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois 000 -3 30.21 1016:44
9 Ryan Leonard 000 -3 50.19 3015:58
34 Justin Sourdif 000 -2 40.12 3015:29
17 Dylan Strome 000 0 20.02 1213:35
24 Brandon Duhaime 000 -1 30.36 4213:29
72 Anthony Beauvillier 000 -1 00.00 0012:46
22 Hendrix Lapierre 000 0 10.02 2110:33
53 Ethen Frank 000 0 10.15 3109:44
Defense
38 Rasmus Sandin 000 -1 30.00 2221:06
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk 000 -1 10.01 0119:52
42 Martin Fehérváry 011 +1 10.02 1118:59
44 Cole Hutson 000 -4 20.02 0118:38
3 Matt Roy 000 -3 30.01 0318:00
6 Jakob Chychrun 000 -1 30.05 0117:41
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Charlie Lindgren 33825 .758 4.16 -3.84

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
93 Mika Zibanejad 033 +1 20.19 1319:54
13 Alexis Lafrenière 011 +1 30.18 0018:06
16 Vincent Trocheck 112 +3 50.45 3017:03
94 Gabe Perreault 000 0 40.24 1015:55
42 Noah Laba 011 +2 30.15 2015:38
10 J.T. Miller 112 0 40.19 1114:58
49 Jaroslav Chmelar 011 +1 20.16 3114:19
22 Jonny Brodzinski 011 +2 50.16 0114:07
43 Conor Sheary 101 +1 40.52 0013:49
38 Adam Sykora 101 +1 70.59 1213:36
50 Will Cuylle 303 +3 111.07 4012:58
24 Tye Kartye 011 0 20.00 4209:44
Defense
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 011 +2 30.07 1121:05
4 Braden Schneider 011 +4 50.03 0120:10
23 Adam Fox 123 +1 30.05 0019:31
45 Drew Fortescue 000 +3 10.00 1017:53
29 Matthew Robertson 000 0 40.09 1117:50
17 Will Borgen 000 0 10.00 0017:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 21120 .952 1.88 +0.88

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
42 Martin Fehérváry D +0.93 +0.55 +0.01 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:59
53 Ethen Frank R +0.42 0.00 +0.10 +0.13 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 9:44
22 Brandon Duhaime L +0.29 0.00 +0.23 -0.02 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 13:29
21 Aliaksei Protas L +0.24 0.00 +0.09 +0.03 +0.15 -0.03 0.00 — 17:05
29 Hendrix Lapierre C +0.18 0.00 +0.01 +0.25 0.00 -0.11 +0.03 — 10:33
43 Tom Wilson R +0.06 +0.70 +0.12 -0.86 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 19:13
17 Dylan Strome C -0.11 0.00 +0.01 -0.12 -0.15 +0.03 +0.12 — 13:35
8 Alex Ovechkin L -0.28 0.00 +0.14 -0.40 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 17:26
3 Matt Roy D -0.43 0.00 0.00 -0.57 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:00
38 Rasmus Sandin D -0.74 0.00 0.00 -0.84 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:06
6 Jakob Chychrun D -0.84 0.00 +0.03 -0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:41
72 Anthony Beauvillier R -0.84 0.00 0.00 -0.71 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 12:46
9 Ryan Leonard R -1.01 0.00 +0.12 -1.11 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 15:58
24 Connor McMichael L -1.02 +0.75 +0.11 -1.84 -0.15 -0.01 +0.13 — 17:12
34 Justin Sourdif C -1.06 0.00 +0.08 -1.14 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 15:29
44 Cole Hutson D -1.24 0.00 +0.01 -1.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 18:38
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D -1.26 0.00 0.00 -1.29 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:52
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C -1.46 0.00 +0.14 -1.55 0.00 -0.05 0.00 — 16:44
79 Charlie Lindgren G -3.84 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.84 60:00

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
50 Will Cuylle L +3.46 +2.25 +0.70 +0.85 -0.30 0.00 -0.04 — 12:58
23 Adam Fox D +3.36 +1.85 +0.03 +1.35 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:31
93 Mika Zibanejad C +2.90 +2.10 +0.13 +0.49 0.00 +0.01 +0.17 — 19:54
16 Vincent Trocheck C +2.44 +1.45 +0.30 +0.65 0.00 +0.04 0.00 — 17:03
38 Adam Sykora L +2.09 +0.75 +0.38 +0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 13:36
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +1.99 +0.55 +0.05 +1.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 21:05
42 Noah Laba C +1.97 +0.70 +0.10 +1.13 0.00 +0.05 0.00 — 15:38
8 J.T. Miller C +1.92 +1.30 +0.13 +0.37 0.00 +0.09 +0.03 — 14:58
49 Jaroslav Chmelar R +1.60 +0.55 +0.10 +0.91 0.00 -0.01 +0.05 — 14:19
43 Conor Sheary L +1.58 +0.75 +0.34 +0.52 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 13:49
4 Braden Schneider D +1.52 +0.70 +0.02 +0.96 -0.15 0.00 -0.01 — 20:10
24 Tye Kartye L +1.32 +0.70 0.00 +0.35 +0.15 0.00 +0.12 — 9:44
22 Jonny Brodzinski C +1.23 +0.55 +0.10 +0.51 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:07
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +0.99 +0.55 +0.12 +0.34 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 18:06
45 Drew Fortescue D +0.99 0.00 0.00 +0.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:53
31 Igor Shesterkin G +0.88 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.88 60:00
94 Gabe Perreault R +0.33 0.00 +0.16 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 15:55
29 Matthew Robertson D +0.14 0.00 +0.06 +0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 17:50
17 Will Borgen D +0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:24

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.