| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | |
| 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 33 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:23 | Conor Sheary (7) Tye Kartye (13), Adam Fox (41) · snap xG 0.26 | 0–1 ▶ | |
| 13:45 | Connor McMichael (12) Tom Wilson (29), Martin Fehérváry (19) · snap xG 0.16 | 1–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 3:07 | J.T. Miller (17)PP Mika Zibanejad (40), Adam Fox (42) · deflected xG 0.17 | 1–2 ▶ | |
| 5:53 | Will Cuylle (18) Braden Schneider (16), Jonny Brodzinski (10) · tip-in xG 0.40 | 1–3 ▶ | |
| 8:33 | Will Cuylle (19) Vincent Trocheck (36), Vladislav Gavrikov (20) · wrist xG 0.03 | 1–4 ▶ | |
| 13:22 | Adam Sykora (3) Noah Laba (14), Jaroslav Chmelar (2) · snap xG 0.28 | 1–5 ▶ | |
| 18:27 | Adam Fox (8)PP Mika Zibanejad (41), J.T. Miller (33) · snap xG 0.05 | 1–6 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:27 | Vincent Trocheck (16) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.10 | 1–7 ▶ | |
| 19:28 | Will Cuylle (20) Mika Zibanejad (42), Alexis Lafrenière (31) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–8 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| WSH | NYR | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.88 | Expected goals | 4.16 |
| 1 | Goals (no shootout) | 8 |
| 1.46 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 2.96 |
| 46 | Shot attempts | 69 |
| 32 | Unblocked attempts | 47 |
| 21 | Shots on goal | 33 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 15:58 | WSH | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · WSH takes the lead, 66–34%
NYR had led since 0:23 of the 1st, by as much as 65% |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 5:53 | NYR | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · NYR takes the lead, 69–31%
WSH had led since 15:58 of the 1st, by as much as 66% |
| 6:00 | NYR | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.24–0.00
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:00 of the 1st to 6:00 of the 2nd; goals 2–0 |
| 8:33 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Lindgren −2.3 goals saved
4 goals on 1.66 xG, 14 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 2:27 | WSH | Goalie | Goalie · Lindgren −4.1 goals saved
7 goals on 2.89 xG, 24 shots on goal |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 43 | Tom Wilson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 5 | 0.19 | 4 | 2 | 19:13 |
| 8 | Alex Ovechkin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 5 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 17:26 |
| 77 | Connor McMichael | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 3 | 17:12 |
| 21 | Aliaksei Protas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.14 | 0 | 0 | 17:05 |
| 80 | Pierre-Luc Dubois | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.21 | 1 | 0 | 16:44 |
| 9 | Ryan Leonard | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 5 | 0.19 | 3 | 0 | 15:58 |
| 34 | Justin Sourdif | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.12 | 3 | 0 | 15:29 |
| 17 | Dylan Strome | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 2 | 13:35 |
| 24 | Brandon Duhaime | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.36 | 4 | 2 | 13:29 |
| 72 | Anthony Beauvillier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:46 |
| 22 | Hendrix Lapierre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 2 | 1 | 10:33 |
| 53 | Ethen Frank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 3 | 1 | 09:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 38 | Rasmus Sandin | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.00 | 2 | 2 | 21:06 |
| 57 | Trevor van Riemsdyk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 19:52 |
| 42 | Martin Fehérváry | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 18:59 |
| 44 | Cole Hutson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 18:38 |
| 3 | Matt Roy | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 3 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 18:00 |
| 6 | Jakob Chychrun | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 17:41 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Lindgren | 33 | 8 | 25 | .758 | 4.16 | -3.84 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 93 | Mika Zibanejad | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 3 | 19:54 |
| 13 | Alexis Lafrenière | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 18:06 |
| 16 | Vincent Trocheck | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 0.45 | 3 | 0 | 17:03 |
| 94 | Gabe Perreault | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 15:55 |
| 42 | Noah Laba | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.15 | 2 | 0 | 15:38 |
| 10 | J.T. Miller | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.19 | 1 | 1 | 14:58 |
| 49 | Jaroslav Chmelar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.16 | 3 | 1 | 14:19 |
| 22 | Jonny Brodzinski | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 14:07 |
| 43 | Conor Sheary | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 0.52 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 |
| 38 | Adam Sykora | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 0.59 | 1 | 2 | 13:36 |
| 50 | Will Cuylle | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 11 | 1.07 | 4 | 0 | 12:58 |
| 24 | Tye Kartye | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 4 | 2 | 09:44 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 44 | Vladislav Gavrikov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 0.07 | 1 | 1 | 21:05 |
| 4 | Braden Schneider | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 5 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 20:10 |
| 23 | Adam Fox | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 19:31 |
| 45 | Drew Fortescue | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17:53 |
| 29 | Matthew Robertson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.09 | 1 | 1 | 17:50 |
| 17 | Will Borgen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 17:24 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Igor Shesterkin | 21 | 1 | 20 | .952 | 1.88 | +0.88 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42 Martin Fehérváry D | +0.93 | +0.55 | +0.01 | +0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:59 |
| 53 Ethen Frank R | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.10 | +0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 9:44 |
| 22 Brandon Duhaime L | +0.29 | 0.00 | +0.23 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:29 |
| 21 Aliaksei Protas L | +0.24 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.03 | +0.15 | -0.03 | 0.00 | — | 17:05 |
| 29 Hendrix Lapierre C | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.25 | 0.00 | -0.11 | +0.03 | — | 10:33 |
| 43 Tom Wilson R | +0.06 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 19:13 |
| 17 Dylan Strome C | -0.11 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.12 | -0.15 | +0.03 | +0.12 | — | 13:35 |
| 8 Alex Ovechkin L | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -0.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 17:26 |
| 3 Matt Roy D | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.13 | — | 18:00 |
| 38 Rasmus Sandin D | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 21:06 |
| 6 Jakob Chychrun D | -0.84 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:41 |
| 72 Anthony Beauvillier R | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.71 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 12:46 |
| 9 Ryan Leonard R | -1.01 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 15:58 |
| 24 Connor McMichael L | -1.02 | +0.75 | +0.11 | -1.84 | -0.15 | -0.01 | +0.13 | — | 17:12 |
| 34 Justin Sourdif C | -1.06 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -1.14 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 15:29 |
| 44 Cole Hutson D | -1.24 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -1.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:38 |
| 57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D | -1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 19:52 |
| 80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C | -1.46 | 0.00 | +0.14 | -1.55 | 0.00 | -0.05 | 0.00 | — | 16:44 |
| 79 Charlie Lindgren G | -3.84 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -3.84 | 60:00 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 Will Cuylle L | +3.46 | +2.25 | +0.70 | +0.85 | -0.30 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 12:58 |
| 23 Adam Fox D | +3.36 | +1.85 | +0.03 | +1.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 19:31 |
| 93 Mika Zibanejad C | +2.90 | +2.10 | +0.13 | +0.49 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.17 | — | 19:54 |
| 16 Vincent Trocheck C | +2.44 | +1.45 | +0.30 | +0.65 | 0.00 | +0.04 | 0.00 | — | 17:03 |
| 38 Adam Sykora L | +2.09 | +0.75 | +0.38 | +0.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 13:36 |
| 44 Vladislav Gavrikov D | +1.99 | +0.55 | +0.05 | +1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 21:05 |
| 42 Noah Laba C | +1.97 | +0.70 | +0.10 | +1.13 | 0.00 | +0.05 | 0.00 | — | 15:38 |
| 8 J.T. Miller C | +1.92 | +1.30 | +0.13 | +0.37 | 0.00 | +0.09 | +0.03 | — | 14:58 |
| 49 Jaroslav Chmelar R | +1.60 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.91 | 0.00 | -0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:19 |
| 43 Conor Sheary L | +1.58 | +0.75 | +0.34 | +0.52 | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.02 | — | 13:49 |
| 4 Braden Schneider D | +1.52 | +0.70 | +0.02 | +0.96 | -0.15 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 20:10 |
| 24 Tye Kartye L | +1.32 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.35 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.12 | — | 9:44 |
| 22 Jonny Brodzinski C | +1.23 | +0.55 | +0.10 | +0.51 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.05 | — | 14:07 |
| 13 Alexis Lafrenière L | +0.99 | +0.55 | +0.12 | +0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 18:06 |
| 45 Drew Fortescue D | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:53 |
| 31 Igor Shesterkin G | +0.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.88 | 60:00 |
| 94 Gabe Perreault R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.16 | +0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:55 |
| 29 Matthew Robertson D | +0.14 | 0.00 | +0.06 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 17:50 |
| 17 Will Borgen D | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:24 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.