Colorado AvalancheCOL @ 7:00 PM EDT Philadelphia FlyersPHI

Monday, October 19, 2026

Win probability, % Win In reg OT/SO Exp pts
COL 66.0 49.8 16.2 1.40
PHI 34.0 25.7 8.3 0.84

From the ratings the simulation plays every game with: this and last season's results, with home ice. 24% of games go past regulation.

Playoff odds, % Now COL win PHI win Final Cup
PHI 7.3 -1.7 +3.3 0.3 0.1
COL 94.6 +1.3 -2.5 26.8 16.0
NYR 54.1 +0.4 -0.8 3.7 1.5
WSH 72.6 +0.3 -0.7 8.6 4.1
BOS 88.5 +0.3 -0.6 15.9 8.5
NYI 47.0 +0.3 -0.5 3.7 1.6

How each result would move each team's playoff odds, calculated Oct 19, 2026 3:30 AM EDT.

The teams

COL PHI
5–2–1 Record 1–6–3
11 (.688) Points 5 (.250)
3rd in the Central Place 5 pts out
5–2–1 Last 10 1–6–3
3–1–1 At home 1–2–2
2–1–0 On the road 0–4–1
W1 Streak W1
4.50 GF per game 1.40
3.00 GA per game 3.40
63.4 (1st) Strength 42.1 (28th)
57.5 (4th) xG share, 5v5 34.2 (32nd)
60.4 (2nd) xG share, all 37.4 (32nd)
-3.3 Saved above expected +3.3
2 days Rest 1 day

This regular season. Strength and xG share with the league rank in parentheses.

Leading scorers

SkaterGPGAP
Colorado Avalanche
Nathan MacKinnon861016
Martin Necas84610
Cale Makar7369
Artturi Lehkonen8628
Brock Nelson8347
Philadelphia Flyers
Matvei Michkov10415
Christian Dvorak10224
Trevor Zegras10224
Porter Martone10213
Travis Sanheim10123

Season series

Oct 19COL @ PHI · this game
Mar 9PHI @ COL