Buffalo SabresBUF @ 5:00 PM EST Tampa Bay LightningTBL

Sunday, November 22, 2026

Win probability, % Win In reg OT/SO Exp pts
BUF 39.5 29.8 9.7 0.94
TBL 60.5 45.7 14.8 1.31

From the ratings the simulation plays every game with: this and last season's results, with home ice. 24% of games go past regulation.

Playoff odds, % Now Day Final Cup
BUF 57.8 +0.4 5.9 2.7
TBL 87.3 +0.1 16.6 9.3

No impact calculated for this game. Impacts are calculated for games in the next 7 days.

The teams

BUF TBL
4–3–2 Record 6–2–0
10 (.556) Points 12 (.750)
2nd wild card Place 2nd in the Atlantic
4–3–2 Last 10 6–2–0
3–2–0 At home 5–0–0
1–1–2 On the road 1–2–0
OTL1 Streak W2
3.00 GF per game 3.12
3.78 GA per game 2.62
53.9 (12th) Strength 60.3 (3rd)
52.5 (12th) xG share, 5v5 58.1 (3rd)
49.8 (15th) xG share, all 59.1 (3rd)
-4.7 Saved above expected +0.5
Back-to-back Rest 2 days

This regular season. Strength and xG share with the league rank in parentheses.

Leading scorers

SkaterGPGAP
Buffalo Sabres
Tage Thompson9549
Jack Quinn9549
Owen Power9268
Mattias Samuelsson9257
Noah Ostlund9246
Tampa Bay Lightning
Brandon Hagel86511
Nikita Kucherov83710
Jake Guentzel8459
Brayden Point8156
Pontus Holmberg8235

Season series

Nov 11TBL @ BUF
Nov 22BUF @ TBL · this game
Jan 2BUF @ TBL
Apr 5TBL @ BUF