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Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 5–4 Final/OT New York RangersNYR

Monday, March 2, 2026

Final/OT 1st2nd3rdOT T SOG
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 2201 5 29
New York RangersNYR 0040 4 33
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ +4.7
NYR +0.0
BOS -0.9
NYI -0.8
OTT -0.6
WSH -0.6
DET -0.5
PIT -0.4
PHI -0.3
MTL -0.3

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 2, 2026 6:43 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
5:50 CBJ Adam Fantilli (16) Kirill Marchenko (28), Denton Mateychuk (14) · tip-in xG 0.09 1–0 ▶
15:32 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (21)PP Ivan Provorov (15), Charlie Coyle (29) · slap xG 0.10 2–0 ▶
2nd Period
3:27 CBJ Sean Monahan (11)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.22 3–0 ▶
11:54 CBJ Mathieu Olivier (9) Charlie Coyle (30), Damon Severson (18) · snap xG 0.07 4–0 ▶
3rd Period
0:30 NYR Vladislav Gavrikov (10) Alexis Lafrenière (21), Will Cuylle (16) · wrist xG 0.17 4–1 ▶
0:54 NYR Gabe Perreault (4) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.07 4–2 ▶
12:52 NYR Will Borgen (4) Gabe Perreault (6), J.T. Miller (24) · wrist xG 0.59 4–3 ▶
15:14 NYR Gabe Perreault (5) Will Borgen (5), Vincent Trocheck (27) · wrist xG 0.17 4–4 ▶
Overtime
1:04 CBJ Kirill Marchenko (22) Damon Severson (19), Adam Fantilli (25) · snap xG 0.17 5–4 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

CBJ 50%Deserve to win50% NYR
CBJNYR
2.72Expected goals2.72
5Goals (no shootout)4
2.14Expected goals, 5 on 51.99
51Shot attempts67
38Unblocked attempts45
29Shots on goal33

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
5:40 NYR No shift No shift · Carrick, 10:46 on the bench
No shift from 12:13 of the 1st to 6:17 of the 2nd; 5 shifts (2:28) before that
11:54 NYR Goalie Goalie · Shesterkin −2.5 goals saved
4 goals on 1.49 xG, 15 shots on goal
3rd Period
16:00 NYR xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.50–0.07
In xG over 10 minutes, 9:20 to 19:20 of the 3rd; goals 2–0

Shot map

CBJ shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYR shoots
Adam Fox: wrist, 122 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:13) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:27) Vincent Iorio: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:29) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:20) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 5:39) Vincent Trocheck: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 6:16) Kirill Marchenko: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:25) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:35) Adam Fantilli: tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:56) Dmitri Voronkov: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 8:23) Charlie Coyle: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 9:48) Dmitri Voronkov: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:33) Dante Fabbro: deflected, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:50) Isac Lundeström: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.18 (P1 16:53) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 17:54) Mason Marchment: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:08) Damon Severson: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 19:44) J.T. Miller: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:35) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 0:55) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 0:56) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:03) Will Cuylle: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 1:07) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:49) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 2:40) Mika Zibanejad: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:59) Conor Sheary: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:55) Taylor Raddysh: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:43) Sean Monahan: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 7:40) Mathieu Olivier: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 7:42) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:51) Will Cuylle: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 8:24) Will Borgen: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 8:31) Adam Fox: slap, 45 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 10:27) J.T. Miller: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 10:45) Matthew Robertson: slap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:31) Mason Marchment: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.24 (P2 13:45) Will Cuylle: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 14:49) Kirill Marchenko: tip-in, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 15:09) Denton Mateychuk: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 16:19) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 18:25) Adam Fantilli: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 18:34) Kirill Marchenko: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:39) Conor Sheary: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 19:22) Vladislav Gavrikov: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 0:21) Gabe Perreault: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:01) Boone Jenner: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:22) Sean Monahan: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 1:28) Sean Monahan: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 1:37) Brendan Brisson: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 2:24) Braden Schneider: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:14) Cole Sillinger: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 5:55) Ivan Provorov: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:39) Vincent Trocheck: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:59) Alexis Lafrenière: snap, 71 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 7:07) Erik Gudbranson: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:00) Charlie Coyle: backhand, 20 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 9:13) Adam Fox: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:11) Boone Jenner: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:29) Will Borgen: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:08) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 12:09) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 12:10) Alexis Lafrenière: wrist, 5 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 12:11) Gabe Perreault: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 12:15) Gabe Perreault: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 12:49) Dante Fabbro: snap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:03) Mason Marchment: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:16) Boone Jenner: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:53) Boone Jenner: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:18) Braden Schneider: wrist, 119 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:01) Mason Marchment: backhand, 69 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:00) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 17:13) Mika Zibanejad: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 17:14) Vincent Trocheck: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:20) Will Cuylle: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:33) Adam Fantilli: GOAL, tip-in, 10 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:50) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, slap, 38 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 15:32) Sean Monahan: GOAL, snap, 26 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 3:27) Mathieu Olivier: GOAL, snap, 31 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 11:54) Vladislav Gavrikov: GOAL, wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 0:30) Gabe Perreault: GOAL, wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 0:54) Will Borgen: GOAL, wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.59 (P3 12:52) Gabe Perreault: GOAL, wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 15:14) Kirill Marchenko: GOAL, snap, 32 ft, xG 0.17 (OT 1:04)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
86 Kirill Marchenko 213 0 70.40 0018:06
19 Adam Fantilli 101 0 30.18 1117:57
3 Charlie Coyle 022 +1 30.23 0117:13
27 Mason Marchment 000 -1 50.42 0017:13
23 Sean Monahan 101 +1 50.40 1017:03
22 Boone Jenner 000 0 50.08 2116:37
24 Mathieu Olivier 101 0 30.31 3216:09
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 00.00 0115:06
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 10.13 2115:01
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 20.18 0010:24
18 Miles Wood 000 0 00.00 0110:11
10 Dmitri Voronkov 000 0 20.11 2009:59
Defense
9 Ivan Provorov 011 0 40.01 0127:10
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 +1 20.01 1322:02
78 Damon Severson 022 0 10.04 0322:01
5 Denton Mateychuk 011 0 40.20 0221:06
15 Dante Fabbro 000 0 30.02 3014:54
6 Egor Zamula 000 0 10.00 0212:50
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins 33429 .879 2.72 -1.28

New York Rangers

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
16 Vincent Trocheck 011 0 60.20 2120:45
93 Mika Zibanejad 000 -1 70.36 3320:11
10 J.T. Miller 011 -1 40.15 0119:23
50 Will Cuylle 011 +2 60.20 4019:17
13 Alexis Lafrenière 011 0 30.17 0218:51
94 Gabe Perreault 213 0 80.45 0017:20
24 Tye Kartye 000 0 20.00 4013:20
42 Noah Laba 000 0 00.00 1013:19
43 Conor Sheary 000 0 20.10 0011:38
14 Taylor Raddysh 000 -1 10.09 0111:28
0 Brendan Brisson 000 -1 10.07 0009:46
10 Sam Carrick 000 -1 00.00 1008:14
Defense
23 Adam Fox 000 -1 50.05 1226:16
44 Vladislav Gavrikov 101 -1 50.22 0125:24
4 Braden Schneider 000 +2 70.02 1019:03
17 Will Borgen 112 +2 50.62 7117:37
29 Matthew Robertson 000 -1 30.01 2116:21
6 Vincent Iorio 000 -1 20.01 0114:22
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Igor Shesterkin 29524 .828 2.72 -2.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
86 Kirill Marchenko R +2.26 +2.20 +0.26 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 18:04
23 Sean Monahan C +1.44 +0.75 +0.26 +0.42 0.00 -0.01 +0.02 — 17:03
19 Adam Fantilli C +1.30 +1.30 +0.11 -0.22 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:55
5 Denton Mateychuk D +1.25 +0.55 +0.13 +0.47 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 21:06
3 Charlie Coyle C +0.90 +1.25 +0.15 -0.49 0.00 -0.02 +0.01 — 17:13
78 Damon Severson D +0.87 +1.25 +0.03 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 21:59
24 Mathieu Olivier R +0.86 +0.75 +0.20 -0.18 0.00 -0.01 +0.10 — 16:09
21 Isac Lundeström C +0.45 0.00 +0.12 +0.30 0.00 +0.03 0.00 — 10:24
44 Erik Gudbranson D +0.41 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 22:18
10 Dmitri Voronkov L +0.37 0.00 +0.07 +0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:59
6 Egor Zamula D +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 12:50
11 Miles Wood L +0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.28 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 10:11
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.24 0.00 +0.01 +0.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:54
43 Danton Heinen L +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:06
9 Ivan Provorov D +0.15 +0.70 +0.01 -0.62 0.00 0.00 +0.06 — 27:10
38 Boone Jenner C +0.13 0.00 +0.05 +0.20 -0.15 0.00 +0.03 — 16:37
17 Mason Marchment L +0.02 0.00 +0.27 -0.22 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 17:13
4 Cole Sillinger C -0.17 0.00 +0.09 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 15:01
90 Elvis Merzlikins G -1.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.28 61:04

New York Rangers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
94 Gabe Perreault R +3.08 +2.20 +0.29 +0.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:18
17 Will Borgen D +2.52 +1.45 +0.40 +0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 17:37
50 Will Cuylle L +1.61 +0.55 +0.13 +0.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:17
13 Alexis Lafrenière L +1.58 +0.70 +0.11 +0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 18:51
16 Vincent Trocheck C +1.53 +0.55 +0.13 +0.83 0.00 +0.01 +0.01 — 20:43
44 Vladislav Gavrikov D +0.84 +0.75 +0.14 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 25:22
8 J.T. Miller C +0.68 +0.55 +0.10 -0.03 0.00 +0.02 +0.05 — 19:23
4 Braden Schneider D +0.47 0.00 +0.01 +0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 19:03
93 Mika Zibanejad C +0.35 0.00 +0.23 -0.02 0.00 -0.01 +0.15 — 20:11
23 Adam Fox D +0.26 0.00 +0.03 +0.18 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 26:16
39 Sam Carrick C -0.20 0.00 0.00 -0.17 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 8:14
43 Conor Sheary L -0.30 0.00 +0.06 -0.35 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 11:38
29 Matthew Robertson D -0.37 0.00 +0.01 -0.58 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 16:21
24 Tye Kartye L -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:20
91 Brendan Brisson C -0.52 0.00 +0.05 -0.55 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:46
6 Vincent Iorio D -0.53 0.00 +0.01 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 14:22
42 Noah Laba C -0.64 0.00 0.00 -0.64 0.00 +0.02 -0.02 — 13:19
14 Taylor Raddysh R -0.76 0.00 +0.06 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:28
31 Igor Shesterkin G -2.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.28 60:49

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.