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Ottawa SenatorsOTT 2–0 Final Vancouver CanucksVAN

Monday, March 9, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Ottawa SenatorsOTT 011 2 24
Vancouver CanucksVAN 000 0 16
Playoff odds, % Change
OTT +4.5
VAN +0.0
BOS -1.4
DET -0.8
CBJ -0.5
MTL -0.5
NYI -0.4
PHI -0.3
PIT -0.2

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 9, 2026 8:23 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
10:11 OTT Ridly Greig (10) Shane Pinto (17), Artem Zub (18) · wrist xG 0.22 1–0 ▶
3rd Period
18:40 OTT Brady Tkachuk (17)EN Tim Stützle (38), Thomas Chabot (22) · wrist xG 0.75 2–0 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

OTT 82%Deserve to win18% VAN
OTTVAN
4.12Expected goals1.45
2Goals (no shootout)0
2.07Expected goals, 5 on 51.11
49Shot attempts38
38Unblocked attempts28
24Shots on goal16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
13:00 OTT xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced VAN 1.27–0.23
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:00 to 13:00 of the 1st; neither team scored
3rd Period
5:15 VAN Goalie Goalie · Lankinen +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.12 xG, 21 shots on goal
17:22 VAN Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Lankinen, down 1–0
With 2:38 left; OTT scored at 18:40 of the 3rd (2–0)

Shot map

OTT shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VAN shoots
Nils Hoglander: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 0:38) Brady Tkachuk: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.32 (P1 3:20) Drake Batherson: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 4:24) Tim Stützle: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 4:43) Brady Tkachuk: slap, 42 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 4:52) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 15 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 5:04) Claude Giroux: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 5:50) Aatu Räty: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:09) Zeev Buium: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:13) Elias Pettersson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 8:18) Brady Tkachuk: deflected, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 8:27) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 11:01) Nick Cousins: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 11:50) Michael Amadio: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.23 (P1 12:51) Brock Boeser: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:15) Tim Stützle: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 13:41) Jordan Spence: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:52) Tim Stützle: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 17:42) Tyler Kleven: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 1:22) Filip Hronek: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 3:48) Linus Karlsson: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:02) Shane Pinto: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 4:27) Tim Stützle: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:37) Marco Rossi: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 4:51) Liam Ohgren: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:25) Drew O'Connor: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:51) Max Sasson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 6:23) Nick Jensen: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:45) Marco Rossi: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:58) Dylan Cozens: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 9:11) Artem Zub: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:07) Dylan Cozens: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:21) Brady Tkachuk: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:22) Drake Batherson: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 11:09) Ridly Greig: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:22) Artem Zub: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 12:47) Fabian Zetterlund: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:08) Fabian Zetterlund: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 15:14) Teddy Blueger: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 17:19) Filip Hronek: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:31) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:53) Filip Hronek: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:10) Nikolas Matinpalo: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:00) Brock Boeser: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 19:19) Shane Pinto: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:10) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:28) Warren Foegele: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.25 (P3 3:11) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:59) Nick Cousins: deflected, 46 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 4:09) Dylan Cozens: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 5:15) Shane Pinto: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:42) Marcus Pettersson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 10:27) Nikolas Matinpalo: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:55) Brady Tkachuk: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:58) Michael Amadio: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 11:29) Zeev Buium: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:04) Drew O'Connor: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:14) Jake DeBrusk: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 13:06) Filip Hronek: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 14:16) Michael Amadio: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 14:24) Tom Willander: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:32) Nils Hoglander: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 15:49) Zeev Buium: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 18:30) Tom Willander: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:14) Ridly Greig: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.22 (P2 10:11) Brady Tkachuk: GOAL, wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.75 (P3 18:40)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Ottawa Senators

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
18 Tim Stützle 011 +1 40.47 2019:46
12 Shane Pinto 011 +1 40.08 1119:01
71 Ridly Greig 101 +1 30.33 1018:45
22 Michael Amadio 000 0 40.36 0118:28
19 Drake Batherson 000 0 20.24 2015:50
24 Dylan Cozens 000 0 50.47 4015:39
8 Brady Tkachuk 101 +1 71.56 1015:16
28 Claude Giroux 000 +2 30.05 1015:01
21 Nick Cousins 000 0 20.13 3012:54
37 Warren Foegele 000 0 10.25 2012:11
20 Fabian Zetterlund 000 0 20.05 0010:00
20 Lars Eller 000 0 00.00 0007:53
Defense
72 Thomas Chabot 011 +2 00.00 0124:29
2 Artem Zub 011 +2 30.03 0021:07
43 Tyler Kleven 000 0 20.04 3318:51
4 Nick Jensen 000 0 30.05 1217:45
10 Jordan Spence 000 0 10.01 1117:12
33 Nikolas Matinpalo 000 0 30.02 0013:52
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
James Reimer 16016 1.000 1.45 +1.45

Vancouver Canucks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
6 Brock Boeser 000 -1 20.02 1019:44
73 Teddy Blueger 000 0 30.00 2118:44
18 Drew O'Connor 000 -1 20.09 2016:54
92 Liam Ohgren 000 -1 30.16 0016:54
23 Marco Rossi 000 -1 20.12 1116:10
74 Jake DeBrusk 000 0 20.05 1115:37
40 Elias Pettersson 000 0 30.08 2115:26
21 Nils Hoglander 000 -1 50.28 2014:26
94 Linus Karlsson 000 -1 20.05 1013:55
63 Max Sasson 000 0 10.17 0012:18
54 Aatu Räty 000 -1 10.03 3010:25
42 Curtis Douglas 000 0 00.00 4006:52
Defense
17 Filip Hronek 000 -2 40.25 1126:01
26 Marcus Pettersson 000 0 10.02 2122:10
8 Zeev Buium 000 -1 40.03 1020:55
5 Tom Willander 000 0 30.11 0220:10
25 Elias Pettersson 000 -1 00.00 4014:19
90 Victor Mancini 000 0 00.00 1113:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Kevin Lankinen 23122 .957 3.37 +2.37

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Ottawa Senators

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
7 Brady Tkachuk L +2.39 +0.75 +1.02 +0.61 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:16
71 Ridly Greig C +1.87 +0.75 +0.21 +0.88 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 18:45
12 Shane Pinto C +1.66 +0.70 +0.05 +0.73 +0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 19:01
47 James Reimer G +1.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.45 60:00
18 Tim Stützle C +1.10 +0.70 +0.30 +0.20 0.00 -0.05 -0.06 — 19:46
2 Artem Zub D +0.95 +0.55 +0.02 +0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 21:07
43 Tyler Kleven D +0.78 0.00 +0.02 +0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 18:51
22 Michael Amadio R +0.78 0.00 +0.24 +0.34 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 18:28
24 Dylan Cozens C +0.75 0.00 +0.30 +0.46 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 15:39
10 Jordan Spence D +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.66 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:12
72 Thomas Chabot D +0.69 +0.55 0.00 +0.41 -0.30 0.00 +0.03 — 24:29
21 Nick Cousins C +0.65 0.00 +0.09 +0.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:54
28 Claude Giroux R +0.46 0.00 +0.03 +0.43 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 15:01
33 Nikolas Matinpalo D +0.33 0.00 +0.01 +0.17 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:52
3 Nick Jensen D +0.30 0.00 +0.03 +0.17 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 17:45
19 Drake Batherson R 0.00 0.00 +0.15 -0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:50
89 Lars Eller C -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 7:53
20 Fabian Zetterlund L -0.13 0.00 +0.03 -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 10:00
37 Warren Foegele L -0.27 0.00 +0.16 -0.28 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:11

Vancouver Canucks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
32 Kevin Lankinen G +2.37 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +2.37 57:36
17 Filip Hronek D +0.25 0.00 +0.16 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 26:01
24 Zeev Buium D +0.24 0.00 +0.02 +0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 20:55
93 Marco Rossi C +0.10 0.00 +0.08 -0.01 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 16:10
21 Nils Hoglander L +0.09 0.00 +0.18 -0.07 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:26
40 Elias Pettersson C +0.04 0.00 +0.05 -0.11 0.00 +0.02 +0.07 — 15:26
6 Brock Boeser R +0.02 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 19:44
42 Curtis Douglas C -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 6:52
18 Drew O'Connor L -0.11 0.00 +0.06 -0.16 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 16:54
74 Jake DeBrusk L -0.18 0.00 +0.03 -0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:37
53 Teddy Blueger C -0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.49 +0.15 +0.01 +0.07 — 18:44
5 Tom Willander D -0.36 0.00 +0.07 -0.66 +0.15 0.00 +0.08 — 20:10
25 Elias Pettersson D -0.44 0.00 0.00 -0.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:19
63 Max Sasson C -0.53 0.00 +0.11 -0.60 0.00 -0.02 -0.02 — 12:18
90 Victor Mancini D -0.54 0.00 0.00 -0.59 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:24
92 Liam Ohgren L -0.56 0.00 +0.10 -0.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 16:54
94 Linus Karlsson C -0.58 0.00 +0.03 -0.48 -0.15 0.00 +0.02 — 13:55
54 Aatu Räty C -0.63 0.00 +0.02 -0.66 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 10:25
29 Marcus Pettersson D -1.12 0.00 +0.01 -1.05 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 22:10

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.