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Winnipeg JetsWPG 2–1 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Saturday, April 4, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 011 2 26
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ 100 1 16
Playoff odds, % Change
CBJ -14.5
WPG +3.1
NYI +4.1
PHI +3.9
OTT +2.1
WSH +1.6
PIT +1.2
NSH -1.2
DET +1.1
SJS -0.8

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Apr 4, 2026 6:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
1:17 CBJ Ivan Provorov (9) Mason Marchment (23), Kirill Marchenko (38) · snap xG 0.16 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
18:14 WPG Kyle Connor (35) Mark Scheifele (59), Neal Pionk (8) · wrist xG 0.13 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
10:58 WPG Kyle Connor (36) Mark Scheifele (60) · wrist xG 0.08 2–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 55%Deserve to win45% CBJ
WPGCBJ
2.45Expected goals2.18
2Goals (no shootout)1
2.45Expected goals, 5 on 52.01
60Shot attempts50
39Unblocked attempts36
26Shots on goal16

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

1st Period
19:27 CBJ Deserve to win Deserve to win · CBJ takes the lead, 61–39%
WPG had led since 2:51 of the 1st, by as much as 66%
3rd Period
10:58 WPG Deserve to win Deserve to win · WPG takes the lead, 61–39%
CBJ had led since 19:27 of the 1st, by as much as 61%

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots
Cole Sillinger: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:24) Jacob Bryson: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:23) Parker Ford: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.35 (P1 2:26) Kyle Connor: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 2:51) Morgan Barron: between-legs, 14 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 4:27) Gabriel Vilardi: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:28) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:43) Boone Jenner: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 5:43) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:39) Danton Heinen: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:23) Dante Fabbro: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:28) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:34) Boone Jenner: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:39) Boone Jenner: backhand, 10 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:48) Miles Wood: backhand, 7 ft, xG 0.22 (P1 9:50) Adam Fantilli: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.24 (P1 10:47) Neal Pionk: snap, 52 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:01) Brad Lambert: backhand, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 12:32) Josh Morrissey: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:40) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:54) Boone Jenner: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:53) Jonathan Toews: snap, 20 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 16:51) Mason Marchment: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 17:59) Sean Monahan: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 19:27) Dylan Samberg: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:43) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:02) Dylan Samberg: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 1:32) Neal Pionk: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:38) Adam Lowry: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 2:14) Isak Rosen: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 2:38) Conor Garland: tip-in, 28 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:53) Cole Koepke: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 4:04) Cole Koepke: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:10) Neal Pionk: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:16) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:32) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 5:12) Boone Jenner: backhand, 29 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:01) Brad Lambert: wrap-around, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 15:25) Denton Mateychuk: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:44) Conor Garland: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 15:46) Zach Werenski: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 16:17) Denton Mateychuk: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 16:31) Erik Gudbranson: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 17:05) Josh Morrissey: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:06) Cole Perfetti: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:15) Alex Iafallo: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 0:41) Dante Fabbro: snap, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:00) Adam Lowry: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 1:21) Boone Jenner: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 3:56) Boone Jenner: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:08) Boone Jenner: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 4:08) Ivan Provorov: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 4:13) Brad Lambert: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:27) Josh Morrissey: deflected, 10 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:34) Adam Fantilli: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 7:14) Dylan Samberg: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 9:16) Mark Scheifele: slap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 10:51) Alex Iafallo: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 10:53) Adam Fantilli: snap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:15) Cole Sillinger: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 12:20) Charlie Coyle: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 12:33) Boone Jenner: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 12:39) Cole Koepke: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 13:08) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 13:37) Neal Pionk: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:56) Cole Perfetti: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 14:34) Kirill Marchenko: snap, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:24) Mason Marchment: snap, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:37) Denton Mateychuk: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 15:44) Zach Werenski: slap, 48 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 19:11) Charlie Coyle: snap, 59 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 19:25) Adam Fantilli: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 19:54) Ivan Provorov: GOAL, snap, 8 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 1:17) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 18:14) Kyle Connor: GOAL, wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 10:58)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 022 +2 40.23 1022:39
81 Kyle Connor 202 +2 40.29 1021:27
9 Alex Iafallo 000 +2 30.30 4119:45
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -1 40.08 1017:30
91 Cole Perfetti 000 -1 20.17 2115:49
17 Adam Lowry 000 -1 30.38 1013:50
36 Morgan Barron 000 0 30.02 2012:59
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 40.12 2211:55
25 Parker Ford 000 0 10.35 2011:53
27 Isak Rosen 000 0 20.02 2011:40
93 Brad Lambert 000 0 50.09 4011:30
19 Jonathan Toews 000 0 20.06 0010:49
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 000 0 80.17 0025:23
54 Dylan Samberg 000 0 30.05 1325:08
4 Neal Pionk 011 0 60.08 2023:56
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 +1 30.02 3222:08
78 Jacob Bryson 000 0 30.02 0012:08
24 Haydn Fleury 000 +1 00.00 0309:24
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 16115 .938 2.18 +1.18

Columbus Blue Jackets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
19 Adam Fantilli 000 0 40.49 2119:08
22 Boone Jenner 000 -1 90.49 1218:19
23 Sean Monahan 000 -1 10.11 0018:05
27 Mason Marchment 011 0 50.12 0216:50
3 Charlie Coyle 000 0 20.03 1116:26
86 Kirill Marchenko 011 0 10.04 0016:14
83 Conor Garland 000 0 40.21 0015:29
4 Cole Sillinger 000 0 30.02 2015:14
21 Zachary Aston-Reese 000 0 00.00 7012:54
58 Danton Heinen 000 0 10.05 0012:00
21 Isac Lundeström 000 0 00.00 1009:50
18 Miles Wood 000 -1 10.22 1209:44
Defense
5 Denton Mateychuk 000 -1 40.09 0127:42
8 Zach Werenski 000 -1 40.12 0327:27
9 Ivan Provorov 101 0 40.18 0022:29
15 Dante Fabbro 000 +1 20.01 0318:05
44 Erik Gudbranson 000 -1 30.01 1113:53
2 Jake Christiansen 000 0 20.00 0009:38
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jet Greaves 26224 .923 2.45 +0.45

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
81 Kyle Connor L +2.69 +1.50 +0.19 +1.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 21:27
55 Mark Scheifele C +2.39 +1.40 +0.15 +1.10 -0.15 -0.07 -0.04 — 22:39
37 Connor Hellebuyck G +1.18 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.18 59:58
9 Alex Iafallo L +0.95 0.00 +0.19 +0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:45
2 Dylan DeMelo D +0.81 0.00 +0.02 +0.75 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 22:08
4 Neal Pionk D +0.64 +0.55 +0.05 +0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 23:56
25 Parker Ford C +0.63 0.00 +0.23 +0.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:53
24 Haydn Fleury D +0.46 0.00 0.00 +0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 9:24
54 Dylan Samberg D +0.23 0.00 +0.03 +0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 25:08
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +0.20 0.00 +0.05 +0.06 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 17:30
44 Josh Morrissey D +0.17 0.00 +0.11 +0.12 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 25:23
45 Cole Koepke L +0.09 0.00 +0.08 -0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 11:55
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.05 0.00 +0.04 +0.06 0.00 -0.04 0.00 — 10:49
78 Jacob Bryson D +0.03 0.00 +0.01 -0.01 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 12:08
17 Adam Lowry C +0.01 0.00 +0.25 -0.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:50
27 Isak Rosen R -0.04 0.00 +0.01 -0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:40
91 Cole Perfetti C -0.11 0.00 +0.11 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 15:49
93 Brad Lambert C -0.32 0.00 +0.06 -0.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:30
36 Morgan Barron C -0.48 0.00 +0.01 -0.44 0.00 -0.04 -0.02 — 12:59

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
9 Ivan Provorov D +1.24 +0.75 +0.12 +0.39 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 22:29
17 Mason Marchment L +1.06 +0.70 +0.08 +0.20 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 16:50
86 Kirill Marchenko R +0.88 +0.55 +0.03 +0.21 +0.15 0.00 -0.06 — 16:14
15 Dante Fabbro D +0.81 0.00 +0.01 +0.65 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 18:05
38 Boone Jenner C +0.64 0.00 +0.32 +0.23 0.00 +0.03 +0.06 — 18:19
19 Adam Fantilli C +0.58 0.00 +0.32 +0.22 0.00 +0.04 +0.01 — 19:08
73 Jet Greaves G +0.45 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.45 58:33
83 Conor Garland R +0.35 0.00 +0.14 +0.19 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 15:29
23 Sean Monahan C +0.25 0.00 +0.07 +0.15 0.00 +0.01 +0.02 — 18:05
2 Jake Christiansen D -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:38
43 Danton Heinen L -0.19 0.00 +0.03 -0.07 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 12:00
44 Erik Gudbranson D -0.29 0.00 +0.01 -0.35 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 13:53
3 Charlie Coyle C -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.47 0.00 +0.06 +0.05 — 16:26
11 Miles Wood L -0.42 0.00 +0.14 -0.64 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 9:44
4 Cole Sillinger C -0.51 0.00 +0.01 -0.53 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:14
8 Zach Werenski D -0.62 0.00 +0.08 -0.87 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 27:27
21 Isac Lundeström C -0.63 0.00 0.00 -0.62 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 9:50
27 Zachary Aston-Reese L -0.79 0.00 0.00 -0.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:54
5 Denton Mateychuk D -0.83 0.00 +0.06 -0.94 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 27:42

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.