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Montréal CanadiensMTL 5–7 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Montréal CanadiensMTL 113 5 36
San Jose SharksSJS 133 7 28
Playoff odds, % Change
SJS +7.5
MTL -2.9
EDM -2.0
LAK -1.3
SEA -1.1
NSH -1.0
UTA -0.8
BOS +0.6
VGK -0.6
CBJ +0.6
OTT +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 3, 2026 9:47 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:18 MTL Oliver Kapanen (19) Juraj Slafkovský (26), Mike Matheson (24) · wrist xG 0.08 1–0 ▶
15:32 SJS Collin Graf (16) Will Smith (24), Macklin Celebrini (55) · backhand xG 0.17 1–1 ▶
2nd Period
5:09 MTL Phillip Danault (4) Mike Matheson (25), Jake Evans (7) · tip-in xG 0.05 2–1 ▶
10:28 SJS Michael Misa (5) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.21 2–2 ▶
18:23 SJS Macklin Celebrini (30) Collin Graf (18) · wrist xG 0.06 2–3 ▶
18:48 SJS Alexander Wennberg (12) Kiefer Sherwood (7) · wrist xG 0.15 2–4 ▶
3rd Period
3:29 SJS Will Smith (19)PP Macklin Celebrini (56), Dmitry Orlov (23) · wrist xG 0.17 2–5 ▶
5:02 MTL Ivan Demidov (13)PP Lane Hutson (50), Nick Suzuki (50) · slap xG 0.14 3–5 ▶
5:20 MTL Alex Newhook (7) Jake Evans (8), Kaiden Guhle (4) · wrist xG 0.17 4–5 ▶
10:56 MTL Alex Newhook (8)PP Brendan Gallagher (14), Mike Matheson (26) · wrist xG 0.06 5–5 ▶
16:34 SJS Kiefer Sherwood (18)PP Philipp Kurashev (12), William Eklund (27) · wrist xG 0.33 5–6 ▶
19:56 SJS Adam Gaudette (14)EN Macklin Celebrini (57) · wrist xG 0.84 5–7 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

MTL 61%Deserve to win39% SJS
MTLSJS
3.47Expected goals3.60
5Goals (no shootout)7
1.48Expected goals, 5 on 51.42
69Shot attempts56
57Unblocked attempts37
36Shots on goal28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
18:48 MTL Goalie Goalie · Dobes −2.2 goals saved
4 goals on 1.82 xG, 17 shots on goal
3rd Period
5:20 SJS Goalie Goalie · Askarov −2.1 goals saved
4 goals on 1.88 xG, 23 shots on goal
17:59 MTL Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Dobes, down 6–5
With 2:01 left; SJS scored at 19:56 of the 3rd (5–7)
19:33 MTL Deserve to win Deserve to win · MTL takes the lead, 61–39%
SJS had led since 15:32 of the 1st, by as much as 69%

Shot map

MTL shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Nick Suzuki: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 0:13) Alex Newhook: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 1:31) Brendan Gallagher: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 5:51) Noah Dobson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:35) Sam Dickinson: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 7:19) William Eklund: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 7:30) Alexandre Carrier: wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:07) Kaiden Guhle: wrist, 70 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:28) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 8:40) Collin Graf: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 9:34) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:21) Will Smith: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 11:09) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 11:39) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:22) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:08) Alex Newhook: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:08) Lane Hutson: backhand, 13 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:25) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 15:21) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 15:49) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 16:12) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:32) Josh Anderson: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:28) Noah Dobson: wrist, 55 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:17) Philipp Kurashev: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 0:58) Noah Dobson: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:03) Alex Newhook: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 3:30) Collin Graf: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.27 (P2 4:18) Oliver Kapanen: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 5:30) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:31) Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 5:55) Brendan Gallagher: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:09) Cole Caufield: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 7:27) Cole Caufield: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 8:06) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:18) Lane Hutson: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 8:26) Sam Dickinson: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 9:25) Alex Newhook: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:04) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 10:45) Will Smith: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:30) Alexandre Carrier: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 12:47) Alexander Wennberg: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.35 (P2 13:25) Noah Dobson: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 13:36) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 181 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 14:42) Collin Graf: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:56) Mike Matheson: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 16:54) Kirby Dach: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 0:20) Noah Dobson: wrist, 64 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:32) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 2:20) Michael Misa: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 2:40) Phillip Danault: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 2:54) Tyler Toffoli: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:18) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:12) Ivan Demidov: slap, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:40) Mike Matheson: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 5:51) Phillip Danault: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:00) Josh Anderson: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:01) Josh Anderson: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:02) Brendan Gallagher: wrap-around, 7 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 6:05) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 46 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 6:31) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:39) Zachary Bolduc: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 10:19) Mike Matheson: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:25) John Klingberg: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:38) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 13:54) Adam Gaudette: backhand, 26 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:00) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:05) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 15:26) Josh Anderson: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 15:52) Josh Anderson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 15:54) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:13) Nick Suzuki: snap, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:53) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 18:01) Kaiden Guhle: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 18:08) Ivan Demidov: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:21) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 18:40) Cole Caufield: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:41) Ivan Demidov: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 18:53) Nick Suzuki: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:10) Juraj Slafkovský: slap, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 19:12) Juraj Slafkovský: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 19:21) Juraj Slafkovský: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:33) Nick Suzuki: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 19:46) Oliver Kapanen: GOAL, wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 6:18) Collin Graf: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 15:32) Phillip Danault: GOAL, tip-in, 23 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:09) Michael Misa: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.21 (P2 10:28) Macklin Celebrini: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:23) Alexander Wennberg: GOAL, wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 18:48) Will Smith: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 3:29) Ivan Demidov: GOAL, slap, 30 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:02) Alex Newhook: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 5:20) Alex Newhook: GOAL, wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 10:56) Kiefer Sherwood: GOAL, wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.33 (P3 16:34) Adam Gaudette: GOAL, wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.84 (P3 19:56)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Montréal Canadiens

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
14 Nick Suzuki 011 -3 80.21 0122:26
13 Cole Caufield 000 -3 40.30 0020:48
20 Juraj Slafkovský 011 -1 100.74 0018:31
15 Alex Newhook 202 +1 60.51 1115:53
93 Ivan Demidov 101 -1 40.33 0015:43
71 Jake Evans 022 +2 00.00 1115:35
77 Kirby Dach 000 -2 10.05 3014:32
24 Phillip Danault 101 -1 40.20 1013:46
76 Zachary Bolduc 000 +1 30.09 4013:10
7 Brendan Gallagher 011 -1 30.25 2111:17
17 Josh Anderson 000 0 50.29 3110:04
91 Oliver Kapanen 101 0 30.27 0109:55
Defense
48 Lane Hutson 011 -1 30.04 1225:03
8 Mike Matheson 033 0 40.05 0024:19
53 Noah Dobson 000 0 50.07 0420:58
21 Kaiden Guhle 011 0 20.06 2120:15
45 Alexandre Carrier 000 -1 30.02 0512:38
3 Jayden Struble 000 -1 10.00 2008:47
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jakub Dobes 27621 .778 2.76 -3.24

San Jose Sharks

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
71 Macklin Celebrini 134 0 110.51 1122:50
2 Will Smith 112 -1 30.22 0019:37
21 Alexander Wennberg 101 +2 30.51 0118:54
27 William Eklund 011 +1 30.06 1014:43
44 Kiefer Sherwood 112 +1 70.41 5013:46
51 Collin Graf 112 -1 50.57 2013:11
96 Philipp Kurashev 011 +1 10.01 0012:58
77 Michael Misa 101 +1 30.23 0112:37
73 Tyler Toffoli 000 +1 30.11 1011:54
23 Barclay Goodrow 000 0 00.00 1111:41
63 Zack Ostapchuk 000 0 10.00 1011:36
81 Adam Gaudette 101 +1 40.90 0010:32
Defense
38 Mario Ferraro 000 +2 20.00 2322:25
73 Vincent Desharnais 000 +2 20.00 1220:45
9 Dmitry Orlov 011 -1 20.01 2019:44
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin 000 +1 00.00 2019:06
6 Sam Dickinson 000 +1 40.05 2116:51
3 John Klingberg 000 -1 20.03 0015:56
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Yaroslav Askarov 36531 .861 3.47 -1.53

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Montréal Canadiens

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
15 Alex Newhook C +2.39 +1.50 +0.33 +0.55 0.00 -0.02 +0.03 — 15:53
71 Jake Evans C +1.79 +1.25 0.00 +0.27 +0.15 +0.09 +0.03 — 15:36
8 Mike Matheson D +1.51 +1.80 +0.03 -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 24:18
20 Juraj Slafkovský L +1.51 +0.70 +0.48 +0.38 0.00 -0.01 -0.04 — 18:31
93 Ivan Demidov R +1.37 +0.75 +0.22 +0.26 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 15:43
48 Lane Hutson D +1.23 +0.70 +0.03 +0.21 +0.15 0.00 +0.14 — 25:03
91 Oliver Kapanen C +1.12 +0.75 +0.17 +0.28 -0.15 +0.02 +0.05 — 9:55
24 Phillip Danault C +1.11 +0.75 +0.13 +0.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:46
11 Brendan Gallagher R +0.87 +0.70 +0.16 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:17
21 Kaiden Guhle D +0.78 +0.55 +0.04 +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:14
17 Josh Anderson R +0.42 0.00 +0.19 +0.26 -0.08 0.00 +0.05 — 10:04
76 Zachary Bolduc R +0.23 0.00 +0.06 +0.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:10
45 Alexandre Carrier D +0.20 0.00 +0.01 -0.04 0.00 0.00 +0.23 — 12:39
53 Noah Dobson D +0.16 0.00 +0.04 -0.08 0.00 0.00 +0.20 — 20:58
47 Jayden Struble D -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.15 -0.08 0.00 -0.02 — 8:47
14 Nick Suzuki C -0.30 +0.55 +0.14 -0.86 -0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 22:26
13 Cole Caufield R -0.52 0.00 +0.20 -0.85 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 20:48
77 Kirby Dach C -0.72 0.00 +0.03 -0.90 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:32
75 Jakub Dobes G -3.24 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -3.24 58:03

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
71 Macklin Celebrini C +3.02 +2.70 +0.33 +0.20 -0.15 -0.05 -0.01 — 22:49
51 Collin Graf R +1.95 +1.45 +0.37 +0.30 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 13:11
44 Kiefer Sherwood L +1.93 +1.45 +0.26 +0.13 +0.08 0.00 +0.02 — 13:46
2 Will Smith C +1.75 +1.45 +0.14 +0.18 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:37
21 Alexander Wennberg C +1.20 +0.75 +0.33 +0.24 -0.15 -0.02 +0.05 — 18:54
81 Adam Gaudette R +1.10 +0.75 +0.58 -0.26 0.00 +0.05 -0.02 — 10:32
96 Philipp Kurashev C +1.04 +0.70 +0.01 +0.33 0.00 -0.02 +0.02 — 12:58
77 Michael Misa C +0.72 +0.75 +0.15 -0.21 0.00 -0.02 +0.05 — 12:37
9 Dmitry Orlov D +0.67 +0.55 +0.01 -0.02 +0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 19:44
5 Vincent Desharnais D +0.36 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 20:45
72 William Eklund L +0.28 +0.55 +0.04 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:43
6 Sam Dickinson D +0.02 0.00 +0.03 +0.13 -0.15 0.00 +0.01 — 16:51
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.03 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:41
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D 0.00 0.00 0.00 +0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:06
3 John Klingberg D 0.00 0.00 +0.02 +0.01 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 15:56
73 Tyler Toffoli C -0.04 0.00 +0.07 -0.09 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 11:54
38 Mario Ferraro D -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.24 +0.08 0.00 +0.08 — 22:25
63 Zack Ostapchuk C -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:37
30 Yaroslav Askarov G -1.53 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -1.53 59:48

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.