Boston BruinsBOS 3–6 Final Nashville PredatorsNSH

Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Boston BruinsBOS	0	1	2	3	23
Nashville PredatorsNSH	1	4	1	6	29

Playoff odds, %	Change
BOS	-5.5
NSH	+4.4
OTT	+1.3
CBJ	+1.3
SJS	-0.9
UTA	-0.7
MTL	+0.7
LAK	-0.7
EDM	-0.6
DET	+0.5
SEA	-0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 5, 2026 7:27 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
13:53	NSH	Nicolas Hague (3) Ozzy Wiesblatt (4), Fedor Svechkov (8) · slap xG 0.03	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
1:24	NSH	Matthew Wood (11)SH Nick Perbix (7) · wrist xG 0.23	0–2 ▶
3:30	BOS	Morgan Geekie (34)PP Charlie McAvoy (37), Elias Lindholm (28) · slap xG 0.11	1–2 ▶
10:18	NSH	Erik Haula (10) Brady Skjei (17), Steven Stamkos (18) · deflected xG 0.30	1–3 ▶
12:37	NSH	Filip Forsberg (28)PP Steven Stamkos (19), Ryan Ufko (1) · wrist xG 0.06	1–4 ▶
14:44	NSH	Matthew Wood (12) Roman Josi (31), Filip Forsberg (24) · deflected xG 0.19	1–5 ▶
3rd Period
6:05	BOS	Charlie McAvoy (6) Viktor Arvidsson (15), Pavel Zacha (25) · wrist xG 0.11	2–5 ▶
15:32	BOS	Viktor Arvidsson (17) Casey Mittelstadt (18), Pavel Zacha (26) · slap xG 0.08	3–5 ▶
17:33	NSH	Luke Evangelista (9)EN Filip Forsberg (25) · wrist xG 0.70	3–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

BOS 44%Deserve to win56% NSH

BOS		NSH
2.64	Expected goals	3.77
3	Goals (no shootout)	6
1.47	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.41
59	Shot attempts	50
40	Unblocked attempts	35
23	Shots on goal	29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
12:37	BOS	Goalie	Goalie · Korpisalo −2.5 goals saved 4 goals on 1.46 xG, 16 shots on goal
15:21	NSH	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NSH takes the lead, 61–39% BOS had led since 9:38 of the 1st, by as much as 69%
15:50	NSH	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.85–0.01 In xG over 10 minutes, 6:50 to 16:50 of the 2nd; goals 3–0
3rd Period
15:30	BOS	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced NSH 1.19–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 5:40 to 15:40 of the 3rd; goals 2–0
17:15	BOS	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Korpisalo, down 5–3 With 2:45 left; NSH scored at 17:33 of the 3rd (3–6)

Shot map

BOS shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NSH shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Boston Bruins

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
88	David Pastrnak	0	0	0	-3	8	0.28	0	0	18:02
93	Fraser Minten	0	0	0	0	5	0.12	1	1	17:17
28	Elias Lindholm	0	1	1	-3	1	0.08	1	0	15:29
52	Sean Kuraly	0	0	0	-2	0	0.00	2	0	15:03
84	Tanner Jeannot	0	0	0	-2	3	0.17	2	0	14:59
11	Casey Mittelstadt	0	1	1	+1	1	0.05	1	0	14:30
18	Pavel Zacha	0	2	2	0	5	0.29	2	1	14:17
47	Mark Kastelic	0	0	0	-3	2	0.04	5	2	14:07
39	Morgan Geekie	1	0	1	-3	4	0.24	1	0	13:56
33	Viktor Arvidsson	1	1	2	+2	4	0.25	0	0	12:55
92	Marat Khusnutdinov	0	0	0	0	1	0.17	0	1	12:52
81	Michael Eyssimont	0	0	0	0	5	0.18	4	1	09:17
Defense
27	Hampus Lindholm	0	0	0	+1	4	0.27	0	1	24:30
73	Charlie McAvoy	1	1	2	0	4	0.17	0	2	23:47
91	Nikita Zadorov	0	0	0	-1	6	0.04	5	0	20:04
20	Andrew Peeke	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	3	1	16:34
43	Jordan Harris	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	0	0	16:03
6	Mason Lohrei	0	0	0	-1	2	0.20	0	5	15:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Joonas Korpisalo	28	5	23	.821	2.98	-2.02

Nashville Predators

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
56	Erik Haula	1	0	1	+1	1	0.30	0	0	18:58
91	Steven Stamkos	0	2	2	0	4	0.12	2	0	17:58
9	Filip Forsberg	1	2	3	+2	9	0.48	0	0	17:12
77	Luke Evangelista	1	0	1	+2	3	0.86	0	1	17:05
81	Jonathan Marchessault	0	0	0	0	9	0.86	0	0	16:37
17	Tyson Jost	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	1	0	15:30
68	Zachary L'Heureux	0	0	0	0	3	0.06	2	1	14:57
71	Matthew Wood	2	0	2	+2	5	0.48	0	0	14:22
9	Fedor Svechkov	0	1	1	0	1	0.10	2	1	13:08
25	Joakim Kemell	0	0	0	0	2	0.16	1	2	12:24
89	Ozzy Wiesblatt	0	1	1	0	1	0.00	8	0	12:04
49	Reid Schaefer	0	0	0	0	1	0.14	4	0	10:33
Defense
59	Roman Josi	0	1	1	0	5	0.04	0	1	23:23
41	Nicolas Hague	1	0	1	+2	1	0.03	2	3	20:57
76	Brady Skjei	0	1	1	+2	1	0.07	0	2	19:56
48	Nick Perbix	0	1	1	+2	1	0.01	1	3	17:37
72	Justin Barron	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	0	4	14:52
12	Ryan Ufko	0	1	1	0	2	0.05	0	0	14:23

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Juuse Saros	23	3	20	.870	2.64	-0.36

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Boston Bruins

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
71 Viktor Arvidsson L	+2.57	+1.45	+0.16	+0.96	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:55
73 Charlie McAvoy D	+2.29	+1.45	+0.11	+0.65	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	23:47
18 Pavel Zacha C	+2.26	+1.10	+0.19	+0.93	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	14:17
11 Casey Mittelstadt C	+1.62	+0.70	+0.03	+0.92	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	14:30
39 Morgan Geekie C	+0.82	+0.75	+0.16	-0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	13:56
28 Elias Lindholm C	+0.82	+0.55	+0.05	+0.13	0.00	+0.11	-0.02	—	15:29
88 David Pastrnak R	+0.62	0.00	+0.18	+0.19	+0.30	0.00	-0.06	—	18:02
27 Hampus Lindholm D	+0.25	0.00	+0.17	+0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	24:30
91 Nikita Zadorov D	+0.15	0.00	+0.02	+0.12	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	20:04
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C	+0.08	0.00	+0.11	+0.10	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	12:52
93 Fraser Minten C	+0.03	0.00	+0.08	-0.10	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	17:17
81 Michael Eyssimont C	+0.03	0.00	+0.12	-0.14	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	9:17
6 Mason Lohrei D	-0.13	0.00	+0.13	-0.49	0.00	0.00	+0.23	—	15:18
26 Andrew Peeke D	-0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	16:34
43 Jordan Harris D	-0.22	0.00	+0.06	-0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:03
52 Sean Kuraly C	-0.84	0.00	0.00	-1.03	+0.15	+0.04	0.00	—	15:03
84 Tanner Jeannot L	-1.08	0.00	+0.11	-1.03	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	14:59
47 Mark Kastelic C	-1.12	0.00	+0.03	-1.08	-0.15	0.00	+0.08	—	14:07
70 Joonas Korpisalo G	-2.02	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-2.02	59:16

Nashville Predators

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Filip Forsberg L	+2.82	+2.00	+0.31	+0.51	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	17:12
71 Matthew Wood R	+2.49	+1.50	+0.31	+0.50	+0.15	+0.03	0.00	—	14:22
77 Luke Evangelista R	+1.86	+0.75	+0.56	+0.50	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:05
41 Nicolas Hague D	+1.24	+0.75	+0.02	+0.47	-0.15	0.00	+0.15	—	20:57
91 Steven Stamkos C	+1.21	+1.25	+0.08	-0.25	+0.15	0.00	-0.02	—	17:58
85 Ryan Ufko D	+0.79	+0.55	+0.03	+0.20	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:23
59 Roman Josi D	+0.67	+0.70	+0.03	-0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	23:23
76 Brady Skjei D	+0.66	+0.70	+0.05	-0.16	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	19:56
68 Zachary L'Heureux L	+0.48	0.00	+0.04	+0.25	+0.15	+0.01	+0.03	—	14:57
89 Ozzy Wiesblatt C	+0.45	+0.70	0.00	-0.26	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	12:04
20 Justin Barron D	+0.38	0.00	0.00	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	14:52
48 Nick Perbix D	+0.36	+0.70	+0.01	-0.47	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	17:37
40 Fedor Svechkov C	+0.27	+0.55	+0.06	-0.21	-0.15	-0.05	+0.07	—	13:08
25 Joakim Kemell R	+0.26	0.00	+0.10	+0.07	0.00	-0.01	+0.10	—	12:24
81 Jonathan Marchessault R	+0.25	0.00	+0.56	-0.28	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:37
56 Erik Haula L	+0.22	+0.75	+0.20	-0.33	-0.30	-0.09	0.00	—	18:58
17 Tyson Jost C	+0.09	0.00	0.00	+0.13	0.00	-0.04	0.00	—	15:30
49 Reid Schaefer L	-0.21	0.00	+0.09	-0.32	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	10:33
74 Juuse Saros G	-0.21	0.00	—	—	+0.15	—	—	-0.36	60:00

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.