Washington CapitalsWSH 5–4 Final/SO Vegas Golden KnightsVGK

Saturday, March 28, 2026

Final/SO	1st	2nd	3rd	OT	SO	T	SOG
Washington CapitalsWSH	1	2	1	0	1	5	22
Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	0	3	1	0	0	4	29

Playoff odds, %	Change
VGK	-9.1
WSH	+2.4
SEA	+2.2
LAK	+1.9
NSH	+1.4
SJS	+1.3
UTA	+0.8
STL	+0.7
PIT	-0.7
WPG	+0.6

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 28, 2026 9:57 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
6:06	WSH	Hendrix Lapierre (4) Ivan Miroshnichenko (1), Brandon Duhaime (5) · wrist xG 0.15	1–0 ▶
2nd Period
1:55	WSH	Justin Sourdif (15)PP Connor McMichael (27), Cole Hutson (3) · snap xG 0.18	2–0 ▶
6:49	WSH	Anthony Beauvillier (14) Ryan Leonard (22), Justin Sourdif (17) · tip-in xG 0.09	3–0 ▶
10:38	VGK	Nic Dowd (5)SH Unassisted · snap xG 0.15	3–1 ▶
11:03	VGK	Rasmus Andersson (14)SH Jack Eichel (52) · wrist xG 0.36	3–2 ▶
13:18	VGK	Jack Eichel (25) Rasmus Andersson (26) · wrist xG 0.12	3–3 ▶
3rd Period
0:31	VGK	Mitch Marner (20)PP Pavel Dorofeyev (26), Jack Eichel (53) · snap xG 0.03	3–4 ▶
8:54	WSH	Dylan Strome (17)PP Cole Hutson (4), Alex Ovechkin (28) · snap xG 0.09	4–4 ▶
Overtime
No scoring
Shootout
	WSH	Dylan Strome vs Adin Hill	Goal
	VGK	Rasmus Andersson vs Logan Thompson	Saved
	WSH	Ryan Leonard vs Adin Hill	Saved
	VGK	Jack Eichel vs Logan Thompson	Saved
	WSH	Pierre-Luc Dubois vs Adin Hill	Missed
	VGK	Pavel Dorofeyev vs Logan Thompson	Saved

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WSH 31%Deserve to win69% VGK

WSH		VGK
2.32	Expected goals	3.44
4	Goals (no shootout)	4
1.25	Expected goals, 5 on 5	1.69
44	Shot attempts	62
32	Unblocked attempts	48
22	Shots on goal	29

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
11:03	VGK	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · VGK takes the lead, 62–38% WSH had led since 0:13 of the 1st, by as much as 68%
13:20	VGK	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced WSH 1.13–0.09 In xG over 10 minutes, 3:30 to 13:30 of the 2nd; goals 3–1
14:10	WSH	No shift	No shift · Protas, 28:43 on the bench No shift after 18:50 of the 1st; 7 shifts (6:27) before that
3rd Period
2:00	VGK	No shift	No shift · Hutton, 11:01 on the bench No shift from 6:49 of the 2nd to 2:56 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (9:53) before that
8:54	VGK	Goalie	Goalie · Hill −2.1 goals saved 4 goals on 1.89 xG, 14 shots on goal
17:20	WSH	No shift	No shift · Miroshnichenko, 12:49 on the bench No shift after 2:49 of the 3rd; 10 shifts (7:50) before that
19:20	WSH	No shift	No shift · Lapierre, 10:41 on the bench No shift after 9:19 of the 3rd; 13 shifts (8:05) before that

Shot map

WSH shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ VGK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Washington Capitals

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
43	Tom Wilson	0	0	0	-2	2	0.06	2	0	24:11
77	Connor McMichael	0	1	1	-2	3	0.09	1	0	20:10
17	Dylan Strome	1	0	1	-1	5	0.30	0	1	19:10
72	Anthony Beauvillier	1	0	1	+1	1	0.09	1	0	19:07
80	Pierre-Luc Dubois	0	0	0	-1	3	0.04	0	0	18:17
8	Alex Ovechkin	0	1	1	-2	6	0.31	0	0	17:35
34	Justin Sourdif	1	1	2	0	4	0.45	1	0	17:34
24	Brandon Duhaime	0	1	1	+1	1	0.03	4	2	15:53
9	Ryan Leonard	0	1	1	0	7	0.32	2	0	15:17
22	Hendrix Lapierre	1	0	1	0	1	0.15	1	0	08:05
63	Ivan Miroshnichenko	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	1	0	07:50
21	Aliaksei Protas	0	0	0	0	1	0.21	0	0	06:27
Defense
6	Jakob Chychrun	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	0	3	23:55
38	Rasmus Sandin	0	0	0	0	2	0.08	1	1	21:25
42	Martin Fehérváry	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	1	5	20:14
3	Matt Roy	0	0	0	0	3	0.03	2	0	19:26
57	Trevor van Riemsdyk	0	0	0	+1	0	0.00	0	1	19:00
44	Cole Hutson	0	2	2	-1	3	0.14	1	0	15:11

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Logan Thompson	29	4	25	.862	3.44	-0.56

Vegas Golden Knights

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Jack Eichel	1	2	3	+2	7	0.51	0	1	23:23
93	Mitch Marner	1	0	1	0	6	0.17	0	0	22:19
61	Mark Stone	0	0	0	+2	4	0.21	0	0	21:43
16	Pavel Dorofeyev	0	1	1	0	5	0.42	1	0	19:13
21	Brett Howden	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	0	17:25
49	Ivan Barbashev	0	0	0	+1	3	0.23	0	0	15:48
22	Cole Smith	0	0	0	+1	5	0.15	3	2	12:55
48	Tomas Hertl	0	0	0	-2	4	0.19	2	0	12:23
26	Nic Dowd	1	0	1	+1	2	0.17	0	0	11:56
15	Colton Sissons	0	0	0	-2	2	0.35	0	1	10:49
55	Keegan Kolesar	0	0	0	0	1	0.00	2	1	10:48
19	Reilly Smith	0	0	0	-2	2	0.08	0	0	09:24
Defense
4	Rasmus Andersson	1	1	2	+2	6	0.59	1	2	23:20
27	Shea Theodore	0	0	0	0	3	0.16	0	2	22:45
3	Brayden McNabb	0	0	0	-1	2	0.05	2	0	21:14
15	Noah Hanifin	0	0	0	0	5	0.15	1	1	20:45
5	Jeremy Lauzon	0	0	0	+2	3	0.01	2	1	18:09
17	Ben Hutton	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	0	0	12:29

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Adin Hill	22	4	18	.818	2.32	-1.68

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Washington Capitals

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
34 Justin Sourdif C	+2.32	+1.30	+0.29	+0.45	+0.30	-0.02	0.00	—	17:34
44 Cole Hutson D	+1.41	+1.25	+0.09	+0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	15:11
9 Ryan Leonard R	+1.24	+0.70	+0.21	+0.31	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	15:17
72 Anthony Beauvillier R	+1.14	+0.75	+0.06	+0.15	+0.15	+0.02	+0.02	—	19:07
29 Hendrix Lapierre C	+1.13	+0.75	+0.10	+0.28	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	8:05
63 Ivan Miroshnichenko L	+0.98	+0.70	0.00	+0.28	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	7:50
17 Dylan Strome C	+0.75	+0.75	+0.20	-0.06	-0.15	+0.02	-0.01	—	19:10
8 Alex Ovechkin L	+0.67	+0.55	+0.20	-0.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	17:35
22 Brandon Duhaime L	+0.58	+0.55	+0.02	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.06	—	15:53
21 Aliaksei Protas L	+0.49	0.00	+0.14	+0.35	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	6:27
6 Jakob Chychrun D	+0.24	0.00	0.00	-0.02	+0.15	0.00	+0.11	—	23:55
24 Connor McMichael L	+0.10	+0.70	+0.06	-0.76	+0.15	-0.05	0.00	—	20:10
3 Matt Roy D	-0.02	0.00	+0.02	-0.04	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:26
57 Trevor van Riemsdyk D	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.10	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	19:00
42 Martin Fehérváry D	-0.14	0.00	0.00	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.19	—	20:14
38 Rasmus Sandin D	-0.34	0.00	+0.05	-0.26	-0.15	0.00	+0.01	—	21:25
48 Logan Thompson G	-0.56	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-0.56	65:00
43 Tom Wilson R	-0.95	0.00	+0.04	-0.84	-0.15	0.00	0.00	—	24:11
80 Pierre-Luc Dubois C	-1.07	0.00	+0.03	-1.03	0.00	0.00	-0.06	—	18:17

Vegas Golden Knights

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Jack Eichel C	+3.35	+2.00	+0.33	+0.98	0.00	+0.01	+0.03	—	23:23
4 Rasmus Andersson D	+2.73	+1.45	+0.38	+1.01	-0.15	0.00	+0.04	—	23:20
49 Ivan Barbashev L	+1.51	0.00	+0.15	+1.07	+0.30	0.00	0.00	—	15:48
61 Mark Stone R	+1.26	0.00	+0.14	+1.06	+0.15	0.00	-0.08	—	21:43
16 Pavel Dorofeyev R	+0.90	+0.70	+0.27	-0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	19:13
5 Jeremy Lauzon D	+0.78	0.00	0.00	+0.75	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	18:09
26 Nic Dowd C	+0.77	+0.75	+0.11	-0.11	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	11:56
93 Mitch Marner R	+0.53	+0.75	+0.11	-0.09	-0.15	-0.01	-0.08	—	22:19
27 Shea Theodore D	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	-0.05	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	22:45
22 Cole Smith R	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	-0.20	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	12:55
10 Colton Sissons C	-0.10	0.00	+0.23	-0.46	0.00	+0.04	+0.09	—	10:49
15 Noah Hanifin D	-0.23	0.00	+0.10	-0.23	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	20:45
48 Tomas Hertl C	-0.29	0.00	+0.12	-0.43	0.00	+0.02	0.00	—	12:23
21 Brett Howden C	-0.29	0.00	+0.01	-0.09	-0.15	-0.04	-0.02	—	17:25
55 Keegan Kolesar R	-0.31	0.00	0.00	-0.19	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	10:48
19 Reilly Smith R	-0.42	0.00	+0.05	-0.43	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	9:24
3 Brayden McNabb D	-0.43	0.00	+0.03	-0.27	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	21:14
17 Ben Hutton D	-0.52	0.00	0.00	-0.52	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	12:29
33 Adin Hill G	-1.68	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.68	64:52

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.