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Winnipeg JetsWPG 1–6 Final Boston BruinsBOS

Thursday, March 19, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Winnipeg JetsWPG 001 1 24
Boston BruinsBOS 123 6 27
Playoff odds, % Change
BOS +7.3
WPG -2.4
DET -1.7
OTT -1.6
CBJ -1.1
NYI -0.8
PHI -0.6
SEA +0.6
MTL -0.6
NSH +0.5
SJS +0.4
PIT -0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 19, 2026 5:27 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
14:52 BOS David Pastrnak (27) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.20 0–1 ▶
2nd Period
6:23 BOS Lukas Reichel (3) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.10 0–2 ▶
18:16 BOS Viktor Arvidsson (19) Casey Mittelstadt (22), Pavel Zacha (28) · wrist xG 0.20 0–3 ▶
3rd Period
3:15 BOS Pavel Zacha (23) Casey Mittelstadt (23), Viktor Arvidsson (22) · wrist xG 0.09 0–4 ▶
5:38 WPG Jonathan Toews (9)PP Elias Salomonsson (3), Brad Lambert (2) · tip-in xG 0.11 1–4 ▶
15:52 BOS Fraser Minten (16) David Pastrnak (57), Andrew Peeke (9) · tip-in xG 0.26 1–5 ▶
18:18 BOS Jonathan Aspirot (3) Morgan Geekie (24), Lukas Reichel (4) · wrist xG 0.07 1–6 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

WPG 38%Deserve to win62% BOS
WPGBOS
2.75Expected goals3.49
1Goals (no shootout)6
2.13Expected goals, 5 on 53.12
57Shot attempts50
45Unblocked attempts41
24Shots on goal27

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
13:40 WPG xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced BOS 1.03–0.02
In xG over 10 minutes, 3:40 to 13:40 of the 3rd; goals 1–0
15:52 WPG Goalie Goalie · Hellebuyck −2.0 goals saved
5 goals on 2.97 xG, 26 shots on goal

Shot map

WPG shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ BOS shoots
Alex Iafallo: backhand, 19 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 0:09) Charlie McAvoy: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:30) Adam Lowry: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 1:26) Andrew Peeke: snap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:00) Andrew Peeke: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:06) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 2:26) Josh Morrissey: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 3:14) Jonathan Toews: backhand, 47 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:07) Morgan Geekie: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 4:20) David Pastrnak: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 4:28) Morgan Geekie: deflected, 32 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 5:08) Casey Mittelstadt: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 6:00) Mason Lohrei: snap, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 6:07) Sean Kuraly: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:31) Kyle Connor: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 7:49) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 8:36) Jonathan Toews: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 8:47) Brad Lambert: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 8:48) Brad Lambert: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:49) Jonathan Toews: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 10:47) Fraser Minten: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 12:42) Fraser Minten: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 12:44) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 63 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 13:08) Casey Mittelstadt: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:59) David Pastrnak: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 14:09) Mark Scheifele: wrist, 19 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 14:18) David Pastrnak: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:45) Haydn Fleury: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:37) Elias Lindholm: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 16:16) Pavel Zacha: deflected, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 17:23) Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 17:34) Dylan DeMelo: wrist, 59 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:06) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 18:08) Adam Lowry: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:31) Adam Lowry: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 1:32) Isak Rosen: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:05) Mark Kastelic: tip-in, 20 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:26) Elias Lindholm: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:33) Andrew Peeke: snap, 38 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:58) Pavel Zacha: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:28) Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:13) Andrew Peeke: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:34) Fraser Minten: snap, 6 ft, xG 0.44 (P2 9:37) Alex Iafallo: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:08) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:11) Tanner Jeannot: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 12:24) Gabriel Vilardi: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 13:38) Gabriel Vilardi: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:39) Gabriel Vilardi: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:09) Elias Lindholm: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:18) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 14:38) Mark Scheifele: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 15:20) Casey Mittelstadt: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 15:36) Cole Koepke: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:21) Tanner Jeannot: snap, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 19:38) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:47) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 2:12) Casey Mittelstadt: tip-in, 12 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:12) Charlie McAvoy: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 3:34) Cole Koepke: snap, 23 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 3:49) Gabriel Vilardi: bat, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:59) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:07) Jacob Bryson: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 5:52) Elias Salomonsson: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 6:39) Kyle Connor: snap, 30 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 6:48) Kyle Connor: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 6:56) Mark Scheifele: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 7:13) Isak Rosen: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 8:34) Dylan Samberg: snap, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:13) Jacob Bryson: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:36) Nikita Zadorov: snap, 61 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:54) Adam Lowry: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:10) Elias Salomonsson: slap, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:46) Tanner Jeannot: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:36) Tanner Jeannot: snap, 5 ft, xG 0.29 (P3 17:32) Cole Perfetti: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:25) Dylan Samberg: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:06) Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 19:23) Gustav Nyquist: wrist, 99 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:36) David Pastrnak: GOAL, wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.20 (P1 14:52) Lukas Reichel: GOAL, wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 6:23) Viktor Arvidsson: GOAL, wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 18:16) Pavel Zacha: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:15) Jonathan Toews: GOAL, tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 5:38) Fraser Minten: GOAL, tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P3 15:52) Jonathan Aspirot: GOAL, wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 18:18)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Winnipeg Jets

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
55 Mark Scheifele 000 -3 50.34 0021:56
81 Kyle Connor 000 -3 30.34 1020:41
13 Gabriel Vilardi 000 -3 50.36 1019:13
91 Cole Perfetti 000 -1 60.20 1017:48
14 Gustav Nyquist 000 -1 20.04 0114:59
19 Jonathan Toews 101 -1 60.41 0014:59
17 Adam Lowry 000 -1 40.30 0014:38
9 Alex Iafallo 000 -2 20.03 2014:34
93 Brad Lambert 011 -1 20.07 0012:16
27 Isak Rosen 000 -1 20.12 0111:51
36 Morgan Barron 000 -1 10.00 0211:30
45 Cole Koepke 000 0 20.18 1009:41
Defense
44 Josh Morrissey 000 -2 30.03 0025:19
2 Dylan DeMelo 000 -2 10.02 1122:28
57 Elias Salomonsson 011 -1 50.21 1021:21
54 Dylan Samberg 000 -2 20.05 0221:02
24 Haydn Fleury 000 -3 40.01 2011:55
78 Jacob Bryson 000 -2 20.04 0011:49
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Connor Hellebuyck 27621 .778 3.49 -2.51

Boston Bruins

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
28 Elias Lindholm 000 +2 30.16 0116:39
52 Sean Kuraly 000 0 20.01 1016:21
39 Morgan Geekie 011 +2 20.09 1014:55
88 David Pastrnak 112 +2 50.37 3014:55
76 Lukas Reichel 112 +2 20.10 1014:45
84 Tanner Jeannot 000 0 50.65 7014:43
93 Fraser Minten 101 +2 40.94 1014:40
47 Mark Kastelic 000 0 20.02 4114:25
33 Viktor Arvidsson 112 +2 40.28 0014:15
11 Casey Mittelstadt 022 +2 40.34 1114:11
18 Pavel Zacha 112 +2 30.24 0112:54
92 Marat Khusnutdinov 000 +2 00.00 1012:28
Defense
27 Hampus Lindholm 000 0 00.00 0021:20
73 Charlie McAvoy 000 +4 30.04 0120:34
6 Mason Lohrei 000 0 20.09 0120:23
91 Nikita Zadorov 000 +2 30.01 0019:33
20 Andrew Peeke 011 +2 40.07 2319:06
45 Jonathan Aspirot 101 +4 20.07 2217:17
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Jeremy Swayman 24123 .958 2.75 +1.75

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Winnipeg Jets

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
13 Gabriel Vilardi C +0.76 0.00 +0.24 +0.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 19:13
57 Elias Salomonsson D +0.69 +0.70 +0.14 -0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 21:21
91 Cole Perfetti C +0.42 0.00 +0.13 +0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 17:48
55 Mark Scheifele C +0.20 0.00 +0.22 -0.06 +0.15 -0.05 -0.06 — 21:56
81 Kyle Connor L +0.18 0.00 +0.22 -0.19 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 20:41
19 Jonathan Toews C +0.05 +0.75 +0.27 -0.94 0.00 -0.01 -0.02 — 14:59
78 Jacob Bryson D -0.01 0.00 +0.03 -0.35 +0.30 0.00 +0.02 — 11:49
93 Brad Lambert C -0.01 +0.55 +0.05 -0.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 12:16
17 Adam Lowry C -0.04 0.00 +0.20 -0.18 0.00 -0.03 -0.02 — 14:38
44 Josh Morrissey D -0.34 0.00 +0.02 -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.06 — 25:19
27 Isak Rosen R -0.59 0.00 +0.08 -0.71 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 11:51
45 Cole Koepke L -0.79 0.00 +0.12 -0.87 0.00 0.00 -0.04 — 9:41
36 Morgan Barron C -0.91 0.00 0.00 -0.98 0.00 -0.01 +0.08 — 11:30
24 Haydn Fleury D -0.93 0.00 +0.01 -0.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 11:55
54 Dylan Samberg D -1.02 0.00 +0.03 -1.14 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 21:02
9 Alex Iafallo L -1.06 0.00 +0.02 -1.10 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 14:34
2 Dylan DeMelo D -1.10 0.00 +0.01 -1.14 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 22:28
14 Gustav Nyquist R -1.18 0.00 +0.03 -1.10 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 14:59
37 Connor Hellebuyck G -2.51 0.00 — — 0.00 — — -2.51 60:00

Boston Bruins

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
88 David Pastrnak R +2.44 +1.45 +0.24 +1.04 -0.30 0.00 0.00 — 14:55
93 Fraser Minten C +2.42 +0.75 +0.61 +1.04 0.00 +0.04 -0.02 — 14:40
26 Andrew Peeke D +2.20 +0.55 +0.04 +1.32 +0.15 0.00 +0.13 — 19:06
11 Casey Mittelstadt C +2.14 +1.40 +0.22 +0.50 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 14:11
18 Pavel Zacha C +1.83 +1.30 +0.16 +0.32 0.00 +0.02 +0.03 — 12:54
45 Jonathan Aspirot D +1.82 +0.75 +0.05 +0.90 0.00 0.00 +0.12 — 17:17
1 Jeremy Swayman G +1.75 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.75 60:00
71 Viktor Arvidsson L +1.73 +1.30 +0.18 +0.40 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 14:15
75 Lukas Reichel L +1.58 +1.30 +0.07 +0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 14:45
91 Nikita Zadorov D +1.32 0.00 +0.01 +1.34 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 19:33
73 Charlie McAvoy D +0.98 0.00 +0.03 +0.92 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 20:34
84 Tanner Jeannot L +0.94 0.00 +0.42 +0.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 14:43
39 Morgan Geekie C +0.81 +0.70 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 +0.01 -0.02 — 14:55
92 Marat Khusnutdinov C +0.77 0.00 0.00 +0.78 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 12:28
52 Sean Kuraly C +0.71 0.00 +0.01 +0.68 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 16:21
47 Mark Kastelic C +0.51 0.00 +0.01 +0.44 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 14:25
28 Elias Lindholm C +0.02 0.00 +0.10 -0.16 0.00 +0.03 +0.05 — 16:39
6 Mason Lohrei D -0.18 0.00 +0.06 -0.29 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 20:23
27 Hampus Lindholm D -0.28 0.00 0.00 -0.09 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 — 21:20

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.