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Los Angeles KingsLAK 3–2 Final New York IslandersNYI

Friday, March 13, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Los Angeles KingsLAK 300 3 27
New York IslandersNYI 011 2 23
Playoff odds, % Change
LAK +7.6
NYI -6.1
EDM -1.7
SJS -1.5
CBJ +1.3
SEA -1.2
PIT +1.0
NSH -1.0
VGK -0.8
BOS +0.8
OTT +0.8
PHI +0.8
DET +0.7

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 13, 2026 5:39 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:33 LAK Trevor Moore (8) Unassisted · wrist xG 0.12 1–0 ▶
13:07 LAK Anze Kopitar (8) Mikey Anderson (10), Alex Turcotte (11) · wrist xG 0.42 2–0 ▶
18:28 LAK Adrian Kempe (26) Artemi Panarin (45) · wrist xG 0.16 3–0 ▶
2nd Period
10:46 NYI Emil Heineman (17) Adam Pelech (9), Bo Horvat (18) · tip-in xG 0.06 3–1 ▶
3rd Period
3:38 NYI Emil Heineman (18) Matthew Schaefer (28), Bo Horvat (19) · deflected xG 0.11 3–2 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

LAK 53%Deserve to win47% NYI
LAKNYI
3.84Expected goals3.13
3Goals (no shootout)2
2.03Expected goals, 5 on 52.54
61Shot attempts72
43Unblocked attempts47
27Shots on goal23

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
4:40 NYI xG swing xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.39–0.17
In xG over 10 minutes, 16:10 of the 2nd to 6:10 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ NYI shoots
Jean-Gabriel Pageau: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:54) Adrian Kempe: poke, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:21) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 1:53) Trevor Moore: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:03) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 2:05) Trevor Moore: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 2:15) Ondrej Palat: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 2:27) Tony DeAngelo: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 2:49) Emil Heineman: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:23) Anders Lee: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 4:33) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:54) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:12) Scott Mayfield: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 5:48) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 6:03) Artemi Panarin: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 8:07) Anze Kopitar: snap, 12 ft, xG 0.21 (P1 8:20) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P1 8:33) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 9:23) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 11:32) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 11:45) Calum Ritchie: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:12) Artemi Panarin: snap, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:35) Matthew Schaefer: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 15:09) Adam Pelech: wrist, 60 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 15:32) Adam Pelech: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 15:40) Scott Laughton: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 16:55) Simon Holmstrom: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 18:46) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 19:35) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 0:35) Anders Lee: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 1:10) Scott Laughton: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 2:51) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 54 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:54) Marc Gatcomb: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 3:24) Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:44) Quinton Byfield: wrist, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 4:53) Adrian Kempe: snap, 15 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 5:50) Bo Horvat: snap, 36 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:14) Artemi Panarin: backhand, 11 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:30) Mikey Anderson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:44) Joel Edmundson: snap, 58 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 9:48) Quinton Byfield: snap, 34 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 10:14) Alex Laferriere: wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 10:24) Mikey Anderson: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 11:12) Adrian Kempe: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 11:36) Quinton Byfield: deflected, 13 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 13:04) Artemi Panarin: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 13:33) Scott Laughton: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 14:24) Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 14:31) Anze Kopitar: deflected, 60 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 15:46) Brandt Clarke: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 16:06) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 17:18) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 47 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:33) Brayden Schenn: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:45) Adam Pelech: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 18:23) Anders Lee: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:31) Anders Lee: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 19:00) Anders Lee: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.45 (P2 19:03) Mathew Barzal: slap, 33 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 19:50) Artemi Panarin: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:56) Jean-Gabriel Pageau: snap, 16 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 1:05) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 3:48) Jared Wright: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 4:23) Drew Doughty: slap, 62 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:00) Maxim Shabanov: backhand, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:06) Ryan Pulock: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 5:29) Ryan Pulock: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 5:45) Cody Ceci: wrist, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:54) Mikey Anderson: slap, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 6:32) Brandt Clarke: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 8:02) Trevor Moore: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 8:07) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 10:21) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 10:59) Emil Heineman: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:21) Bo Horvat: wrist, 12 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 11:24) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 11:42) Bo Horvat: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 12:28) Jared Wright: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.17 (P3 14:15) Tony DeAngelo: wrist, 69 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:47) Matthew Schaefer: wrist, 51 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 16:34) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 17:02) Mathew Barzal: wrist, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 17:45) Adrian Kempe: wrist, 147 ft, xG 0.21 (P3 17:50) Drew Doughty: wrist, 184 ft, xG 0.35 (P3 18:58) Brayden Schenn: slap, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:05) Anders Lee: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 19:45) Trevor Moore: GOAL, wrist, 25 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 3:33) Anze Kopitar: GOAL, wrist, 3 ft, xG 0.42 (P1 13:07) Adrian Kempe: GOAL, wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 18:28) Emil Heineman: GOAL, tip-in, 27 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 10:46) Emil Heineman: GOAL, deflected, 17 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 3:38)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Los Angeles Kings

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
11 Anze Kopitar 101 +2 40.64 1120:53
10 Artemi Panarin 011 +1 70.48 0119:49
14 Alex Laferriere 000 -1 70.41 2119:24
55 Quinton Byfield 000 -1 50.30 0019:05
12 Trevor Moore 101 0 60.23 0319:01
21 Scott Laughton 000 0 30.25 4118:05
9 Adrian Kempe 101 +1 60.73 1117:35
15 Alex Turcotte 011 +1 00.00 1112:15
25 Jared Wright 000 0 20.32 4012:14
79 Samuel Helenius 000 0 00.00 3007:46
17 Taylor Ward 000 0 10.00 0007:04
39 Jeff Malott 000 0 00.00 2106:44
Defense
44 Mikey Anderson 011 +1 60.05 2523:44
8 Drew Doughty 000 +1 40.35 1123:28
92 Brandt Clarke 000 -1 40.07 0119:15
6 Joel Edmundson 000 -1 10.00 1317:36
5 Cody Ceci 000 +1 30.00 1316:12
2 Brian Dumoulin 000 +1 20.00 0014:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Darcy Kuemper 23221 .913 3.13 +1.13

New York Islanders

Skater GAP+/− AttxG HitBlkTOI
Forwards
13 Mathew Barzal 000 +1 90.39 1024:56
14 Bo Horvat 022 +1 50.25 0123:37
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau 000 0 20.25 2017:58
10 Brayden Schenn 000 -1 30.12 3217:36
92 Simon Holmstrom 000 0 30.08 0016:56
64 Calum Ritchie 000 -1 30.01 0115:47
51 Emil Heineman 202 +1 50.28 5015:44
72 Anders Lee 000 -1 60.76 2015:08
81 Ondrej Palat 000 0 30.12 3009:50
53 Casey Cizikas 000 -1 20.00 1008:38
49 Maxim Shabanov 000 -1 10.00 0107:12
17 Marc Gatcomb 000 -1 30.28 4106:20
Defense
48 Matthew Schaefer 011 0 100.23 0129:24
3 Adam Pelech 011 0 70.09 1124:14
6 Ryan Pulock 000 -1 30.22 1122:25
77 Tony DeAngelo 000 +1 40.03 0120:01
24 Scott Mayfield 000 -1 20.01 0209:27
7 Carson Soucy 000 -1 10.00 0009:11
Goalie SAGA SVSV% xGA GSAx
Ilya Sorokin 27324 .889 3.28 +0.28

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Los Angeles Kings

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
11 Anze Kopitar C +1.92 +0.75 +0.42 +0.75 0.00 -0.03 +0.03 — 20:53
44 Mikey Anderson D +1.35 +0.70 +0.03 +0.22 +0.15 0.00 +0.25 — 23:44
9 Adrian Kempe R +1.34 +0.75 +0.47 +0.07 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:35
12 Trevor Moore L +1.29 +0.75 +0.15 +0.09 +0.15 0.00 +0.15 — 19:01
10 Artemi Panarin L +1.17 +0.70 +0.31 +0.11 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 19:49
35 Darcy Kuemper G +1.13 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.13 59:35
15 Alex Turcotte C +0.44 +0.55 0.00 -0.14 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 12:15
55 Quinton Byfield R +0.29 0.00 +0.19 +0.11 0.00 -0.01 0.00 — 19:05
8 Drew Doughty D +0.11 0.00 +0.23 -0.01 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 23:28
5 Cody Ceci D +0.11 0.00 0.00 -0.06 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 16:12
52 Taylor Ward R -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 7:04
53 Jared Wright R -0.08 0.00 +0.21 -0.44 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 12:14
39 Jeff Malott L -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 6:44
6 Joel Edmundson D -0.13 0.00 0.00 -0.27 0.00 0.00 +0.13 — 17:36
14 Alex Laferriere R -0.19 0.00 +0.27 -0.52 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 19:24
79 Samuel Helenius C -0.24 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 -0.03 0.00 — 7:46
92 Brandt Clarke D -0.30 0.00 +0.05 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:15
2 Brian Dumoulin D -0.52 0.00 0.00 -0.35 -0.15 0.00 -0.02 — 14:11
21 Scott Laughton C -1.01 0.00 +0.16 -0.88 -0.30 -0.02 +0.03 — 18:05

New York Islanders

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
14 Bo Horvat C +2.24 +1.10 +0.16 +1.04 -0.15 +0.01 +0.07 — 23:37
48 Matthew Schaefer D +2.20 +0.70 +0.15 +1.34 0.00 0.00 +0.01 — 29:24
51 Emil Heineman L +2.02 +1.50 +0.18 +0.33 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:44
13 Mathew Barzal C +1.50 0.00 +0.26 +0.95 +0.30 0.00 0.00 — 24:56
27 Anders Lee L +1.22 0.00 +0.49 +0.72 0.00 +0.01 0.00 — 15:08
3 Adam Pelech D +1.09 +0.70 +0.06 +0.28 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 24:14
92 Simon Holmstrom R +0.94 0.00 +0.05 +0.74 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 16:56
77 Tony DeAngelo D +0.62 0.00 +0.02 +0.61 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 20:01
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C +0.46 0.00 +0.16 +0.29 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 17:59
30 Ilya Sorokin G +0.28 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +0.28 57:36
81 Ondrej Palat L +0.14 0.00 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 9:50
6 Ryan Pulock D -0.11 0.00 +0.15 -0.30 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 22:25
16 Marc Gatcomb C -0.12 0.00 +0.18 -0.36 0.00 +0.01 +0.05 — 6:20
10 Brayden Schenn C -0.26 0.00 +0.08 -0.51 0.00 0.00 +0.17 — 17:36
53 Casey Cizikas C -0.37 0.00 0.00 -0.39 0.00 0.00 +0.02 — 8:38
24 Scott Mayfield D -0.53 0.00 +0.01 -0.63 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 9:27
4 Carson Soucy D -0.57 0.00 0.00 -0.47 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 9:11
49 Max Shabanov R -0.69 0.00 0.00 -0.76 0.00 0.00 +0.07 — 7:12
64 Calum Ritchie C -0.85 0.00 +0.01 -0.89 0.00 +0.01 +0.03 — 15:46

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.