| Final | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 |
1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 36 |
 |
1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 |
Highlights
Scoring
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 0:31 | |
Denton Mateychuk (12) Adam Fantilli (33) · wrist xG 0.09 | 0–1 ▶ |
| 17:17 | |
Igor Chernyshov (4) Will Smith (27) · snap xG 0.15 | 1–1 ▶ |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 12:09 | |
Cole Sillinger (8) Ivan Provorov (20) · snap xG 0.22 | 1–2 ▶ |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 0:57 | |
Macklin Celebrini (36)PP Dmitry Orlov (27), Alexander Wennberg (32) · slap xG 0.05 | 2–2 ▶ |
| 18:35 | |
Igor Chernyshov (5) Will Smith (28), Macklin Celebrini (62) · snap xG 0.05 | 3–2 ▶ |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| SJS | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 4.18 | Expected goals | 2.25 |
| 3 | Goals (no shootout) | 2 |
| 3.32 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 1.89 |
| 65 | Shot attempts | 45 |
| 51 | Unblocked attempts | 35 |
| 36 | Shots on goal | 24 |
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 16:01 | SJS | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · SJS takes the lead, 60–40%
CBJ had led since 3:46 of the 1st, by as much as 62% |
| 18:30 | SJS | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.22–0.08
In xG over 10 minutes, 8:40 to 18:40 of the 1st; goals 1–0 |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 14:30 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Voronkov, 32:39 on the bench
No shift after 2:18 of the 2nd; 7 shifts (4:03) before that |
| 19:55 | CBJ | Goalie | Goalie · Merzlikins +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.11 xG, 26 shots on goal |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 19:10 | CBJ | Pulled goalie | Pulled goalie · Pulled Merzlikins, down 3–2
With 0:50 left |
Shot map
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
Box score
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 71 | Macklin Celebrini | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 8 | 0.41 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 |
| 2 | Will Smith | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 0.15 | 0 | 0 | 19:14 |
| 44 | Kiefer Sherwood | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.29 | 6 | 0 | 16:52 |
| 21 | Alexander Wennberg | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 |
| 27 | William Eklund | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 4 | 0.15 | 1 | 0 | 16:12 |
| 92 | Igor Chernyshov | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 0.53 | 1 | 0 | 15:31 |
| 51 | Collin Graf | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1.05 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 |
| 77 | Michael Misa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.37 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 |
| 73 | Tyler Toffoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 14:48 |
| 23 | Barclay Goodrow | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.60 | 2 | 0 | 11:56 |
| 81 | Adam Gaudette | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 0 | 2 | 09:41 |
| 63 | Zack Ostapchuk | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 08:58 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 9 | Dmitry Orlov | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.01 | 1 | 0 | 22:13 |
| 38 | Mario Ferraro | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 20:58 |
| 85 | Shakir Mukhamadullin | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 0.07 | 0 | 0 | 20:26 |
| 73 | Vincent Desharnais | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.04 | 2 | 1 | 19:37 |
| 4 | Nick Leddy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 |
| 6 | Sam Dickinson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 17:23 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Nedeljkovic | 24 | 2 | 22 | .917 | 2.25 | +0.25 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 7 | 0.35 | 1 | 0 | 20:50 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 19:58 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 18:26 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.13 | 2 | 1 | 17:17 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 2 | 0 | 16:23 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.18 | 4 | 1 | 15:40 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 15:34 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 0.31 | 0 | 0 | 14:18 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.11 | 1 | 0 | 13:37 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 12:49 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 3 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 12:41 |
| 10 | Dmitri Voronkov | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 04:03 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 30:51 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 25:39 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.01 | 0 | 3 | 19:09 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 16:52 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 14:57 |
| 2 | Jake Christiansen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 2 | 09:43 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elvis Merzlikins | 36 | 3 | 33 | .917 | 3.61 | +0.61 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71 Macklin Celebrini C | +2.78 | +1.30 | +0.27 | +1.34 | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.06 | — | 19:42 |
| 92 Igor Chernyshov L | +2.55 | +1.50 | +0.34 | +0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 15:31 |
| 51 Collin Graf R | +2.42 | 0.00 | +0.68 | +1.56 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 15:21 |
| 2 Will Smith C | +2.13 | +1.40 | +0.10 | +0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | — | 19:14 |
| 73 Tyler Toffoli C | +1.28 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:48 |
| 77 Michael Misa C | +1.24 | 0.00 | +0.24 | +0.98 | 0.00 | +0.02 | 0.00 | — | 15:09 |
| 38 Mario Ferraro D | +1.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 20:58 |
| 9 Dmitry Orlov D | +1.07 | +0.70 | +0.01 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 22:13 |
| 85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D | +0.77 | 0.00 | +0.05 | +0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 20:30 |
| 4 Nick Leddy D | +0.46 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:37 |
| 5 Vincent Desharnais D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.01 | — | 19:37 |
| 6 Sam Dickinson D | +0.36 | 0.00 | +0.11 | +0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 17:23 |
| 33 Alex Nedeljkovic G | +0.25 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.25 | 59:31 |
| 21 Alexander Wennberg C | +0.17 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.38 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 16:47 |
| 23 Barclay Goodrow C | +0.11 | 0.00 | +0.39 | -0.27 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 11:56 |
| 81 Adam Gaudette R | +0.05 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.13 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.08 | — | 9:41 |
| 44 Kiefer Sherwood L | -0.09 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 16:52 |
| 72 William Eklund L | -0.18 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.43 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:12 |
| 63 Zack Ostapchuk C | -0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.37 | -0.15 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 8:58 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +1.09 | +0.70 | +0.11 | +0.13 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 25:39 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.95 | +0.75 | +0.11 | +0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 14:57 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | +0.69 | +0.75 | +0.18 | -0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 16:23 |
| 90 Elvis Merzlikins G | +0.61 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | +0.61 | 59:10 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +0.39 | 0.00 | +0.23 | +0.18 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.02 | — | 20:50 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:49 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.22 | 0.00 | +0.07 | +0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 13:37 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | +0.18 | +0.70 | +0.23 | -0.77 | 0.00 | +0.01 | 0.00 | — | 19:58 |
| 10 Dmitri Voronkov L | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 4:03 |
| 2 Jake Christiansen D | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 9:43 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | -0.20 | 0.00 | +0.09 | -0.22 | -0.15 | +0.06 | +0.03 | — | 17:17 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | -0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.15 | — | 19:09 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | -0.52 | 0.00 | +0.20 | -0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 14:18 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.61 | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.02 | — | 15:34 |
| 83 Conor Garland R | -0.71 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 12:41 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | -0.87 | 0.00 | +0.12 | -1.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 15:40 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 18:26 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | -1.16 | 0.00 | +0.05 | -1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 30:51 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 16:52 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.