Seattle KrakenSEA 2–5 Final Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ

Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
Seattle KrakenSEA	1	1	0	2	17
Columbus Blue JacketsCBJ	3	1	1	5	28

Playoff odds, %	Change
SEA	-6.8
CBJ	+5.0
LAK	+1.5
NYI	-1.4
VGK	+1.3
NSH	+1.2
SJS	+1.1
EDM	+0.8
DET	-0.8
MTL	-0.6
BOS	-0.5
OTT	-0.5
PHI	-0.4
PIT	-0.4

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 21, 2026 4:18 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
2:48	CBJ	Danton Heinen (5) Boone Jenner (22), Zach Werenski (53) · wrist xG 0.02	0–1 ▶
8:58	CBJ	Damon Severson (7) Cole Sillinger (24), Zach Werenski (54) · slap xG 0.06	0–2 ▶
15:16	CBJ	Mathieu Olivier (14) Cole Sillinger (25), Zach Werenski (55) · wrist xG 0.26	0–3 ▶
16:17	SEA	Vince Dunn (11) Kaapo Kakko (19), Frederick Gaudreau (16) · slap xG 0.07	1–3 ▶
2nd Period
8:31	SEA	Kaapo Kakko (11)PP Eeli Tolvanen (23), Brandon Montour (20) · wrist xG 0.09	2–3 ▶
9:33	CBJ	Kent Johnson (7) Conor Garland (20), Adam Fantilli (31) · snap xG 0.18	2–4 ▶
3rd Period
17:34	CBJ	Cole Sillinger (7)EN Mathieu Olivier (11) · wrist xG 0.52	2–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

SEA 40%Deserve to win60% CBJ

SEA		CBJ
2.17	Expected goals	3.25
2	Goals (no shootout)	5
1.67	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.26
44	Shot attempts	52
31	Unblocked attempts	39
17	Shots on goal	28

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
9:33	SEA	Goalie	Goalie · Daccord −2.2 goals saved 4 goals on 1.76 xG, 17 shots on goal
3rd Period
1:30	SEA	No shift	No shift · Melanson, 10:37 on the bench No shift from 9:20 of the 2nd to 2:05 of the 3rd; 7 shifts (5:13) before that
17:11	SEA	Pulled goalie	Pulled goalie · Pulled Daccord, down 4–2 With 2:49 left; CBJ scored at 17:34 of the 3rd (2–5)

Shot map

SEA shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ CBJ shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

Seattle Kraken

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
9	Chandler Stephenson	0	0	0	-1	2	0.10	0	0	20:13
89	Frederick Gaudreau	0	1	1	+1	3	0.13	0	1	17:57
74	Bobby McMann	0	0	0	-1	2	0.02	1	0	16:58
10	Matty Beniers	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	0	2	16:27
7	Jordan Eberle	0	0	0	-1	6	0.31	1	1	16:10
17	Eeli Tolvanen	0	1	1	0	1	0.14	2	1	15:39
84	Kaapo Kakko	1	1	2	0	2	0.10	0	0	14:58
27	Berkly Catton	0	0	0	0	2	0.14	1	0	14:12
51	Shane Wright	0	0	0	0	3	0.22	0	1	13:37
59	Ben Meyers	0	0	0	-3	1	0.21	1	0	11:21
63	Jacob Melanson	0	0	0	-3	2	0.14	3	1	09:06
38	Jani Nyman	0	0	0	-4	0	0.00	2	0	08:15
Defense
6	Adam Larsson	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	0	2	24:45
29	Vince Dunn	1	0	1	-1	5	0.34	0	1	21:21
55	Ryan Lindgren	0	0	0	-2	1	0.14	1	0	19:45
41	Ryker Evans	0	0	0	-1	3	0.03	1	2	18:18
4	Jamie Oleksiak	0	0	0	-1	5	0.11	0	0	18:01
62	Brandon Montour	0	1	1	-3	1	0.03	1	1	17:30

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Joey Daccord	27	4	23	.852	2.72	-1.28

Columbus Blue Jackets

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
27	Mason Marchment	0	0	0	0	3	0.28	0	1	19:22
86	Kirill Marchenko	0	0	0	0	3	0.23	1	0	19:06
19	Adam Fantilli	0	1	1	+1	3	0.15	3	0	18:54
3	Charlie Coyle	0	0	0	+3	3	0.34	1	1	17:31
23	Sean Monahan	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	1	2	16:23
91	Kent Johnson	1	0	1	0	6	0.29	0	1	15:52
83	Conor Garland	0	1	1	0	1	0.12	0	0	14:39
24	Mathieu Olivier	1	1	2	+3	4	0.61	6	0	14:14
4	Cole Sillinger	1	2	3	+3	7	0.73	1	2	13:59
22	Boone Jenner	0	1	1	+1	0	0.00	0	0	12:20
58	Danton Heinen	1	0	1	+1	2	0.02	0	0	10:46
21	Isac Lundeström	0	0	0	+1	1	0.03	0	0	09:31
Defense
8	Zach Werenski	0	3	3	+4	7	0.25	0	0	24:07
9	Ivan Provorov	0	0	0	+2	3	0.00	0	3	22:41
78	Damon Severson	1	0	1	+3	3	0.07	0	0	21:19
44	Erik Gudbranson	0	0	0	0	1	0.02	1	3	16:26
5	Denton Mateychuk	0	0	0	0	2	0.10	0	0	16:01
15	Dante Fabbro	0	0	0	-1	2	0.01	1	0	15:18

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Elvis Merzlikins	17	2	15	.882	2.17	+0.17

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Seattle Kraken

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
84 Kaapo Kakko R	+1.23	+1.45	+0.06	-0.15	-0.15	0.00	+0.02	—	14:58
89 Frederick Gaudreau C	+1.10	+0.55	+0.09	+0.45	0.00	-0.03	+0.05	—	17:57
20 Eeli Tolvanen R	+0.83	+0.70	+0.09	+0.01	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:39
41 Ryker Evans D	+0.53	0.00	+0.02	+0.27	+0.15	0.00	+0.10	—	18:18
51 Shane Wright C	+0.32	0.00	+0.14	+0.11	0.00	+0.04	+0.03	—	13:37
29 Vince Dunn D	+0.32	+0.75	+0.22	-0.66	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	21:21
24 Jamie Oleksiak D	+0.21	0.00	+0.07	+0.33	-0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	18:01
27 Berkly Catton C	+0.16	0.00	+0.09	+0.07	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:12
9 Chandler Stephenson C	+0.07	0.00	+0.07	+0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	—	20:13
7 Jordan Eberle R	-0.13	0.00	+0.20	-0.41	0.00	+0.01	+0.07	—	16:10
63 Jacob Melanson R	-0.30	0.00	+0.09	-0.42	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	9:06
6 Adam Larsson D	-0.31	0.00	0.00	-0.41	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	24:45
62 Brandon Montour D	-0.45	+0.55	+0.02	-0.82	-0.15	0.00	-0.05	—	17:30
59 Ben Meyers C	-0.51	0.00	+0.14	-0.61	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	11:21
10 Matty Beniers C	-0.63	0.00	+0.01	-0.65	0.00	-0.07	+0.08	—	16:27
74 Bobby McMann C	-0.64	0.00	+0.01	-0.63	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	16:58
55 Ryan Lindgren D	-0.66	0.00	+0.09	-0.73	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	19:45
38 Jani Nyman R	-1.27	0.00	0.00	-1.27	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:15
35 Joey Daccord G	-1.28	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	-1.28	59:27

Columbus Blue Jackets

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
4 Cole Sillinger C	+4.18	+2.15	+0.47	+1.43	0.00	+0.01	+0.12	—	13:59
24 Mathieu Olivier R	+3.29	+1.45	+0.39	+1.43	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	14:14
8 Zach Werenski D	+3.11	+1.65	+0.16	+1.34	0.00	0.00	-0.04	—	24:07
78 Damon Severson D	+1.88	+0.75	+0.04	+1.09	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	21:19
3 Charlie Coyle C	+1.54	0.00	+0.22	+1.24	0.00	+0.03	+0.05	—	17:31
19 Adam Fantilli C	+1.08	+0.55	+0.10	+0.42	0.00	+0.03	-0.02	—	18:54
91 Kent Johnson C	+0.91	+0.75	+0.19	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	15:52
83 Conor Garland R	+0.79	+0.70	+0.08	+0.04	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	14:39
9 Ivan Provorov D	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.53	0.00	0.00	+0.17	—	22:41
43 Danton Heinen L	+0.55	+0.75	+0.02	-0.19	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	10:46
38 Boone Jenner C	+0.51	+0.70	0.00	-0.16	0.00	-0.03	0.00	—	12:20
17 Mason Marchment L	+0.40	0.00	+0.18	0.00	+0.15	+0.01	+0.07	—	19:22
90 Elvis Merzlikins G	+0.17	0.00	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.17	60:00
86 Kirill Marchenko R	+0.09	0.00	+0.15	-0.17	+0.15	0.00	-0.04	—	19:06
5 Denton Mateychuk D	-0.06	0.00	+0.06	-0.13	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	16:01
44 Erik Gudbranson D	-0.17	0.00	+0.01	-0.34	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	16:26
21 Isac Lundeström C	-0.22	0.00	+0.02	-0.23	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:31
23 Sean Monahan C	-0.30	0.00	0.00	-0.43	0.00	+0.03	+0.10	—	16:23
15 Dante Fabbro D	-0.31	0.00	+0.01	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:18

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.