| Final/OT | 1st | 2nd | 3rd | OT | T | SOG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 31 | |
| 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 32 |
| 1st Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 6:46 | Scott Laughton (10) Brian Dumoulin (13), Alex Turcotte (10) · snap xG 0.25 | 1–0 ▶ | |
| 14:48 | Artemi Panarin (21) Samuel Helenius (3) · wrist xG 0.11 | 2–0 ▶ | |
| 17:35 | Conor Garland (8) Sean Monahan (19), Ivan Provorov (18) · wrist xG 0.09 | 2–1 ▶ | |
| 2nd Period | |||
| 10:53 | Denton Mateychuk (10) Isac Lundeström (6), Boone Jenner (20) · backhand xG 0.01 | 2–2 ▶ | |
| 12:13 | Conor Garland (9) Denton Mateychuk (16) · snap xG 0.10 | 2–3 ▶ | |
| 14:09 | Adrian Kempe (24) Anze Kopitar (20), Brian Dumoulin (14) · snap xG 0.29 | 3–3 ▶ | |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 10:07 | Brian Dumoulin (2) Mikey Anderson (9), Scott Laughton (5) · snap xG 0.14 | 4–3 ▶ | |
| 18:04 | Kirill Marchenko (23)PP Zach Werenski (46), Charlie Coyle (34) · snap xG 0.10 | 4–4 ▶ | |
| Overtime | |||
| 2:34 | Adrian Kempe (25) Artemi Panarin (44), Drew Doughty (13) · slap xG 0.09 | 5–4 ▶ | |
Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
| LAK | CBJ | |
|---|---|---|
| 3.50 | Expected goals | 2.12 |
| 5 | Goals (no shootout) | 4 |
| 2.38 | Expected goals, 5 on 5 | 0.96 |
| 67 | Shot attempts | 56 |
| 49 | Unblocked attempts | 42 |
| 31 | Shots on goal | 32 |
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).
| 2nd Period | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | CBJ | No shift | No shift · Gudbranson, 31:23 on the bench
No shift after 18:34 of the 1st; 6 shifts (5:02) before that |
| 14:09 | LAK | Deserve to win | Deserve to win · LAK takes the lead, 65–35%
CBJ had led since 1:52 of the 1st, by as much as 78% |
| 14:10 | LAK | xG swing | xG swing · Out-chanced CBJ 1.75–0.36
In xG over 10 minutes, 5:10 to 15:10 of the 2nd; goals 1–2 |
| 3rd Period | |||
| 6:40 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Ward, 11:11 on the bench
No shift from 14:33 of the 2nd to 7:51 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (5:09) before that |
| 6:40 | LAK | No shift | No shift · Malott, 11:10 on the bench
No shift from 14:33 of the 2nd to 7:50 of the 3rd; 6 shifts (3:51) before that |
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 14 | Alex Laferriere | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 6 | 0.15 | 3 | 0 | 23:32 |
| 10 | Artemi Panarin | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 21:19 |
| 55 | Quinton Byfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 4 | 0.30 | 2 | 2 | 21:04 |
| 9 | Adrian Kempe | 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 0.83 | 2 | 0 | 21:02 |
| 12 | Trevor Moore | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 4 | 0.17 | 4 | 0 | 20:57 |
| 11 | Anze Kopitar | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 8 | 0.64 | 0 | 0 | 20:48 |
| 21 | Scott Laughton | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 15:09 |
| 25 | Jared Wright | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 11:12 |
| 15 | Alex Turcotte | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 10:07 |
| 79 | Samuel Helenius | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 06:47 |
| 17 | Taylor Ward | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 06:06 |
| 39 | Jeff Malott | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 04:55 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 92 | Brandt Clarke | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.07 | 0 | 4 | 22:01 |
| 8 | Drew Doughty | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 4 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 21:58 |
| 44 | Mikey Anderson | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 20:21 |
| 5 | Cody Ceci | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 0.06 | 0 | 1 | 18:32 |
| 6 | Joel Edmundson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.04 | 2 | 2 | 17:19 |
| 2 | Brian Dumoulin | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 0.25 | 0 | 0 | 17:12 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Forsberg | 32 | 4 | 28 | .875 | 2.12 | -1.88 |
| Skater | G | A | P | +/− | Att | xG | Hit | Blk | TOI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forwards | ||||||||||
| 86 | Kirill Marchenko | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 7 | 0.57 | 0 | 0 | 22:51 |
| 19 | Adam Fantilli | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 2 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 21:44 |
| 27 | Mason Marchment | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 19:37 |
| 23 | Sean Monahan | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 4 | 17:21 |
| 3 | Charlie Coyle | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 2 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 16:37 |
| 22 | Boone Jenner | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 14:15 |
| 4 | Cole Sillinger | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 13:18 |
| 91 | Kent Johnson | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 6 | 0.46 | 0 | 1 | 13:04 |
| 24 | Mathieu Olivier | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 12:26 |
| 21 | Isac Lundeström | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 0.08 | 1 | 4 | 12:11 |
| 83 | Conor Garland | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0.20 | 1 | 0 | 12:05 |
| 18 | Miles Wood | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 09:31 |
| Defense | ||||||||||
| 8 | Zach Werenski | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 6 | 0.18 | 1 | 2 | 29:04 |
| 78 | Damon Severson | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | 5 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 24:08 |
| 9 | Ivan Provorov | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 0.12 | 0 | 0 | 23:07 |
| 5 | Denton Mateychuk | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 17:52 |
| 15 | Dante Fabbro | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 2 | 17:29 |
| 44 | Erik Gudbranson | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 1 | 0 | 05:02 |
| Goalie | SA | GA | SV | SV% | xGA | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jet Greaves | 31 | 5 | 26 | .839 | 3.50 | -1.50 |
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Brian Dumoulin D | +4.11 | +2.00 | +0.16 | +1.80 | +0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:12 |
| 9 Adrian Kempe R | +3.35 | +1.50 | +0.54 | +1.16 | +0.15 | -0.01 | +0.02 | — | 21:02 |
| 10 Artemi Panarin L | +3.13 | +1.45 | +0.22 | +1.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.06 | — | 21:19 |
| 11 Anze Kopitar C | +2.43 | +0.70 | +0.42 | +1.26 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -0.02 | — | 20:48 |
| 5 Cody Ceci D | +2.07 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +1.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 18:32 |
| 21 Scott Laughton C | +2.05 | +1.30 | +0.22 | +0.64 | -0.15 | +0.04 | +0.01 | — | 15:09 |
| 15 Alex Turcotte C | +1.30 | +0.55 | +0.14 | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 10:07 |
| 44 Mikey Anderson D | +0.73 | +0.70 | +0.04 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 20:21 |
| 79 Samuel Helenius C | +0.73 | +0.70 | 0.00 | +0.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 6:47 |
| 53 Jared Wright R | +0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | — | 11:12 |
| 92 Brandt Clarke D | +0.60 | 0.00 | +0.04 | +0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.18 | — | 22:01 |
| 52 Taylor Ward R | +0.33 | 0.00 | +0.02 | +0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 6:06 |
| 6 Joel Edmundson D | +0.01 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 17:19 |
| 39 Jeff Malott L | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 4:55 |
| 8 Drew Doughty D | -0.10 | +0.55 | +0.01 | -0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 21:58 |
| 12 Trevor Moore L | -0.23 | 0.00 | +0.11 | -0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 20:57 |
| 14 Alex Laferriere R | -0.24 | 0.00 | +0.10 | -0.28 | 0.00 | +0.01 | -0.06 | — | 23:32 |
| 55 Quinton Byfield R | -0.37 | 0.00 | +0.19 | -0.46 | -0.30 | +0.10 | +0.10 | — | 21:04 |
| 31 Anton Forsberg G | -1.88 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.88 | 62:34 |
| Player | Rating | Points | Shots | On ice | Pen | FO | Other | GSAx | TOI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 Conor Garland R | +1.34 | +1.50 | +0.13 | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.02 | — | 12:05 |
| 9 Ivan Provorov D | +1.18 | +0.55 | +0.08 | +0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.02 | — | 23:07 |
| 86 Kirill Marchenko R | +1.13 | +0.75 | +0.37 | +0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 22:51 |
| 21 Isac Lundeström C | +1.04 | +0.70 | +0.05 | +0.08 | 0.00 | +0.01 | +0.20 | — | 12:11 |
| 23 Sean Monahan C | +0.98 | +0.70 | +0.06 | +0.16 | 0.00 | -0.12 | +0.18 | — | 17:21 |
| 5 Denton Mateychuk D | +0.78 | +1.45 | +0.01 | -0.87 | +0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 17:52 |
| 38 Boone Jenner C | +0.68 | +0.55 | +0.04 | +0.10 | 0.00 | -0.01 | 0.00 | — | 14:15 |
| 91 Kent Johnson C | +0.42 | 0.00 | +0.30 | +0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:04 |
| 11 Miles Wood L | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 9:31 |
| 44 Erik Gudbranson D | -0.04 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | — | 5:02 |
| 17 Mason Marchment L | -0.06 | 0.00 | +0.08 | -0.40 | +0.30 | 0.00 | -0.04 | — | 19:37 |
| 15 Dante Fabbro D | -0.30 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.10 | — | 17:29 |
| 3 Charlie Coyle C | -0.40 | +0.55 | 0.00 | -0.95 | 0.00 | -0.03 | +0.03 | — | 16:37 |
| 8 Zach Werenski D | -0.51 | +0.70 | +0.12 | -1.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.08 | — | 29:04 |
| 19 Adam Fantilli C | -1.21 | 0.00 | +0.03 | -1.03 | -0.15 | -0.06 | 0.00 | — | 21:44 |
| 78 Damon Severson D | -1.21 | 0.00 | +0.07 | -1.18 | -0.15 | 0.00 | +0.05 | — | 24:08 |
| 4 Cole Sillinger C | -1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.03 | — | 13:18 |
| 73 Jet Greaves G | -1.50 | 0.00 | — | — | 0.00 | — | — | -1.50 | 62:34 |
| 24 Mathieu Olivier R | -1.53 | 0.00 | +0.02 | -1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | +0.01 | — | 12:26 |
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.