New York IslandersNYI 3–5 Final Los Angeles KingsLAK

Thursday, March 5, 2026

Final	1st	2nd	3rd	T	SOG
New York IslandersNYI	0	1	2	3	35
Los Angeles KingsLAK	1	2	2	5	35

Playoff odds, %	Change
LAK	+6.9
NYI	-6.3
CBJ	+1.7
EDM	-1.6
SJS	-1.4
UTA	-1.1
BOS	+1.0
SEA	-1.0
WSH	+0.9
PHI	+0.6
PIT	+0.6
VGK	-0.6
NSH	-0.6
OTT	+0.5
DET	+0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 5, 2026 9:31 PM EST.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
3:17	LAK	Artemi Panarin (20) Anze Kopitar (19), Mikey Anderson (8) · wrist xG 0.13	0–1 ▶
2nd Period
14:20	LAK	Samuel Helenius (4) Jeff Malott (6), Taylor Ward (3) · wrist xG 0.10	0–2 ▶
15:51	LAK	Mikey Anderson (3) Drew Doughty (12), Adrian Kempe (29) · slap xG 0.03	0–3 ▶
19:59	NYI	Bo Horvat (26) Jean-Gabriel Pageau (14) · wrist xG 0.01	1–3 ▶
3rd Period
2:30	LAK	Alex Laferriere (15)PP Brandt Clarke (23), Darcy Kuemper (1) · snap xG 0.10	1–4 ▶
4:30	NYI	Adam Pelech (4)SH Jean-Gabriel Pageau (15) · snap xG 0.19	2–4 ▶
8:30	LAK	Adrian Kempe (23) Brandt Clarke (24), Artemi Panarin (42) · tip-in xG 0.24	2–5 ▶
18:01	NYI	Emil Heineman (16) Matthew Schaefer (25), Mathew Barzal (39) · tip-in xG 0.10	3–5 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

NYI 63%Deserve to win37% LAK

NYI		LAK
3.66	Expected goals	4.58
3	Goals (no shootout)	5
2.42	Expected goals, 5 on 5	2.01
79	Shot attempts	74
55	Unblocked attempts	57
35	Shots on goal	35

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

2nd Period
13:20	NYI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.50–0.26 In xG over 10 minutes, 3:20 to 13:20 of the 2nd; neither team scored
14:41	LAK	Goalie	Goalie · Kuemper +2.0 goals saved 0 goals on 2.03 xG, 22 shots on goal
3rd Period
8:30	NYI	Goalie	Goalie · Sorokin −2.2 goals saved 5 goals on 2.84 xG, 35 shots on goal
15:25	NYI	Deserve to win	Deserve to win · NYI takes the lead, 60–40% LAK had led since 2:43 of the 1st, by as much as 87%
18:30	NYI	xG swing	xG swing · Out-chanced LAK 1.11–0.00 In xG over 10 minutes, 9:50 to 19:50 of the 3rd; goals 1–0

Shot map

NYI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ LAK shoots

About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Box score

New York Islanders

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
14	Bo Horvat	1	0	1	0	9	0.48	0	2	24:00
13	Mathew Barzal	0	1	1	-1	9	0.71	0	3	23:16
92	Simon Holmstrom	0	0	0	0	4	0.26	1	0	21:31
72	Anders Lee	0	0	0	+1	11	0.53	2	0	18:58
64	Calum Ritchie	0	0	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	16:49
44	Jean-Gabriel Pageau	0	2	2	+1	1	0.03	1	0	15:57
51	Emil Heineman	1	0	1	+1	5	0.34	1	0	15:35
81	Ondrej Palat	0	0	0	-2	2	0.11	0	1	15:15
92	Jonathan Drouin	0	0	0	+1	2	0.11	0	1	14:56
53	Casey Cizikas	0	0	0	-1	4	0.32	2	1	11:37
17	Marc Gatcomb	0	0	0	-1	1	0.00	5	0	09:32
32	Kyle MacLean	0	0	0	-1	3	0.09	5	0	06:30
Defense
48	Matthew Schaefer	0	1	1	-1	8	0.21	1	1	27:47
77	Tony DeAngelo	0	0	0	-1	5	0.15	1	1	24:01
6	Ryan Pulock	0	0	0	+1	5	0.04	0	3	19:29
3	Adam Pelech	1	0	1	0	6	0.26	0	2	19:10
24	Scott Mayfield	0	0	0	-1	3	0.02	0	0	09:34
7	Carson Soucy	0	0	0	-1	1	0.01	0	1	09:31

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Ilya Sorokin	35	5	30	.857	2.86	-2.14

Los Angeles Kings

	Skater	G	A	P	+/−	Att	xG	Hit	Blk	TOI
Forwards
11	Anze Kopitar	0	1	1	+1	3	0.09	0	3	25:10
9	Adrian Kempe	1	1	2	+2	8	1.22	1	0	23:39
10	Artemi Panarin	1	1	2	+3	9	0.34	0	0	23:36
14	Alex Laferriere	1	0	1	-1	7	0.33	2	2	21:09
12	Trevor Moore	0	0	0	-2	11	1.43	1	1	19:56
90	Corey Perry	0	0	0	-1	4	0.37	0	0	15:51
15	Alex Turcotte	0	0	0	+1	1	0.00	3	0	10:27
39	Jeff Malott	0	1	1	0	1	0.04	3	1	08:26
17	Taylor Ward	0	1	1	+1	4	0.14	3	0	08:08
79	Samuel Helenius	1	0	1	0	4	0.14	6	1	07:51
25	Jared Wright	0	0	0	0	4	0.07	0	1	07:29
34	Kenny Connors	0	0	0	-1	3	0.12	2	0	07:05
Defense
8	Drew Doughty	0	1	1	+1	3	0.08	0	2	25:48
44	Mikey Anderson	1	1	2	+2	3	0.06	1	3	24:01
92	Brandt Clarke	0	2	2	+2	4	0.09	1	1	17:17
5	Cody Ceci	0	0	0	-2	1	0.00	0	4	17:14
6	Joel Edmundson	0	0	0	0	2	0.00	1	2	16:51
2	Brian Dumoulin	0	0	0	-1	2	0.06	0	0	14:02

Goalie	SA	GA	SV	SV%	xGA	GSAx
Darcy Kuemper	35	3	32	.914	3.66	+0.66

Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

New York Islanders

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
14 Bo Horvat C	+1.53	+0.75	+0.31	+0.21	+0.15	+0.01	+0.10	—	24:00
3 Adam Pelech D	+1.35	+0.75	+0.17	+0.29	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	19:10
13 Mathew Barzal C	+1.26	+0.55	+0.46	+0.15	0.00	0.00	+0.11	—	23:16
44 Jean-Gabriel Pageau C	+1.17	+1.40	+0.02	-0.32	0.00	+0.07	0.00	—	15:57
51 Emil Heineman L	+1.10	+0.75	+0.22	+0.16	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	15:35
48 Matthew Schaefer D	+0.80	+0.70	+0.13	-0.06	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	27:47
53 Casey Cizikas C	+0.52	0.00	+0.20	+0.27	0.00	-0.01	+0.05	—	11:37
77 Tony DeAngelo D	+0.38	0.00	+0.10	+0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.07	—	24:01
6 Ryan Pulock D	+0.36	0.00	+0.03	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.15	—	19:29
32 Kyle MacLean C	+0.26	0.00	+0.06	+0.20	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	6:30
81 Ondrej Palat L	+0.20	0.00	+0.07	+0.25	-0.15	0.00	+0.03	—	15:15
16 Marc Gatcomb C	+0.18	0.00	0.00	+0.18	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	9:32
27 Anders Lee L	+0.01	0.00	+0.35	-0.34	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	18:58
10 Simon Holmstrom R	-0.15	0.00	+0.17	-0.29	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	21:31
64 Calum Ritchie C	-0.20	0.00	0.00	-0.17	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	—	16:49
29 Jonathan Drouin L	-0.22	0.00	+0.07	-0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.01	—	14:56
4 Carson Soucy D	-0.27	0.00	+0.01	-0.17	-0.15	0.00	+0.05	—	9:31
24 Scott Mayfield D	-0.46	0.00	+0.01	-0.46	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	9:34
30 Ilya Sorokin G	-2.29	0.00	—	—	-0.15	—	—	-2.14	51:25

Los Angeles Kings

Player	Rating	Points	Shots	On ice	Pen	FO	Other	GSAx	TOI
9 Adrian Kempe R	+2.70	+1.30	+0.79	+0.59	0.00	0.00	+0.02	—	23:39
44 Mikey Anderson D	+2.17	+1.30	+0.04	+0.70	0.00	0.00	+0.13	—	24:01
72 Artemi Panarin L	+2.09	+1.30	+0.22	+0.59	0.00	0.00	-0.02	—	23:36
35 Darcy Kuemper G	+1.21	+0.55	—	—	0.00	—	—	+0.66	60:00
8 Drew Doughty D	+1.16	+0.70	+0.05	+0.30	0.00	0.00	+0.10	—	25:48
92 Brandt Clarke D	+1.14	+1.40	+0.06	-0.36	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	17:17
79 Samuel Helenius C	+1.13	+0.75	+0.09	+0.24	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	7:51
39 Jeff Malott L	+1.05	+0.70	+0.02	+0.26	0.00	+0.01	+0.05	—	8:26
11 Anze Kopitar C	+1.04	+0.70	+0.06	+0.18	0.00	-0.07	+0.17	—	25:10
14 Alex Laferriere R	+0.70	+0.75	+0.21	-0.64	+0.30	0.00	+0.08	—	21:09
52 Taylor Ward R	+0.59	+0.55	+0.09	-0.05	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	8:08
12 Trevor Moore L	+0.34	0.00	+0.93	-0.64	0.00	0.00	+0.05	—	19:56
10 Corey Perry R	+0.24	0.00	+0.24	+0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	—	15:51
5 Cody Ceci D	-0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.20	—	17:14
34 Kenny Connors C	-0.12	0.00	+0.08	-0.21	0.00	+0.01	0.00	—	7:05
2 Brian Dumoulin D	-0.13	0.00	+0.04	-0.17	0.00	0.00	0.00	—	14:02
53 Jared Wright R	-0.13	0.00	+0.05	-0.21	0.00	0.00	+0.03	—	7:29
6 Joel Edmundson D	-0.15	0.00	0.00	-0.23	0.00	0.00	+0.08	—	16:51
15 Alex Turcotte C	-0.27	0.00	0.00	-0.11	-0.15	-0.01	0.00	—	10:27

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.