Tuesday, March 10, 2026
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 10, 2026 6:10 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
LAK 34%Deserve to win 66% BOS
LAK BOS
2.22 Expected goals 3.94
1 Goals (no shootout) 2
1.73 Expected goals, 5 on 5 2.17
62 Shot attempts 61
47 Unblocked attempts 44
16 Shots on goal 23
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
3rd Period
11:05
BOS
Goalie
Goalie · Swayman +2.0 goals saved
0 goals on 2.04 xG, 14 shots on goal
18:08
BOS
Deserve to win
Deserve to win · BOS takes the lead, 61–39%
LAK had led since 2:28 of the 2nd, by as much as 61%
Shot map
LAK shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → BOS shoots
Drew Doughty: slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 0:39)
Casey Mittelstadt: snap, 18 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 0:59)
Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 1:01)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 1:09)
Michael Eyssimont: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.82 (P1 2:13)
Marat Khusnutdinov: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 3:38)
Trevor Moore: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 4:12)
Jonathan Aspirot: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 6:42)
Trevor Moore: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 7:47)
Michael Eyssimont: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 8:59)
Fraser Minten: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 9:07)
Mason Lohrei: snap, 53 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 9:13)
Alex Laferriere: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 10:43)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P1 11:14)
Sean Kuraly: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:24)
Mark Kastelic: wrist, 14 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 13:26)
Scott Laughton: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 13:44)
Samuel Helenius: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:55)
Andrew Peeke: tip-in, 14 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 14:42)
Trevor Moore: backhand, 15 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:12)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:20)
Trevor Moore: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 16:24)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 66 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 17:28)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 18:04)
Taylor Ward: slap, 65 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 18:08)
Fraser Minten: snap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 18:17)
Anze Kopitar: wrist, 41 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:04)
Adrian Kempe: slap, 49 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:51)
Morgan Geekie: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 2:14)
Jeff Malott: snap, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:28)
Mikey Anderson: slap, 60 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:34)
Marat Khusnutdinov: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 4:17)
Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 5:07)
Viktor Arvidsson: snap, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 5:25)
Morgan Geekie: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 6:41)
Elias Lindholm: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 6:47)
Morgan Geekie: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 6:52)
Charlie McAvoy: snap, 51 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 6:55)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 7:24)
Hampus Lindholm: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 8:12)
Scott Laughton: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:18)
Alex Laferriere: slap, 21 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 9:39)
Adrian Kempe: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 11:22)
Morgan Geekie: snap, 25 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 12:53)
Jeff Malott: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 13:21)
Viktor Arvidsson: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 14:03)
Jonathan Aspirot: snap, 57 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 14:11)
David Pastrnak: tip-in, 5 ft, xG 0.17 (P2 14:29)
Pavel Zacha: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 16:09)
Fraser Minten: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 16:49)
Sean Kuraly: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 17:33)
Andrew Peeke: snap, 45 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:53)
Quinton Byfield: snap, 33 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 18:22)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 19:04)
Mikey Anderson: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 19:35)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:18)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 0:30)
Adrian Kempe: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 1:04)
Jonathan Aspirot: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 1:55)
Nikita Zadorov: wrist, 156 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 3:17)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 62 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 4:24)
Drew Doughty: slap, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 5:07)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:30)
Brian Dumoulin: slap, 59 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:38)
Tanner Jeannot: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:46)
Alex Laferriere: deflected, 18 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 7:55)
Morgan Geekie: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 8:36)
Samuel Helenius: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 9:07)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:04)
Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 25 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:12)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 10:57)
Anze Kopitar: backhand, 9 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 11:05)
Trevor Moore: tip-in, 32 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:13)
Alex Laferriere: poke, 5 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 11:19)
Mikey Anderson: snap, 72 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 11:57)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:27)
Marat Khusnutdinov: snap, 26 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 13:46)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 14:07)
Mark Kastelic: snap, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:42)
David Pastrnak: slap, 36 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 15:17)
Charlie McAvoy: snap, 21 ft, xG 0.16 (P3 16:03)
Elias Lindholm: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 16:19)
Elias Lindholm: bat, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 16:21)
Fraser Minten: snap, 27 ft, xG 0.12 (P3 17:41)
Mark Kastelic: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 18:04)
Tanner Jeannot: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.20 (P3 18:08)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 19:19)
Drew Doughty: slap, 91 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 19:53)
Mason Lohrei: GOAL, snap, 40 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:22)
Drew Doughty: GOAL, slap, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 14:00)
Charlie McAvoy: GOAL, backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.33 (OT 0:39)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Los Angeles Kings
Boston Bruins
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
35 Darcy Kuemper G
+1.12
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
+1.12
60:18
12 Trevor Moore L
+1.06
+0.70
+0.31
+0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
19:50
8 Drew Doughty D
+0.93
+0.75
+0.02
+0.16
0.00
0.00
+0.01
—
24:44
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.42
0.00
+0.18
+0.12
+0.15
-0.05
+0.02
—
20:39
79 Samuel Helenius C
+0.35
0.00
+0.12
+0.25
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
8:47
39 Jeff Malott L
+0.34
0.00
+0.12
+0.22
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
7:39
44 Mikey Anderson D
+0.33
0.00
+0.04
+0.18
0.00
0.00
+0.10
—
25:03
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.24
+0.55
+0.22
-0.38
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
17:04
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.18
0.00
+0.02
+0.09
0.00
0.00
+0.07
—
18:46
52 Taylor Ward R
+0.09
0.00
+0.01
+0.07
0.00
+0.01
0.00
—
8:05
92 Brandt Clarke D
+0.09
0.00
+0.11
-0.10
-0.15
0.00
+0.23
—
17:25
10 Artemi Panarin L
+0.05
0.00
+0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
17:57
11 Anze Kopitar C
-0.04
0.00
+0.13
-0.23
0.00
+0.03
+0.03
—
18:24
15 Alex Turcotte C
-0.19
0.00
0.00
-0.19
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
9:42
53 Jared Wright R
-0.20
0.00
0.00
-0.24
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
10:13
21 Scott Laughton C
-0.35
0.00
+0.04
-0.57
+0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
16:03
2 Brian Dumoulin D
-0.39
0.00
+0.03
-0.62
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
15:45
55 Quinton Byfield R
-0.62
0.00
+0.05
-0.47
-0.15
-0.03
-0.02
—
20:24
5 Cody Ceci D
-0.90
0.00
0.00
-0.76
-0.15
0.00
+0.01
—
17:48
Boston Bruins
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.