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Philadelphia FlyersPHI 4–1 Final San Jose SharksSJS

Saturday, March 21, 2026

Final 1st2nd3rd T SOG
Philadelphia FlyersPHI 013 4 28
San Jose SharksSJS 010 1 25
Playoff odds, % Change
SJS -7.7
PHI +5.5
LAK +2.0
VGK +1.6
SEA +1.4
NYI -1.0
EDM +1.0
OTT -0.9
PIT -0.9
BOS -0.8
NSH +0.7
CBJ -0.6
MTL -0.5
DET -0.5
UTA +0.5

How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 21, 2026 3:16 PM EDT.

Highlights

Scoring

1st Period
No scoring
2nd Period
2:26 PHI Owen Tippett (24) Trevor Zegras (33), Noah Juulsen (9) · wrist xG 0.14 1–0 ▶
13:12 SJS Dmitry Orlov (3)PP William Eklund (30), Macklin Celebrini (61) · wrist xG 0.15 1–1 ▶
3rd Period
1:47 PHI Christian Dvorak (14)PP Travis Konecny (35), Matvei Michkov (21) · wrist xG 0.08 2–1 ▶
18:48 PHI Travis Sanheim (8)EN Unassisted · wrist xG 0.60 3–1 ▶
19:24 PHI Noah Cates (15)EN Christian Dvorak (27) · wrist xG 0.72 4–1 ▶

Score away–home after each goal; season totals in parentheses.

Shot quality

Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken, the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works

PHI 70%Deserve to win30% SJS
PHISJS
5.48Expected goals2.42
4Goals (no shootout)1
1.41Expected goals, 5 on 51.60
55Shot attempts57
43Unblocked attempts39
28Shots on goal25

Game notes

What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the shots' expected goals (xG).

3rd Period
1:24 SJS Goalie Goalie · Nedeljkovic +2.1 goals saved
1 goal on 3.09 xG, 20 shots on goal
13:50 PHI No shift No shift · Andrae, 14:43 on the bench
No shift from 18:35 of the 2nd to 19:24 of the 3rd; 9 shifts (4:48) before that
17:40 SJS No shift No shift · Kurashev, 11:07 on the bench
No shift after 2:52 of the 3rd; 11 shifts (9:28) before that
18:02 SJS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 2–1
With 1:58 left; PHI scored at 18:48 of the 3rd (3–1)
18:53 SJS Pulled goalie Pulled goalie · Pulled Nedeljkovic, down 3–1
With 1:07 left; PHI scored at 19:24 of the 3rd (4–1)

Shot map

PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal→ SJS shoots
Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 0:21) Nick Seeler: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 1:10) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 48 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 3:36) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 4:56) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.13 (P1 5:15) Travis Konecny: tip-in, 21 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 5:50) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 6:16) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 9 ft, xG 0.11 (P1 6:42) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.26 (P1 6:54) Jamie Drysdale: slap, 50 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 7:03) Collin Graf: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 7:23) Barclay Goodrow: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 8:13) Zack Ostapchuk: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 8:20) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 9:41) Owen Tippett: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 11:41) Adam Gaudette: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 12:21) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 12:30) Mario Ferraro: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P1 13:51) Alex Bump: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 14:31) Rasmus Ristolainen: slap, 52 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 15:06) Owen Tippett: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.16 (P1 15:27) Owen Tippett: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 15:27) Kiefer Sherwood: tip-in, 31 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:07) William Eklund: tip-in, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 19:28) Mario Ferraro: backhand, 34 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 19:32) Mario Ferraro: wrist, 21 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 19:59) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.10 (P2 1:16) Adam Gaudette: tip-in, 72 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 2:13) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 51 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 4:09) Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:27) Christian Dvorak: backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 6:29) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 4 ft, xG 0.33 (P2 6:29) Matvei Michkov: backhand, 4 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 6:30) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 7 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 6:46) Travis Konecny: snap, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 8:09) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 15 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 8:16) Noah Cates: snap, 29 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 8:54) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.11 (P2 9:26) Sam Dickinson: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 9:32) Macklin Celebrini: backhand, 16 ft, xG 0.13 (P2 10:06) Owen Tippett: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 10:14) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 12:25) Alexander Wennberg: wrist, 7 ft, xG 0.19 (P2 12:56) Will Smith: slap, 40 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 14:27) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 14:48) Noah Cates: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 16:53) Alex Bump: wrist, 10 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 17:32) Alex Bump: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 17:51) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.12 (P2 18:00) Will Smith: slap, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 18:37) Matvei Michkov: wrist, 56 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 0:36) Garnet Hathaway: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 1:08) Trevor Zegras: wrist, 8 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 1:24) Michael Misa: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 4:02) Macklin Celebrini: snap, 39 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 4:37) Macklin Celebrini: slap, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (P3 5:34) Dmitry Orlov: slap, 53 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 5:49) Will Smith: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:09) Will Smith: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:33) Macklin Celebrini: slap, 41 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 6:46) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 6:59) Nick Seeler: wrist, 33 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 7:35) Rasmus Ristolainen: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 7:36) Christian Dvorak: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.11 (P3 9:21) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.15 (P3 10:49) Michael Misa: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:09) Alexander Wennberg: slap, 31 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 12:09) Will Smith: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 12:13) Noah Cates: wrist, 121 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 12:41) Kiefer Sherwood: wrist, 20 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 13:24) Sam Dickinson: slap, 64 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 13:27) Owen Tippett: wrist, 31 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 15:33) Dmitry Orlov: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:44) Travis Konecny: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 16:04) Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 4 ft, xG 0.22 (P3 17:37) Macklin Celebrini: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 18:31) Owen Tippett: wrist, 88 ft, xG 0.50 (P3 19:14) Owen Tippett: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 2:26) Dmitry Orlov: GOAL, wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 13:12) Christian Dvorak: GOAL, wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.08 (P3 1:47) Travis Sanheim: GOAL, wrist, 143 ft, xG 0.60 (P3 18:48) Noah Cates: GOAL, wrist, 65 ft, xG 0.72 (P3 19:24)
About these numbers

xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map leaves them out.

Player ratings

What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
22 Christian Dvorak C +1.83 +1.45 +0.69 -0.33 0.00 -0.01 +0.03 — 25:32
74 Owen Tippett R +1.61 +0.75 +0.68 -0.01 +0.15 -0.01 +0.04 — 20:11
80 Dan Vladar G +1.42 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.42 58:25
27 Noah Cates L +1.40 +0.75 +0.60 -0.08 0.00 -0.01 +0.14 — 18:11
46 Trevor Zegras C +1.08 +0.70 +0.26 +0.45 -0.30 -0.03 0.00 — 19:53
11 Travis Konecny R +0.99 +0.70 +0.10 +0.02 +0.15 +0.02 0.00 — 23:31
47 Noah Juulsen D +0.97 +0.55 0.00 +0.32 0.00 0.00 +0.10 — 8:53
39 Matvei Michkov R +0.76 +0.55 +0.31 -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 17:20
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D +0.69 0.00 +0.03 +0.46 +0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 24:39
6 Travis Sanheim D +0.68 +0.75 +0.39 -0.54 0.00 0.00 +0.08 — 28:57
9 Jamie Drysdale D +0.44 0.00 +0.05 +0.23 0.00 0.00 +0.15 — 17:12
20 Alex Bump L +0.37 0.00 +0.19 +0.03 +0.15 0.00 0.00 — 13:29
91 Carl Grundstrom R +0.33 0.00 +0.18 +0.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:51
29 Nikita Grebenkin R +0.24 0.00 0.00 +0.26 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 8:55
19 Garnet Hathaway R +0.17 0.00 +0.02 -0.03 +0.15 -0.01 +0.05 — 11:39
24 Nick Seeler D -0.11 0.00 +0.06 -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.01 — 14:25
8 Cam York D -0.17 0.00 0.00 -0.33 0.00 0.00 +0.16 — 19:34
36 Emil Andrae D -0.30 0.00 0.00 -0.14 -0.15 +0.01 -0.02 — 5:24
10 Garrett Wilson L -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 8:06

San Jose Sharks

Player Rating Points Shots On ice Pen FO Other GSAx TOI
33 Alex Nedeljkovic G +1.66 0.00 — — 0.00 — — +1.66 58:43
9 Dmitry Orlov D +1.46 +0.75 +0.25 +0.42 0.00 0.00 +0.04 — 24:52
21 Alexander Wennberg C +0.87 0.00 +0.25 +0.43 +0.15 +0.06 -0.02 — 24:24
72 William Eklund L +0.78 +0.70 +0.04 +0.12 -0.15 0.00 +0.07 — 22:05
71 Macklin Celebrini C +0.75 +0.55 +0.46 -0.15 0.00 -0.04 -0.06 — 24:31
77 Michael Misa C +0.36 0.00 +0.18 +0.13 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:53
2 Will Smith C +0.32 0.00 +0.19 +0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 22:49
44 Kiefer Sherwood L +0.29 0.00 +0.06 +0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.03 — 19:22
38 Mario Ferraro D +0.26 0.00 +0.06 +0.29 -0.15 0.00 +0.05 — 20:28
63 Zack Ostapchuk C +0.18 0.00 +0.05 +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 9:48
4 Nick Leddy D +0.16 0.00 0.00 +0.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 13:57
23 Barclay Goodrow C +0.09 0.00 0.00 +0.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 9:38
75 Ryan Reaves R 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 — 0:19
3 John Klingberg D -0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.02 — 16:44
85 Shakir Mukhamadullin D -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.21 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 16:51
51 Collin Graf R -0.30 0.00 +0.01 -0.15 -0.15 0.00 0.00 — 11:39
6 Sam Dickinson D -0.31 0.00 +0.01 -0.37 0.00 0.00 +0.05 — 17:07
81 Adam Gaudette R -0.39 0.00 +0.03 -0.42 0.00 +0.03 -0.02 — 10:49
96 Philipp Kurashev C -0.59 0.00 0.00 -0.46 -0.15 -0.01 +0.03 — 9:28

An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays, all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.