Thursday, March 19, 2026
How the result moved each team's playoff odds, calculated Mar 19, 2026 10:19 PM EDT.
Highlights
Shot quality
Expected goals (xG) rate every unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in, from where it was taken,
the shot type, the strength and what happened just before it. How it works
PHI 51%Deserve to win 49% LAK
PHI LAK
2.39 Expected goals 2.33
3 Goals (no shootout) 3
1.92 Expected goals, 5 on 5 1.64
49 Shot attempts 70
32 Unblocked attempts 44
20 Shots on goal 25
Game notes
What stood out as the game went on, from the play-by-play and the shifts. Time on the bench is
counted in 5-on-5 play outside the penalty box; the note says the player sat, not why. Goals saved are against the
shots' expected goals (xG).
2nd Period
6:59
LAK
Goalie
Goalie · Kuemper −2.4 goals saved
3 goals on 0.64 xG, 8 shots on goal
3rd Period
11:40
PHI
No shift
No shift · Andrae, 18:21 on the bench
No shift after 11:04 of the 2nd; 10 shifts (6:21) before that
Shot map
PHI shoots ←Bigger circle: higher xG; filled: goal → LAK shoots
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.07 (P1 2:37)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 34 ft, xG 0.06 (P1 3:07)
Quinton Byfield: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.02 (P1 8:35)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 39 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 10:00)
Alex Turcotte: tip-in, 13 ft, xG 0.09 (P1 12:10)
Owen Tippett: wrist, 22 ft, xG 0.04 (P1 13:17)
Alex Bump: tip-in, 17 ft, xG 0.08 (P1 13:28)
Alex Bump: wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.10 (P1 13:31)
Taylor Ward: wrist, 24 ft, xG 0.17 (P1 13:40)
Joel Edmundson: slap, 55 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 14:30)
Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 14:40)
Trevor Moore: tip-in, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P1 15:45)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.01 (P1 16:10)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 16:21)
Mikey Anderson: snap, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P1 17:45)
Anze Kopitar: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.08 (P2 0:38)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 0:44)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 1:19)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 44 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 2:09)
Trevor Moore: slap, 39 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 2:26)
Taylor Ward: slap, 61 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:48)
Owen Tippett: snap, 50 ft, xG 0.02 (P2 3:58)
Matvei Michkov: wrist, 35 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 4:11)
Jared Wright: wrist, 26 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 4:30)
Noah Cates: wrist, 18 ft, xG 0.15 (P2 6:47)
Alex Bump: wrist, 36 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 7:29)
Garrett Wilson: wrist, 38 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:48)
Garnet Hathaway: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.16 (P2 9:50)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 9 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 9:50)
Garrett Wilson: backhand, 8 ft, xG 0.20 (P2 9:52)
Emil Andrae: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 11:01)
Alex Turcotte: wrist, 29 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 11:49)
Scott Laughton: tip-in, 24 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 11:52)
Brandt Clarke: snap, 44 ft, xG 0.06 (P2 13:53)
Scott Laughton: tip-in, 8 ft, xG 0.14 (P2 14:41)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 139 ft, xG 0.00 (P2 16:16)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 17:17)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.04 (P2 17:18)
Carl Grundstrom: tip-in, 19 ft, xG 0.09 (P2 18:22)
Jamie Drysdale: wrist, 58 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 18:33)
Brian Dumoulin: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:15)
Garnet Hathaway: slap, 44 ft, xG 0.01 (P2 19:58)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 0:39)
Owen Tippett: slap, 179 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 0:46)
Carl Grundstrom: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 2:05)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 17 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 2:16)
Trevor Zegras: slap, 38 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 3:56)
Owen Tippett: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.10 (P3 4:01)
Scott Laughton: wrist, 16 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 4:40)
Christian Dvorak: backhand, 6 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 6:00)
Christian Dvorak: backhand, 12 ft, xG 0.02 (P3 6:02)
Alex Turcotte: tip-in, 18 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 6:42)
Nikita Grebenkin: wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.13 (P3 8:09)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 49 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 8:24)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 37 ft, xG 0.06 (P3 8:53)
Alex Laferriere: wrist, 13 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 11:20)
Alex Laferriere: tip-in, 11 ft, xG 0.04 (P3 11:24)
Travis Konecny: wrist, 23 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 11:33)
Noah Juulsen: wrist, 30 ft, xG 0.09 (P3 13:17)
Brandt Clarke: wrist, 43 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 15:01)
Artemi Panarin: slap, 35 ft, xG 0.03 (P3 15:07)
Noah Cates: wrist, 11 ft, xG 0.14 (P3 17:26)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 93 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 17:47)
Drew Doughty: wrist, 67 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:19)
Trevor Moore: wrist, 74 ft, xG 0.00 (P3 18:41)
Joel Edmundson: wrist, 68 ft, xG 0.01 (P3 18:48)
Artemi Panarin: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.10 (OT 0:47)
Noah Cates: wrist, 32 ft, xG 0.07 (OT 1:11)
Trevor Zegras: wrist, 27 ft, xG 0.19 (OT 4:03)
Adrian Kempe: wrist, 42 ft, xG 0.05 (OT 4:14)
Quinton Byfield: GOAL, wrist, 28 ft, xG 0.12 (P1 19:31)
Travis Konecny: GOAL, wrist, 37 ft, xG 0.07 (P2 0:26)
Anze Kopitar: GOAL, wrist, 6 ft, xG 0.28 (P2 0:47)
Noah Cates: GOAL, backhand, 5 ft, xG 0.05 (P2 4:12)
Travis Sanheim: GOAL, wrist, 57 ft, xG 0.03 (P2 6:59)
Artemi Panarin: GOAL, snap, 46 ft, xG 0.05 (P3 10:28)
About these numbers
xG comes from hockeystats.io's own model, a gradient-boosted tree model trained on every unblocked shot
from the 2021-22 to 2025-26 regular seasons using the NHL's public play-by-play. Each shot's value is the
share of similar shots that became goals. A team's xG is the sum over its shots; "deserve to win" asks how
often the team would outscore its opponent if every shot went in at exactly that rate. Blocked shots count
as attempts but have no xG (the NHL records where they were blocked, not where they were taken), so the map
leaves them out.
All columns
Box score
Philadelphia Flyers
Los Angeles Kings
Skaters by time on ice. Goalie lines count shots with the goalie in net, from the NHL play-by-play.
Player ratings
What each player added to the result, in goals, from most to least. Hover a number for what it's made of.
Philadelphia Flyers
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
55 Rasmus Ristolainen D
+2.53
+1.25
0.00
+1.25
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
21:57
6 Travis Sanheim D
+2.33
+0.75
+0.02
+1.53
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
26:54
27 Noah Cates L
+2.26
+1.45
+0.27
+0.62
-0.15
-0.01
+0.08
—
20:27
39 Matvei Michkov R
+1.57
+1.25
+0.05
+0.43
-0.15
-0.01
0.00
—
17:04
20 Alex Bump L
+1.17
+0.55
+0.16
+0.41
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
11:34
11 Travis Konecny R
+0.93
+0.75
+0.11
+0.18
-0.15
0.00
+0.04
—
20:15
91 Carl Grundstrom R
+0.75
0.00
+0.13
+0.57
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
15:00
36 Emil Andrae D
+0.57
0.00
+0.06
+0.48
0.00
0.00
+0.03
—
6:21
19 Garnet Hathaway R
+0.40
0.00
+0.11
+0.14
0.00
0.00
+0.15
—
11:22
10 Garrett Wilson L
+0.40
0.00
+0.17
+0.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
10:03
46 Trevor Zegras C
-0.10
0.00
+0.18
-0.26
0.00
-0.09
+0.07
—
18:22
47 Noah Juulsen D
-0.12
0.00
+0.06
-0.22
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
12:19
24 Nick Seeler D
-0.16
0.00
0.00
-0.37
+0.15
0.00
+0.06
—
15:03
22 Christian Dvorak C
-0.24
0.00
+0.04
-0.28
0.00
-0.08
+0.08
—
22:43
29 Nikita Grebenkin R
-0.26
0.00
+0.09
-0.33
0.00
0.00
-0.02
—
10:44
9 Jamie Drysdale D
-0.51
0.00
+0.02
-0.64
0.00
0.00
+0.11
—
23:03
74 Owen Tippett R
-0.56
0.00
+0.10
-0.78
0.00
+0.01
+0.11
—
21:17
8 Cam York D
-0.66
0.00
0.00
-0.66
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
22:53
33 Samuel Ersson G
-0.67
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.67
65:00
Los Angeles Kings
Player
Rating
Points
Shots
On ice
Pen
FO
Other
GSAx
TOI
92 Brandt Clarke D
+1.80
+0.70
+0.08
+0.72
+0.15
0.00
+0.15
—
23:45
10 Artemi Panarin L
+1.14
+1.30
+0.24
-0.25
-0.15
0.00
0.00
—
26:25
11 Anze Kopitar C
+1.14
+0.75
+0.24
-0.08
+0.15
+0.10
-0.02
—
22:58
12 Trevor Moore L
+0.86
+0.70
+0.07
+0.01
+0.15
-0.01
-0.06
—
17:08
55 Quinton Byfield R
+0.85
+0.75
+0.09
-0.05
0.00
+0.03
+0.02
—
20:29
6 Joel Edmundson D
+0.83
0.00
+0.02
+0.72
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
18:35
21 Scott Laughton C
+0.76
+0.70
+0.16
-0.13
0.00
+0.05
-0.02
—
16:36
14 Alex Laferriere R
+0.52
+0.55
+0.18
-0.18
0.00
+0.01
-0.04
—
20:59
9 Adrian Kempe R
+0.21
0.00
+0.05
+0.03
+0.15
0.00
-0.02
—
22:02
15 Alex Turcotte C
+0.14
0.00
+0.19
-0.05
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
11:08
2 Brian Dumoulin D
+0.08
0.00
+0.01
+0.07
0.00
0.00
0.00
—
15:16
5 Cody Ceci D
+0.02
0.00
0.00
-0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.13
—
16:41
53 Jared Wright R
-0.04
0.00
+0.02
-0.11
0.00
0.00
+0.05
—
11:31
52 Taylor Ward R
-0.06
0.00
+0.13
-0.23
0.00
+0.01
+0.02
—
8:12
39 Jeff Malott L
-0.13
0.00
0.00
-0.21
0.00
0.00
+0.08
—
8:28
79 Samuel Helenius C
-0.17
0.00
0.00
-0.21
0.00
-0.01
+0.05
—
8:19
35 Darcy Kuemper G
-0.61
0.00
—
—
0.00
—
—
-0.61
64:15
44 Mikey Anderson D
-0.89
0.00
0.00
-1.09
0.00
0.00
+0.20
—
20:24
8 Drew Doughty D
-1.27
0.00
+0.02
-1.17
-0.15
0.00
+0.03
—
22:49
An expected-goals take on Dom Luszczyszyn's Game Score: goals and assists, the quality of a
player's own shots, shot quality for and against while they were on the ice at 5v5, penalties, faceoffs and puck plays,
all in goals; goalies by goals saved above expected. From the NHL play-by-play and shift charts.