Los Angeles Kings

Pacific Division · Western Conference · 0–4–2, 2 pts in 6 games · GF 12, GA 25 (-13) · Last 10

Playoff odds

Odds: by team strength · every game 50/50. Every remaining game is a coin flip: no team strength and no home ice, only the standings and the schedule. Games still go to overtime as often as they do across the league.

From 100,000 simulated seasons, updated Mon, Oct 19 at 8:30 AM. Finish columns are the share of seasons ending in each place; Win % needed is over the remaining games, for a 50%, 75% or 95% playoff chance.

Proj	Finish, % of seasons					Odds, %			Win % needed
PtsProj	1st	2nd	3rd	WC	Out	Playoffs	Final	Cup	50%Need	75%	95%
89	4.0	6.6	8.8	9.5	71.1	28.9	3.7	1.8	54	55	56

Playoff race, Western Conference

			Record						Goals			Last 10		Proj	Finish, % of seasons					Odds, %			Win % needed
Seed#	Div	Team	GP	W	L	OT	Pts	RW	GF	GA	+/−	Results	W–L–OT	PtsProj	1st	2nd	3rd	WC	Out	Playoffs	Final	Cup	50%	95%	Next
Central
1	C	Minnesota WildMIN	9	6	2	1	13	6	28	21	+7		6–2–1	97	19.6	16.3	14.7	14.6	34.8	65.2	8.2	4.2	48	51	@ EDM Oct 20
2	C	Utah MammothUTA	9	6	3	0	12	6	33	27	+6		6–3–0	96	16.6	15.1	13.9	14.6	39.8	60.2	7.6	3.8	48	51	vs PIT Oct 19
3	C	Colorado AvalancheCOL	8	5	2	1	11	5	36	24	+12		5–2–1	96	16.6	15.1	14.1	15.0	39.3	60.7	7.7	3.9	49	51	@ PHI Oct 19
Pacific
1	P	Vegas Golden KnightsVGK	10	8	2	0	16	6	42	24	+18		8–2–0	99	27.6	20.3	15.8	10.7	25.7	74.3	9.3	4.8	46	49	vs TBL Oct 20
2	P	Edmonton OilersEDM	8	6	1	1	13	6	37	24	+13		6–1–1	98	24.7	19.7	15.7	11.0	28.9	71.1	8.8	4.4	47	50	vs MIN Oct 20
3	P	Seattle KrakenSEA	9	5	3	1	11	4	35	31	+4		5–3–1	95	13.8	15.0	15.1	12.3	43.8	56.2	6.8	3.4	49	52	vs DET Oct 20
Wild Card
1	C	Winnipeg JetsWPG	8	4	2	2	10	4	23	24	-1		4–2–2	95	13.6	13.8	13.3	14.9	44.4	55.6	6.8	3.3	50	52	@ STL Oct 20
2	C	Dallas StarsDAL	8	4	3	1	9	3	20	13	+7		4–3–1	94	11.0	11.9	12.6	14.9	49.6	50.4	6.3	3.1	51	54	vs BOS Oct 20

	C	Nashville PredatorsNSH	8	3	2	3	9	3	23	24	-1		3–2–3	94	11.1	12.2	12.6	14.7	49.4	50.6	6.4	3.2	51	54	@ BOS Oct 22
	P	San Jose SharksSJS	8	4	3	1	9	0	22	29	-7		4–3–1	94	11.2	13.1	14.2	12.3	49.3	50.7	6.2	3.1	51	53	@ TOR Oct 19
	P	Anaheim DucksANA	7	4	3	0	8	3	22	21	+1		4–3–0	94	12.1	14.0	14.5	12.2	47.2	52.8	6.6	3.3	50	53	@ NYR Oct 19
	C	St. Louis BluesSTL	8	3	4	1	7	3	27	28	-1		3–4–1	92	7.2	9.3	10.7	13.8	59.0	41.0	5.1	2.6	52	55	vs WPG Oct 20
	C	Chicago BlackhawksCHI	9	3	6	0	6	2	21	36	-15		3–6–0	90	4.4	6.3	8.2	11.7	69.5	30.5	3.8	1.9	54	57	vs MTL Oct 23
	P	Vancouver CanucksVAN	10	2	7	1	5	1	30	45	-15		2–7–1	88	2.6	4.9	7.1	8.2	77.1	22.9	2.9	1.5	55	58	vs CAR Oct 20
	P	Calgary FlamesCGY	8	2	6	0	4	2	17	37	-20		2–6–0	89	3.9	6.5	8.8	9.6	71.2	28.8	3.6	1.8	54	57	vs MIN Oct 22
	P	Los Angeles KingsLAK	6	0	4	2	2	0	12	25	-13		0–4–2	89	4.0	6.6	8.8	9.5	71.1	28.9	3.7	1.8	54	56	@ WSH Oct 20

Rows follow the playoff format: each division's top three, then the wild-card race, with the red line at the cutoff. The same columns as the standings; hover a heading for its definition.

Final points

Projected 84–95 points (middle half of seasons; median 90, 10th–90th percentile 79–100). The cutline, the fewest points among the conference's playoff teams, is usually 93–96 (median 95, 92–97). Reaching that season's cutline (31.9% of seasons) isn't quite making the playoffs (28.9%): tiebreakers and the division format decide the edge cases.

LAK median 90

60 70 80 90 100 110 120

LAK's final pointsCutlineCutline, middle halfLAK's median

Last 6 games

Date	Opponent	Score		Opp str
Oct 17	vs BOS	1–4	L	59.9
Oct 13	vs EDM	1–4	L	55.7
Oct 10	@ VGK	1–2 OT	OTL	56.2
Oct 6	vs FLA	1–2	L	50.5
Oct 3	@ SJS	4–5 OT	OTL	45.1
Sep 30	@ COL	4–8	L	63.4

Next 10 games

Date	Opponent	Win %	Exp pts	Opp str
Tue Oct 20	@ WSH	31	0.78	55.3
Thu Oct 22	@ NYI	35	0.85	50.8
Sat Oct 24	@ NJD	37	0.89	48.0
Mon Oct 26	@ NYR	35	0.86	50.5
Tue Oct 27	@ CHI	47	1.07	37.5
Thu Oct 29	vs OTT	39	0.93	55.0
Sat Oct 31	vs BUF	40	0.94	53.9
Wed Nov 4	vs SJS	48	1.09	45.1
Sat Nov 7	vs PIT	45	1.03	48.5
Tue Nov 10	vs NSH	47	1.07	46.2
Expected over these 10			9.5

Ratings and shot quality

The simulation's ratings: each team's chance of beating a league-average team. Expected goals (xG) rate each unblocked shot by how often shots like it go in. 6 games this regular season; ranks out of 32.

Ratings
Strength, neutral ice	38.8
At home	43.2
Away	34.6
Pythagorean win %, from goals for and against	18.7
Points %, last 10 games	16.7
Shot quality		Rank
xG share, all situations	50.3	12th
xG share, 5 on 5	49.8	17th
Shot attempt share, 5 on 5 (Corsi)	52.4	11th
xG for / against per game	2.66 / 2.63
Goals for vs xG for (finishing)	12 vs 16.0	-4.0
Goals against vs xG against	25 vs 15.8
Goals saved above expected		-7.6

Skaters

#	Player	Pos	GP	G	A	Pts	+/−	SOG	Hit	Blk	TOI
92	Brandt Clarke	D	6	1	4	5	-6	15	0	12	19:44
10	Artemi Panarin	L	6	3	1	4	-7	19	4	0	22:04
14	Alex Laferriere	R	6	2	2	4	-2	11	18	6	17:53
9	Adrian Kempe	R	6	1	3	4	-5	17	15	1	21:12
56	Erik Haulafrom NSH	L	6	1	2	3	-2	15	4	3	15:46
12	Trevor Moore	L	6	1	1	2	-2	14	1	5	16:26
55	Quinton Byfield	R	6	1	1	2	-6	14	1	2	21:03
2	Brian Dumoulin	D	6	1	0	1	-3	7	6	5	15:21
40	Joel Armia	R	6	1	0	1	-3	8	8	5	13:42
36	Mats Zuccarellofrom MIN	R	3	0	1	1	+1	1	0	0	18:11
44	Mikey Anderson	D	6	0	1	1	-1	4	6	11	16:23
15	Alex Turcotte	C	3	0	1	1	+1	1	4	1	14:06
21	Scott Laughton	C	6	0	1	1	-3	10	16	6	14:40
8	Drew Doughty	D	6	0	1	1	-1	4	6	8	20:20
64	Erik Gustafssonfrom DET	D	4	0	1	1	0	4	0	3	18:03
5	Cody Ceci	D	6	0	1	1	+1	6	2	7	16:33
90	Corey Perryfrom TBL	R	5	0	0	0	-2	6	1	5	11:54
6	Joel Edmundson	D	6	0	0	0	-1	12	4	9	15:05
7	Scott Perunovichfrom UTA	D	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	Jared Wright	R	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	10:24
47	Andre Lee	L	4	0	0	0	0	4	10	1	9:45
79	Samuel Helenius	C	4	0	0	0	0	4	12	0	8:09

Shooters by expected goals

Shooter	Shots	xG	G	G − xG
Adrian Kempe	34	2.6	1	-1.6
Quinton Byfield	26	1.9	1	-0.9
Artemi Panarin	28	1.8	3	+1.2
Alex Laferriere	23	1.7	2	+0.3
Erik Haula	22	1.4	1	-0.4
Trevor Moore	19	0.9	1	+0.1
Joel Armia	12	0.8	1	+0.2
Scott Laughton	14	0.8	0	-0.8

Goalies

Goalie	Shots	xGA	GA	GSAx
Darcy Kuemper	135	9.6	15	-5.4
Anton Forsberg	88	4.8	7	-2.2