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NHL Playoff Probabilities

2025-26 Season — Updated Mon, Apr 06, 2026 at 9:57 PM

Eastern Conference

Team GP W L OTL PTS GF GA DIFF PO Last 10 Playoff Swing Div Conf Cup WPN% Next
Atlantic
Tampa Bay Lightning TBL Atlantic A1 76 48 22 6 102 277 211 +66 —
✓ ✓ 77.1% 42.4% 10.9% ✓ @ BUF  (Apr 6)
Buffalo Sabres BUF Atlantic A2 77 46 23 8 100 266 231 +35 —
✓ ✓ 13.0% 4.3% 5.8% ✓ vs TBL  (Apr 6)
Montréal Canadiens MTL Atlantic A3 77 45 22 10 100 269 242 +27 —
✓ ✓ 10.0% 2.1% 7.2% ✓ vs FLA  (Apr 7)
Metropolitan
Carolina Hurricanes CAR Metropolitan M1 77 49 22 6 104 275 228 +47 —
✓ ✓ 100.0% 51.2% 9.2% ✓ vs BOS  (Apr 7)
Pittsburgh Penguins PIT Metropolitan M2 78 40 22 16 96 280 250 +30 —
100.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 6.4% 51.6% @ NJD  (Apr 9)
Philadelphia Flyers PHI Metropolitan M3 77 39 26 12 90 228 231 -3 —
62.6% 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 2.9% — @ NJD  (Apr 7)
Wild Card
Boston Bruins BOS Atlantic WC1 78 43 26 9 95 259 240 +19 —
98.6% 1.9% 0.0% 0.0% 5.1% 65.9% @ CAR  (Apr 7)
Ottawa Senators OTT Atlantic WC2 77 40 27 10 90 258 238 +20 —
74.0% 7.1% 0.0% 0.0% 3.6% — vs TBL  (Apr 7)
New York Islanders NYI Metropolitan 78 42 31 5 89 226 229 -3 1
22.8% 8.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% — vs TOR  (Apr 9)
Detroit Red Wings DET Atlantic 77 40 29 8 88 225 234 -9 2
12.7% 8.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% — vs CBJ  (Apr 7)
Columbus Blue Jackets CBJ Metropolitan 77 38 27 12 88 241 238 +3 2
24.3% 8.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.5% — @ DET  (Apr 7)
Washington Capitals WSH Metropolitan 78 39 30 9 87 248 240 +8 3
4.9% 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% — @ TOR  (Apr 8)
New Jersey Devils NJD Metropolitan 77 40 34 3 83 218 234 -16 7
0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — vs PHI  (Apr 7)
Toronto Maple Leafs TOR Atlantic E 77 32 31 14 78 242 275 -33 12
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ vs WSH  (Apr 8)
Florida Panthers FLA Atlantic E 77 37 37 3 77 230 262 -32 13
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ @ MTL  (Apr 7)
New York Rangers NYR Metropolitan E 78 33 36 9 75 229 238 -9 15
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ vs BUF  (Apr 8)

Western Conference

Team GP W L OTL PTS GF GA DIFF PO Last 10 Playoff Swing Div Conf Cup WPN% Next
Central
Colorado Avalanche COL Central C1 76 50 16 10 110 287 196 +91 —
✓ ✓ 100.0% 100.0% 12.4% ✓ @ STL  (Apr 7)
Dallas Stars DAL Central C2 77 45 20 12 102 258 211 +47 —
✓ ✓ 0.0% 0.0% 5.9% ✓ vs CGY  (Apr 7)
Minnesota Wild MIN Central C3 77 44 21 12 100 256 223 +33 —
✓ ✓ 0.0% 0.0% 7.1% ✓ vs SEA  (Apr 7)
Pacific
Edmonton Oilers EDM Pacific P1 77 39 29 9 87 265 257 +8 —
98.3% 3.0% 45.9% 0.0% 5.4% 55.0% @ UTA  (Apr 7)
Anaheim Ducks ANA Pacific P2 77 41 31 5 87 257 271 -14 —
96.7% 3.3% 31.2% 0.0% 3.1% 55.0% vs NSH  (Apr 7)
Vegas Golden Knights VGK Pacific P3 77 35 26 16 86 247 240 +7 —
95.8% 3.7% 22.1% 0.0% 3.8% 66.4% @ VAN  (Apr 7)
Wild Card
Utah Mammoth UTA Central WC1 76 40 30 6 86 248 218 +30 —
98.2% 3.0% 0.0% 0.0% 6.8% 53.0% vs EDM  (Apr 7)
Nashville Predators NSH Central WC2 76 36 31 9 81 231 253 -22 —
42.7% 9.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.5% — @ LAK  (Apr 6)
Los Angeles Kings LAK Pacific 76 31 26 19 81 208 234 -26 —
35.5% 10.5% 0.5% 0.0% 1.0% — vs NSH  (Apr 6)
San Jose Sharks SJS Pacific 75 36 32 7 79 231 267 -36 2
21.4% 8.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.3% — vs CHI  (Apr 6)
St. Louis Blues STL Central 76 33 31 12 78 205 238 -33 3
5.4% 3.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% — vs COL  (Apr 7)
Winnipeg Jets WPG Central 76 33 31 12 78 215 232 -17 3
5.2% 4.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% — vs SEA  (Apr 6)
Seattle Kraken SEA Pacific 75 32 32 11 75 210 237 -27 6
0.9% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — @ WPG  (Apr 6)
Calgary Flames CGY Pacific 76 32 36 8 72 199 243 -44 9
0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% — @ DAL  (Apr 7)
Chicago Blackhawks CHI Central E 77 28 35 14 70 200 253 -53 11
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ @ SJS  (Apr 6)
Vancouver Canucks VAN Pacific E 76 22 46 8 52 201 295 -94 29
✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ ✗ vs VGK  (Apr 7)

Projected First Round

Eastern Conference

MTL MTL TBL 13%BOS 7%OTT 2%
BUF BUF TBL 10%BOS 8%OTT 4%
76%
PHI PHI TBL 2%CAR 2%
PIT PIT CBJ 20%NYI 18%WSH 4%
58%
CAR CAR OTT 37%DET 7%PHI 2%NYI 2%
BOS BOS TBL 34%BUF 8%MTL 7%
49%
TBL TBL BOS 34%MTL 13%BUF 10%DET 5%
OTT OTT CAR 37%BUF 4%MTL 2%
30%

Western Conference

DAL DAL
MIN MIN
100%
EDM EDM VGK 25%ANA 18%LAK 4%COL 3%
UTA UTA ANA 30%VGK 20%COL 6%
42%
VGK VGK EDM 25%UTA 20%COL 4%LAK 4%
ANA ANA UTA 30%EDM 18%LAK 5%COL 3%
38%
COL COL LAK 22%SJS 13%UTA 6%STL 5%
NSH NSH EDM 3%VGK 1%
38%

Big Games

Today's Results

No impactful results so far today.

Yesterday's Results

Apr 5, 13:00 DET 4 - MIN 5 Swing: 19.9%
Team Current Impact
DET DET 12.7%
-10.7%
OTT OTT 74.0%
+5.7%
PHI PHI 62.6%
+1.3%
NYI NYI 22.8%
+1.2%
CBJ CBJ 24.3%
+0.9%
MIN MIN 100.0%
+0.0%
Apr 5, 15:00 PIT 5 - FLA 2 Swing: 0.6%
Apr 5, 15:30 PHI 2 - BOS 1 (OT) Swing: 25.2%
Team Current Impact
PHI PHI 62.6%
+12.9%
CBJ CBJ 24.3%
-3.3%
NYI NYI 22.8%
-3.2%
WSH WSH 4.9%
-2.9%
OTT OTT 74.0%
-1.4%
BOS BOS 98.6%
-1.3%
Apr 5, 17:00 OTT 6 - CAR 3 Swing: 25.7%
Team Current Impact
OTT OTT 74.0%
+13.3%
DET DET 12.7%
-5.9%
PHI PHI 62.6%
-1.9%
NYI NYI 22.8%
-1.7%
WSH WSH 4.9%
-1.6%
CBJ CBJ 24.3%
-1.4%
CAR CAR 100.0%
+0.0%
Apr 5, 19:00 MTL 0 - NJD 3 Swing: 0.2%
Apr 5, 19:00 NYR 8 - WSH 1 Swing: 25.0%
Team Current Impact
WSH WSH 4.9%
-12.8%
NYI NYI 22.8%
+4.0%
PHI PHI 62.6%
+2.8%
CBJ CBJ 24.3%
+2.7%
OTT OTT 74.0%
+1.7%
DET DET 12.7%
+1.1%
NYR NYR 0.0%
+0.0%
Apr 5, 21:30 COL 2 - STL 3 Swing: 2.6%
Team Current Impact
STL STL 5.4%
+2.6%
COL COL 100.0%
+0.0%

Today's Games

Apr 6, 19:00 BUF vs TBL Swing: 0.0%
Apr 6, 19:30 WPG vs SEA Swing: 10.0%
Team Current If WPG Wins If SEA Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
WPG WPG 5.2%
+2.8%
+1.9%
-3.6%
-2.5%
NSH NSH 42.7%
-0.9%
-0.6%
+1.2%
+0.8%
SEA SEA 0.9%
-0.7%
-0.5%
+0.9%
+0.6%
Apr 6, 22:00 SJS vs CHI Swing: 27.0%
Team Current If SJS Wins If CHI Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
SJS SJS 21.4%
+7.4%
+5.2%
-9.3%
-6.5%
LAK LAK 35.5%
-2.6%
-1.8%
+3.3%
+2.3%
NSH NSH 42.7%
-2.0%
-1.4%
+2.4%
+1.7%
CHI CHI 0.0%
+0.0%
+0.0%
+0.0%
+0.0%
Apr 6, 22:30 LAK vs NSH Swing: 70.2%
Team Current If LAK Wins If NSH Wins
Reg OT Reg OT
LAK LAK 35.5%
+19.3%
+13.5%
-16.4%
-11.5%
NSH NSH 42.7%
-18.6%
-13.0%
+15.9%
+11.1%